Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[Maestrobjwa]

Obs thread. Eyebrow no longer raised but furrowed for now...6" snowfall in Baltimore or else my contention about the last week of February being bad fortune for snow stands, lol Hoping for things to work out! Congrats to all who score!

[IUsedToHateCold]

38.3/29.7, cooling off nicely

Sending big Nat 20 energy for tomorrow. Let's reel it in. 

[jayyy]

In the upper 30s as I head out of the house. Not too shabby!

[aldie 22]

38.7

[Grothar of Herndon]

42/31

Increasing clouds

Herndon VA

[TSSN+]

Little bit of light snow showing up on obs from central OH

[Jeff B]

36.1°/30°
Halfway btw Hunt Valley & Reisterstown

[WxUSAF]

 

[Miss Pixee]

43/DP 32

[Eskimo Joe]

2 minutes ago, Jeff B said:

36.1°/30°
Halfway btw Hunt Valley & Reisterstown

38° off Academy Rd in Reisterstown

[bncho]

HRRR west

[Solution Man]

 

Reflectivity 

 

 

[Solution Man]

Just now, bncho said:

HRRR west

Let’s see

[BristowWx]

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

Let’s see

Yeah he’s clowning us..or s he 

[bncho]

2 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Let’s see

I thought it was, just looks like its much warmer though

[Solution Man]

Just now, BristowWx said:

Yeah he’s clowning us..or s he 

Clowning, gotta keep grasshopper in check

[MillvilleWx]

38°/32° in Londontowne

Temps on schedule from forecast here. 

[AmericanWxFreak]

https://x.com/ryanmaue/status/2025364454268158397?s=46

[Weather Will]

Busy day and getting caught up.  Lot of talk about the low hugging the coast or going west.  My non expert observation is that the reason we don't get slammed further west/ south is because the low intensifies parallel to the Delmarva rather than further south say off of Norfolk.  If the storm intensifies faster than forecast and hugs the coast then the NW burbs could get heavier snow.

Also, can someone better explain the IVT?  I still don't get it.  Thanks.

[mappy]

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Busy day and getting caught up.  Lot of talk about the low hugging the coast or going west.  My non expert observation is that the reason we don't get slammed further west/ south is because the low intensifies parallel to the Delmarva rather than further south say off of Norfolk.  If the storm intensifies faster than forecast and hugs the coast then the NW burbs could get heavier snow.

Also, can someone better explain the IVT?  I still don't get it.  Thanks.

This explains it well, with graphics. Note, it’s from a met up in the Maine area, but synoptic details apply all the same 

https://forecasterjack.com/glossary/glossary-of-cold-season-terms/norlun-trough/

[aldie 22]

3 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

https://x.com/ryanmaue/status/2025364454268158397?s=46

Could tug it further west i suppose

[mitchnick]

4 minutes ago, bncho said:

I thought it was, just looks like its much warmer though

It comes with moving it west.

[LP08]

If this is the sounding at 0z near dc, we will struggle

[bncho]

Just now, LP08 said:

If this is the sounding at 0z near dc, we will struggle

HRRR has a known warm bias

[Solution Man]

2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Could tug it further west i suppose

That’s what I was thinking with its counter clockwise circulation 

[mappy]

Hrrr is toasty. 37 for a high imby tomorrow. Probably white rain for a time. 

[SnowtoRain]

35.8/31.4

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

HRRR has a known warm bias

Sometimes statements like this I can't tell if it's a weenisim or a legit thing, lol

[JakkelWx]

Just now, SnowtoRain said:

35.8/31.4

NAM and HRRR had us at 40-ish degrees at this time tonight. its only 35 here

[aldie 22]

My temp is dropping steadily 37.4 in line with the nam