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cyclone77

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About cyclone77

  • Birthday 01/13/1977

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDVN
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Erie, IL (~25 miles northeast of the QC)
  • Interests
    women, beer, sports, and food

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  1. I'll take more snow if it comes, but really don't see much potential anytime soon. Next week's potential looks like a thread the needle type event, so good chance that misses any one location. I'm ready to move on to Spring. Kind of jealous of all the thunderstorm activity south and east of this area. Haven't heard thunder since sometime back in October or September. It's done a good job avoiding this area the last 5 months.
  2. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Looks like a nice snowstorm for northern IA up through MSP to northern WI tomorrow night/Saturday morning. Thunderstorm/heavy rain potential will be well southeast of this area. Looking forward to our 3hr period of light showers, followed by perhaps a burst of flurries and 35mph winds. Meh.
  3. February 2018 Discussion

    Had a pretty serious ice jam on the Rock the next town up river from here earlier today (Prophetstown). Kind of a concern since if an ice jam were bad enough this town could be impacted as well.
  4. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Loving the active look on the models.
  5. February 2018 Discussion

    Down to 24 here as things continue to dry out. The precip shut off as temps went below freezing, so zero issues with ice here. The brisk winds dried off paved areas before freezing temps could do much with residual moisture left over.
  6. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Looks like we should be good for a period of rain, followed by some wind-driven flurries on the backside. For snowfall I think hybrid type clippers are our best bet for heavy snowfall. Cutters are the ultimate prize for snowfall, but landing one is something that doesn't happen for several seasons sometimes.
  7. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    LMAO @ the difference between the op runs of the GFS and Euro regarding the weekend system. The GFS has been pretty robust with this thing the past several runs, and now has it down to 969mb by 12z Sunday. The Euro has it at just 1000mb at the same time frame. Wonder which model will win this battle?
  8. Feb. 19-24 Heavy rain and flooding threat

    True. I think if it were raining here now it would probably be freezing on elevated objects, like trees/powerlines etc. Just get a sense it may take the ground a bit longer to cool off for some reason.
  9. Feb. 19-24 Heavy rain and flooding threat

    Not yet. Even with temps sub 40 all day it may have to go a few degrees below freezing to get these wet surfaces to freeze.
  10. February 2018 Discussion

    Awesome contrast across the sub today. 70s for the IN/OH peeps, and 20s in Iowa.
  11. Feb. 19-24 Heavy rain and flooding threat

    Nice soaking rains most of the day today. Was pretty chilly with temps in the 30s as it fell. Picked up 1.53" since last night. The temp is down to 31 now, but it's only sprinkling occasionally now.
  12. February 2018 Discussion

    Was nice while it lasted. Cold front passed a few hours ago and knocked us back into the low 40s. Hit 58 here earlier, and DVN/MLI both tagged 63. Models have pushed the next wave a bit further east, so it looks like we won't get back into the warm sector tomorrow. Have picked up 0.50" so far for the event, which is the best rains we've seen since way back in mid October. Should tack on another half inch to an inch before she shuts down tomorrow afternoon.
  13. February 2018 Discussion

    A beautiful 63 at MLI and 62 at DVN. 58 here with still some patches of snow left. The fog from earlier is history, and sky has a nice warm season look to it with some dark stratocumulus flying by overhead.
  14. February 2018 Discussion

    With the dense overcast we won't be able to see the northward progression of the bare ground via satellite today. We lost a good inch overnight, with around an inch or so left. I'm guessing areas south of I-80 are the same, or even less since they have been warmer. Latest HRRRx has MLI tagging 62, with 60-61 here. Once the winds veer a bit more southerly, or south-southwesterly we should see a good push northward with the thermal ridge. I'll ride the Euro/HRRRx and be optimistic we can snag a 60. BTW, the "regular" HRRR has a lol worthy impenetrable stationary wall where it was modeled to have the southern edge of the snow pack where temps are either in the 40s or the 60s either side of it. The models are forecasting another 60+ day for this area tomorrow as the next wave rides up the stalled frontal boundary. Some models have us in the low 60s, while out near Hawkeye it may be below freezing.
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