George BM

I'm low-key watching the post-Barry remnants period. While areas to the north are definitely favored a ring of fire type pattern looks fairly likely to make an appearance.

867mb?... perhaps. But 866mb yeah that's not happening.

Thank you showmethetropical!

Happy Birthday Mr. Reaper!

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1123 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-503>506-VAZ052>054-506-042330- /O.NEW.KLWX.FF.A.0006.190704T1700Z-190705T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Washington, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling 1123 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Maryland, The District of Columbia, and northern Virginia, including the following areas, in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, and Southern Baltimore. The District of Columbia. In northern Virginia, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, and Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park. * Until 8 PM EDT this evening * Slow moving showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop after 1 PM this afternoon before diminishing early this evening. Torrential rainfall rates may lead to totals exceeding 2 inches in a short period of time. This may cause flash flooding of small streams and other poor drainage urban areas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$

My friends my friends welcome to the club!

95/69 IAD 5:10pm edt Tuesday, July 2, 2019

Yeapers on a bigly reaper stick drenched in weenie tears. It's become a yearly tradition.

I'm watching the activity in Michigan right now (MCV with some convection) that will drop to the southeast throughout the day. CAPE will be limited early but could rise to over 1,000 J/kg (mlcape that is) especially west of I-95 by mid-late afternoon ( the later it gets the higher CAPE gets). It will be interesting to see whether anything can grow upscale a bit and move in from the northwest later.

No I meant just tomorrow morning. A beautiful start. Now if we get HX of 115F+ with 7000+j/kg mlcape and 80+kt deep-layer flow... wait what happened? Anyway 50's/low 60's tomorrow morning would be beautiful indeed.

A beautiful start to a great summer month.

Holiday Season approaches.

SEL2 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 462 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Maryland Northern Virginia Eastern West Virginia Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Cluster of strong thunderstorms over south-central Pennsylvania may cross into portions of Maryland and Delaware, while additional development occurs farther west. Scattered damaging winds are the primary threat. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles south of Hagerstown MD to 25 miles southeast of Dover DE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 460...WW 461... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Grams

Hail 1"+ in diameter (quarter sized or greater)

There is some decent mlcape and low-level lapse rates as well as of 16z.