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beavis1729

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About beavis1729

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDPA
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  • Location:
    Lake Zurich, IL
  1. Agree. Waterloo broke the old record of 1 set in 1925. Mason City dropped to -6, breaking the record of -5 set in 1979. Normal lows are in the mid-20's.
  2. LOT The main challenge with lake effect snow events such as this is forecasting snowfall accumulations over a broader area. Because the heaviest snow showers are likely to be in a band only about around 15 miles wide, there is likely to be considerable variability in snowfall amounts over short distances. Some of this large variably is likely to occur over the Chicago area. Areas falling under the heaviest band of snow, which at the present time looks to favor portions of Cook...eastern Dupage and at least southern Lake county Illinois, a good 5 to 10 inches with isolated higher amounts appear likely. The main band of heavy lake effect snow appears that it may gradually shift southward or waver across Cook and Dupage counties through the night. This would suggest that the lake effect showers will begin to impact portions of Will and Lake county Indiana, especially later tonight into Tuesday. Additional heavy bands of snow may then shift back over far northeastern Illinois by Tuesday morning. For this reason, it appears that there could be a prolonged period or two of heavy lake effect snow over portions of the warned area, and this could result in isolated higher amounts than currently forecast. Lake effect showers will be possible through Tuesday for northeastern Illinois, before the main focus for lake effect begins to shift over northwestern Indiana. Additional headlines for lake effect may be needed for more counties in Indiana, but since most of these areas will not get in on most of the lake effect snow until either later Tuesday or Tuesday night, we have opted to hold off on this for now. Its even possible that the current advisory in effect for Lake county Indiana may need to be upgraded to a warning if it becomes apparent that heavier snow will fall there on Tuesday.
  3. MKX calling for totals of 16" in Milwaukee and 15" in Kenosha:
  4. And MKX calling for 9-15" total, including overnight snowfall. MKE has had 0.30" of liquid in the past 3 hours, currently SN+ with 8" on the ground. KMKE 131452Z 15008KT 1/4SM +SN BKN005 OVC010 M02/M04 A3023 RMK AO2 SLP246 SNINCR 1/8 P0009 60030 T10171039 53003 RVRNO Milwaukee-Racine-Kenosha- Including the cities of West Allis, Wauwatosa, Greenfield, Franklin, Oak Creek, South Milwaukee, Cudahy, Racine, and Kenosha 943 AM CDT Mon Mar 13 2017 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT TUESDAY... The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a Lake Effect Snow Warning...which is in effect until 1 PM CDT Tuesday. The Winter Weather Advisory is no longer in effect. * TIMING...Periods of snow, heavy at times today into Tuesday morning. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...An additional 5 to 8 inches is expected, bringing the storm total to 9 to 15 inches by Tuesday afternoon. The snow will be dry and powdery inland, possibly a bit wetter toward the lake. * WINDS / VISIBILITIES...East winds 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast this afternoon. Gusts up to 20 to 25 mph near Lake Michigan. Areas of blowing snow and drifting snow especially near Lake Michigan. Significant reductions in visibility will occur in the heavier lake effect snow showers. * IMPACTS...Plan on very difficult driving conditions today into Tuesday morning.
  5. Wichita KS was 75/55 at 6 PM yesterday...then an hour later it was 63/11. A nice 44-degree drop in the dew point in one hour. High temp yesterday was 79, low this morning was 27. Right now (2 PM central), it's 63/-3, RH 7%.
  6. Check this out: Record Cold in Arctic Canada http://ak-wx.blogspot.com/2017/03/record-cold-in-arctic-canada.html
  7. This is very interesting: Record Cold in Arctic Canada http://ak-wx.blogspot.com/2017/03/record-cold-in-arctic-canada.html#comment-form
  8. This is very interesting: Record Cold in Arctic Canada http://ak-wx.blogspot.com/2017/03/record-cold-in-arctic-canada.html#comment-form
  9. Yes - exactly.
  10. By northern WI, I mean the Minocqua/Eagle River area...where the avg. DJF temp is about 12 degrees colder than ORD.
  11. Correct...but why bother trying to add perspective? All it does is reinforce how bad Chicago's winter climo is...which we already know way too well. This post isn't directed at you Josh (or anyone else in particular) - just a general statement of frustration. I wish people would just admit how bad the winter has been, instead of trying to come up with silver linings with respect to prior winters. There aren't any. As for what Hoosier posted above - there really have been 20 winters with two or fewer days with 1"+ snowfall?? That seals it once and for all - Chicago does not have winter, period. Yes, Chicago has decent winters every so often (such as 2013-14 and 1978-79)...but you can never count on them. Send all of our ridiculous warm-mongering media and public to the UP for a winter, and see what happens to them. Even our cold Feb 2015 was normal for northern WI - people make it sound like that month was as cold as the North Pole. It's amusing. Prior to seeing all of these statistics about past winters, I figured we could easily explain away the horrid nature of the last 2 winters, i.e., "A, B, and C came together from a meteorological standpoint...and the odds of that occurring again are essentially zero." But then you see statistics which show that several past winters have been just as horrible...and you just throw your hands up. What's the point of trying to rationalize things anymore? None of the old stand-bys matter, i.e. "at least it will be wintry in mid-Dec to mid-Feb", "let the seasonal transition play itself out...good snow cover to the north will help keep things cold here", "storms won't cut after Christmas", "the shorter days will help us", etc. I should know better not to buy into these myths...especially when you consider that, for every nice wintry day in January with a high of 20 and a low of 5 (nothing extraordinary in the dead of winter), there needs to be a 40/25 day (an absolutely non-wintry day) to balance things out from a climo perspective. And it's even worse in Dec or Feb.
  12. Maybe one of these years Jonger - just too busy now. Sounds like a fun trip - here's to deep snow and great trails!
  13. I remember this well - February 1994 - was a student at NIU. We had an 8-10" snowfall in mid-Feb, then it warmed up into the 60s a few days later, then this big snowfall on 2/22/94. That was a decent winter...including the arctic outbreak in mid-Jan. I think DeKalb had a high/low of -14/-24 on 1/18/94.
  14. The main point here is that it's not just total snowfall that speaks to how good or bad a Winter season is. Winter is about the landscape, arctic airmasses, windy/cold days, steel gray skies, snow cover, frozen ponds & lakes, sledding, etc. In fact, even though last Winter was horrible overall...we somehow managed to maintain nearly constant snow cover during January, with slightly below normal temps. So, at least it felt like Winter for 4-5 weeks. Still only gets a D- grade (even with the 14" snowfall pre-Thanksgiving...but it melted within 3 days, so it doesn't count for much). I speak from experience with respect to our horrendous Winter 2016-17 in the NW suburbs of Chicago - essentially zero snowfall since mid-December...and we've set record highs each of the last 4 days...and will probably set an all-time record Feb high temp tomorrow. Yes, we received around 12-15" of snow from around Dec 5-15 (which is solidly above normal for that period)...but it didn't stay on the ground very long. I don't care how much snow occurs; if you only have 10 days of Winter, the grade is an F - no two ways around it. And for the record, I don't care about climo. Yes, I know my climo...but if we get a dead-on climo winter, it's not very wintry. I have high expectations for Winter...heaven forbid, on a weather forum where Winter weather is discussed frequently. Thank you for allowing me to vent in your sub-forum. It seems the good folks in the Lakes/OV forum have already moved on to Spring...