George BM

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About George BM

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    Herndon, VA

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  1. 000 WTNT35 KNHC 060236 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Edouard Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 PM AST Sun Jul 05 2020 ...EDOUARD FORMS OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.2N 56.9W ABOUT 685 MI...1100 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was located near latitude 37.2 North, longitude 56.9 West. Edouard is moving toward the northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h), and an even faster motion in that general direction is anticipated during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little significant change in strength is forecast before Edouard is forecast to become post-tropical on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
  2. Is anyone else hearing some strange sounding thunder? Little quick pops/booms yet looking at the radar I see nothing of significance anywhere close by. Is anyone else hearing this?
  3. 000 WTNT35 KNHC 041450 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Five Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 AM AST Sat Jul 04 2020 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.1N 68.7W ABOUT 245 MI...390 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was located near latitude 31.1 North, longitude 68.7 West. The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A faster east-northeastward motion is expected by tonight, followed by further acceleration on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will move near or just northwest and north of Bermuda tonight and early Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in strength is likely, however the system could become a tropical storm later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical Depression Five could cause gusty conditions on Bermuda and over the nearby waters later today or tonight. The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Gale Warning. For more information please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. RAIN: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce total rain accumulations of less than 1 inch with possible isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches in and around Bermuda. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
  4. Probably in the 1am hour. Radar image is from 5:33utc (1:33am edt). The downpours were moving SE.
  5. And just where have YOU been? We are running 40-50+ degrees F above average with no sign of any snow coming at all. Why is there no panic room yet?! There are no survivors left on these boards expect for me... and probably Mappy. The screams from the tormented souls are absolutely deafening!
  6. July weather is here. Starting out not too unusual.
  7. Into the second half of the year we go.
  8. Meanwhile at this moment 8 years ago........
  9. I didn't mean until you're 'passed out drunk' away... I meant just drink 'for a good feeling' away.
  10. @stormtracker and @mappy. Happy belated birthday to you both. Everyone else... drink away.
  11. Indeed. Cells taking advantage of decent speed shear with otherwise modest instability would do that.
  12. Why do you keep on living my nightmares?
  13. 75/56 at IAD right now. The drier air has moved in.
  14. @BristowWx Claim away my friend!
  15. PDS Tornado Watch 333 in effect until 9PM EDT June 23 2020 Hazards: Numerous long-track strong to violent tornadoes expected Numerous significant wind gusts to 115 mph likely Widespread large hail with scattered giant hail events to 5" in diameter likely Discussion: A well-developed and intense MCS/derecho continues to move through much of West Virginia AOA 65kts. The environment within the watch area is characterized by extreme instability (MLCAPE 7000-8000+ J/kg), impressive shear (EBWD 70-90 kts), high moisture content (Pwats of 2-2.25"+) and strong DCAPE (1200-1600+ J/kg). As the MCS moves into the mountains additional supercells are expected to rapidly develop by 19-20z along the foothills/Blue ridge ahead of the main line and move east through the DC and Baltimore metropolitan areas. With the extreme low-level shear also in place (effective SRH of 500-900 m2/s2) these cells will have a high risk of producing long-track and potenially violent tornadoes as well as giant, life-threatening hail. The greatest wind threat over this region will come with the main line of storms between 20-23z with high-end severe winds (possibly in excess of 115 mph). Storms will move out of the watch area by 00z. Forecaster: George BM Look at the 20z Mesoscale Analysis! Unreal. And just look at that sounding from the 20z special balloon launch!