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Wonderdog

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About Wonderdog

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KIAD
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Gainesville, VA

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  1. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    6z GFS depicting at least 12 hours of rain on Monday for NOVA and DC. Amounts unknown.
  2. Wonderdog

    Winter 2018-19 Is Coming

    Hopefully with no La Nina this Winter, we can experience a winter with multiple chances to track storms!
  3. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Wouldn't be surprised if the hard left is overdone. We'll see though.
  4. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    18z run has subtle changes which is enough to give rain up to NOVA. Still with the loop and then a weird look to it. Hard to explain by this wannabe.
  5. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Good point. A little change in latitude could have bigger changes down the line.
  6. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    I think Fredericksburg close their school systems for Thursday and Friday yesterday.
  7. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    I'm gonna look on the bright side. 1. The GFS doesn't move as far south or west as the EURO with its loop. 2. We most likely get some showers from Florence from either model. 3. The stalling segment of the storm while not unprecedented is still unusual. 4. Two days ago, hardly any of the above was on the table, except the GFS's stall. And we're still two days away. 5. It's a tropical system and they are notoriously unique. And none of the above has occurred yet. So does anyone have confidence in the current guidance? I think there are a few changes yet to occur. That's the best this weenie can do.
  8. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Not too much in SC though.
  9. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    The only thing governments can do wrong with this storm is to not prepare.
  10. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    All day the scenario has been west , southwest and now south/southwest. I could be wrong but where I come from that's a trend, regardless of the final outcome and the reason. But I'm guessing a strong ridge is responsible for this.
  11. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    So if nothing else, the consensus is that northbound is closed, which means we're out.
  12. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Look out Memphis.
  13. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Eyeballing the differences between the 0Z and 6Z GFS runs, It appears that the loop is less severe on the 6Z run thereby keeping the track more to the east through the Carolinas into Virginia. Something to watch with the upcoming 12Z run.
  14. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Of the three, was the UKIE first to this solution, knowing there may be other changes in the days ahead?
  15. Wonderdog

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    At 90 hrs, 4 MB stronger than at 6z
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