The Euro weeklies must not look anything like these last several forecasts from the CFS. Given the warmth in the US this month, and the GEFS averages in the 1-15 day time frame, I could imagine early November looking like these plots.
The negative AO index (right now, and up to Nov 1st) and possible snowcover advance in Russia makes me wonder if December will turn colder. The negative AO index in the short term may not move any extra-cold air away from the Arctic Circle-- because it's not that cold. Check the GEFS and EPS temp anomalies on day 10. North America and the Arctic Ocean are warm!