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michsnowfreak

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About michsnowfreak

  • Birthday 05/08/1983

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    http://www.facebook.com/josh.halasy

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDTW
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Wyandotte, Michigan

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  1. michsnowfreak

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Not trying to look too far ahead but I'm a bit intrigued by the colder than average temperatures shown on the CFS weeklies for weeks 5 and 6. That model is so prone to auto torching I'm wondering if we really hit some deep Winter by mid January. Obviously snow chances will come well before that.
  2. michsnowfreak

    Fall/Winter 2018-19 Complaint/Banter Thread

    Agree. I rarely watch the news so im not familiar with her but apparently she was a well liked tv met in the area
  3. michsnowfreak

    Weak El Nino 2018-2019

    Sensible weather wise 2018-19 has absolutely mirrored 2014-15. Obviously it's still extremely early, technically it's not even officially Winter, but 2014-15 started with a cold and somewhat snowy November (this November was snowier) then December was mild, certainly not a torch, but for whatever reason it just would not snow like it normally does in the lakes. January turned cold with frequent snows (although nothing big), then February began with a huge snowstorm followed by record cold.
  4. michsnowfreak

    Weak El Nino 2018-2019

    Oh absolutely the next 7 to 10 days will be warmer than normal. No argument from me on that, as a matter of fact I've been bracing for it for a while as the warm signal has been there. When looking at the CFS it's hard to tell though because it defaults to torching until it gets very close. It forecast a top 20 warmest November on record and instead we had a top 20 coldest November on record. I do believe December will end up warmer than normal however we should already be at a positive departure according to the CFS. I certainly have my doubts about a warm Winter as a whole. And for the record I am far enough North that a mild Winter does not scare away my snow chances (just leads to less snowpack than I like)
  5. michsnowfreak

    Weak El Nino 2018-2019

    For some reason when I went back in the thread to try and find your analysis of the November run of the jamstec, I was unable to find it. Very wise to use normals of 1951-2010 instead of 1895-2010 or 1981-2010. This way you maximize the cold of the 1960s and 1970s into all data sets, wouldn't want to skew anything. The CFS has been masterful lately. As a matter of fact I think it was only about 10 to 15゚ too warm in November. I just hope Palm trees don't start to sprout here in Michigan with this super hot Winter. Nothing says "super hot" like 0.5° Celsius above normal. I can't believe some people in this thread are implying that you're grasping for any straw that will make the North and East warm.
  6. michsnowfreak

    December 2018 General Discussion

    I have heard several people cite that Winter. And so far it certainly is following that trend of a very cold November followed by a Winter-free December and then a harsh rest of Winter. December was absolutely the red headed stepchild of an otherwise harsh Winter in 14-15
  7. michsnowfreak

    Fall/Winter 2018-19 Complaint/Banter Thread

    I would agreed. I generally think of Ohio as the North and Kentucky as the South
  8. michsnowfreak

    December 2018 General Discussion

    The last 2 decembers we were rolling in snow. What a boring slap in the face after a snowy November. Hopefully this ends quickly around Christmas.
  9. michsnowfreak

    Fall/Winter 2018-19 Complaint/Banter Thread

    A depressing comparison
  10. michsnowfreak

    Fall/Winter 2018-19 Complaint/Banter Thread

    It probably is. I'm not familiar enough with Indys climo to confirm, but it would make sense as we have had that here in Detroit. Snowstorm frequency is much increased since 2000 over the long term average.
  11. michsnowfreak

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Here is the last 10 christmases here. Which as you stated, by definition of white christmas (1"+ snowcover 7am christmas morning) is 50%. It was 60% christmas eve tho (see 2009). 2017- 5" of fresh powder christmas eve and another inch in squalls Christmas day 2016- very heavy 5" slushpack christmas eve dwindled to 3" christmas day. The melting of a deep mid-dec pack. It wasnt pretty but definitely white. 2015- bare 2014- bare 2013- a fresh dusting christmas day atop frozen patches of snow. This was amusing because from early Dec to late Mar, Dec 24-25 were 2 of only 4 days (all in late dec) where grass was showing in this historic winter 2012- A fresh and rather unexpected inch of snow christmas eve evening was a treat in a mild Dec 2011- bare, but there was a dusting christmas eve morning which quickly melted 2010- 5" snowpack, old but still freshish 2009- 1" snowcover christmas eve was washed away with christmas day rain 2008- Foot snowpack on a rainy christmas eve froze into an 8" glacier christmas day
  12. michsnowfreak

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    We celebrate with one side of the family on the 24th and the other side on the 25th. I love both days but Christmas Eve has always been my favorite and our snowstorm last year on Christmas Eve was absolutely perfect. Everybody loved the atmosphere it created, except for the dicey travel. It was certainly not the biggest storm of the Winter, but 5" of fresh glistening powder that began falling around noon Christmas Eve until 11pm (more squalls Christmas day as a record cold blast was moved in) was not just a white Christmas. It was courier and ives perfection. To have that happen 2 years in a row would be a dream.
  13. michsnowfreak

    Fall/Winter 2018-19 Complaint/Banter Thread

    They have always been bad but this year is an absolute sh*t show with them defaulting to warm in cold patterns.
  14. michsnowfreak

    Fall/Winter 2018-19 Complaint/Banter Thread

    100% wrong. You were in Indiana one Winter. I don't know what you are not grasping about the concept. I'm not sure where in Indiana you live, but again, since 2000, Indianapolis (FAR from the best location for snow in indiana) has had 32 snowstorms of 4" or more, 17 of 6"+, and 4 of 10"+. Obviously, to have the biggest storm of the season be 4" is on the low side. Atlanta meanwhile, in that same timeframe, has had THREE storms of 4"+, the largest being 4.6". 90% of this subform outside the lake belts averages 1-2+ snowstorms PER WINTER of 6"+. Most of the deep south outside the mountainstops is lucky if they average 1 per DECADE. I do not deny that you are in one of the worst areas of this sub forum for snow, however on average you still certainly will do much better than the deep South in terms of big snowstorms.
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