ValpoVike

Well, there is now a warning out for the foothills for up to a foot below 8500', and up to 2 feet above...

Looks like NWS is starting to ramp up the foothills. All of the models are now quite bullish on snowfall, and from what I can see from about 7k' and up...as well as the Palmer Divide. NWS is highlighting 8.5k' and up, and nothing highlighted for the Palmer Divide.

Look at GFS...yowzers

The last two events have been similar. Forecasts and AFDs have been very conservative while the GFS and Euro held steady for many days, and they seem to verify and slit the difference on accumulation. I am interested to see what happens here.

True and something that happens every spring. My neighbor 200’ above often receives several inches while I may get a sloppy mix, and my neighbor 300’ below is rain. All within adjacent property lines. Regarding fire danger, the state is forecasting “average”. I hope they are correct

The models are interesting this weekend. As expected for late April, there is a massive gradient over a very short distance…with the euro at 10-12” across central Larimer and a couple of feet from the GFS. By eyeball, about 5 miles east and a couple of hundred feet in reduced elevation - rain.

Winds hit 46mph a few minutes ago here and increasing. Unfortunately there is a new fire start on hwy 36 near Big Elk Meadows and Pinewood Springs, northwest of Lyons. Uggg.

Inconvenient yes, but not drastic If the winds increase as expected. The last time the area got hit with such winds was during the Marshall fire. Given that Xcel infrastructure was determined to be an ignition source, it is prudent.

I saw that too. I think it went insane for 12z but it is April.

Taking a weekend trip to MSP. Since I will be exposed to airports on both sides, I have little faith that I will have smooth travel Sunday evening

Models showing another decent foothills hit for late weekend and Monday. Not nearly the QPF as last storm, but still respectable.

My neighbor reports to cocorahs and he measured 37” here. A great storm.

No worries on the backend amounts anymore. This is getting ridiculous. I have no idea how much has fallen here and I lost track many hours ago.

Yeah and they closed all east entrances in RMNP at 5pm on Wednesday. That is unusual.

Despite the slow, late start of heavier snow last night I received about 20" overnight. The Point forecast shows an additional 10-18" coming with Act Two this afternoon and evening. I share Smokey's cynical view of today's additional amounts, but we'll see. Regardless, I'm pretty happy with what I received already so it is all gravy from here on. Looking at storm reports, I noted that Ft Collins only received about 1". That is a sharp gradient from here to there.