SnoSki14
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About SnoSki14
- Birthday 08/10/1988
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If west trend wins expect a weak system at landfall with flooding being the main issue
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Looks like we should get a good batch. Don't know if there's anything severe there though but any rain is good
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I didn't even bother following any "threat" for today. You'll get some showers and that's it
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I expect a major convective burst over center and rapid strengthening soon
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Some remnants could eventually get here
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Ian looks perfect. The environment looks incredible. I expect a hurricane by 11am tomorrow
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If it keeps trending SW however it may avoid the massive dry air entrainment
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Hilarious considering it may not even hit Florida
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Looks like it hit 41F which is a rare sight nowadays in September. I see many 30s readings in more sheltered spots
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The GFS forecast will be about as right as you've been for this season.
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The timing is everything for an east coast special. The storm has to be far enough N&E to feel the trough but not get pushed OTS by it and it can't get trapped by the ridge either.
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The exposed circulation isn't just an Eddy. It's very well defined and my guess is that it eventually goes westward towards the convection.
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Agreed I'll take that Euro in a heartbeat. The weather has been relentlessly boring
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I would be surprised if the Euro doesn't correct west a tad. Think the 18z run overdid the east track and most of the eastward models went back west again.
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I think it is. Just watch
