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IWXwx

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About IWXwx

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KFWA
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Huntington, IN
  • Interests
    Weather, Emergency Management, Fishing

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  1. February 2018 Discussion

    A surprising 2.7" here. From a large dendrite, partly daytime, no wind standpoint, my best of the year even if not the most.
  2. February 2018 Discussion

    My sinuses would implode
  3. Spring 2018 Discussion

    If you're implying the drought is going to get worse from the panhandles back through the southwest, it's looking that way. If you're implying that feedback will allow drought to intensify in our subforum, it may not be denied, but will be delayed.
  4. February 2018 Discussion

    The SPC afternoon update has probably the smallest 2% threat area I've ever seen. lol
  5. February 2018 Discussion

    Guess I'll just put this here: Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1015 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2018 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHERN IL TO SOUTHWEST OH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated damaging winds and a tornado will be possible across parts of the Midwest/Lower Ohio Valley this evening. ...Midwest/Lower Ohio Valley... Primary change is to add a Marginal risk area where RAP guidance and observations suggest potential for surface-based destabilization by peak heating amid immense deep-layer shear. Visible satellite imagery indicates a pronounced area of mostly cloud-free heating underway across southern Missouri that should shift east across portions of the Lower Ohio Valley through the afternoon. This appears to be associated with the northern periphery of an elevated mixed layer sampled by the 12Z Springfield sounding. RAP forecast soundings continue to be quite bullish relative to other guidance in depicting SBCAPE, up to around 1000 J/kg, while NAM/GFS indicate negligible amounts. Given the likelihood of near-record high surface temperatures in combination with upper 50s to lower 60s dew points, the setup should yield a corridor of surface-based destabilization. Morning CAMs are consistent with simulating convective development along a southeast-moving cold front around 00Z, as inhibition weakens along the boundary. The orientation of the front will generally parallel deep-layer flow and support a linear convective mode. However, with effective shear potentially reaching 80-90 kt, embedded bowing structures are possible and would yield a risk for damaging winds and a tornado. This threat will decay overnight and with eastern extent given diminishing buoyancy and a more stable boundary-layer.
  6. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    GEM and GFS has a couple of waves creating some convective activity the OH River area in the next 10 days, while the Euro says, *flash* BOOM!! to ORD next Thursday evening.
  7. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    Congrats to those that scored. It looks like both models were right in that I was getting both frizzle and s#%t at the same time this morning. Just a white glaze out there.
  8. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    The next wave looks butt ugly for the FWA area. The GFS profile looks good for some [email protected]#t, (although the map shows mostly zr), while 3km NAM soundings show a good chance of freezing rain (although map shows mostly [email protected]#$t). Both models are only spitting out about 0.15" qpf, so anyway you slice it, things won't get out of hand, but just another slap in the face to those of us that ended up just south of the big dog.
  9. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    Here are IWX's reports of 12" or more as of 9:30: PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 926 PM EST FRI FEB 9 2018 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0700 PM HEAVY SNOW WESTVILLE 41.54N 86.91W 02/09/2018 M16.0 INCH LA PORTE IN PUBLIC 0801 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 SW GRANGER 41.72N 86.15W 02/09/2018 M15.0 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN PUBLIC 0550 PM HEAVY SNOW DOWAGIAC 41.98N 86.11W 02/09/2018 M15.0 INCH CASS MI PUBLIC 0851 PM HEAVY SNOW GRANGER 41.74N 86.14W 02/09/2018 M14.5 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN PUBLIC 0825 PM HEAVY SNOW COLDWATER 41.94N 85.00W 02/09/2018 M14.0 INCH BRANCH MI TRAINED SPOTTER 0804 PM HEAVY SNOW 2 W CASSOPOLIS 41.91N 86.05W 02/09/2018 E14.0 INCH CASS MI PUBLIC 0632 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 NE OSCEOLA 41.68N 86.06W 02/09/2018 M14.0 INCH ELKHART IN TRAINED SPOTTER 0358 PM HEAVY SNOW BUCHANAN 41.83N 86.37W 02/09/2018 M12.5 INCH BERRIEN MI BROADCAST MEDIA 0630 PM HEAVY SNOW LONG LAKE 41.58N 85.03W 02/09/2018 M12.0 INCH STEUBEN IN PUBLIC
  10. Made it up to 40° here. My 5.3" overperformer is down to scraps. On top of that, I get 0.2" from the current system. Maybe I can get a couple of inches Sunday, which will be gone a couple of days later. The state advertising slogan should be, "Indiana-Winter Hell".
  11. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    And so it has begun...Good luck to all of you about to get buried and I wanna see some pics
  12. Lol. I didn't want to clutter up the storm thread, but I also call it the WRF family (We Are Family, Sister Sledge from the '70's, look 'em up). Man I'm old.
  13. At least you're ahead of extreme Northern Alabama
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