40/70 Benchmark

08-09 didn't really have NAO blocking...it was more EPO, like 07-08, but it was less hostile in the atlantic than 07-08.

All you can do is play the odds....two favorable (weak) ENSO events in a row sucked, so I wouldn't bet on a third.

Weak la nina is the second most favorable ENSO state.

Over such a small area prone to high winds...."who cares" in my book.

Congrats...

I think it will be quiet for another week or so...

1938 wasn't purely tropical to my knowledge.....which is why it retained so much fury in conjunction with the insane forward motion.

Too early...I feel like recent summers have looked ideal in the north atlantic, only to end up having the NAO verify obnoxiously positive come winter. I do not that there is a propensity for a deeply negative NAO winter shortly following solar minimums...even raindance will tell you that.

Counts more than the frauds like Edouard that skirted east..

They are all retired.

Pending disaster in conjunction with covid, which is worst in cane country. I did a piece on this about a month ago....

Not sure, but not Michael....

Yea, I was wondering what he meant...

Yes, that in conjunction with the longitude that has them tucked into the concave of the coastline.

Yea, that in conjunction with the longitude of FL and GA....agreed.