cyclone77

A few days ago it looked like the NAM was taking the Euro and GFS to school again, but the NAM ended up being less accurate with the first wave. Don't think any model handled tonight's secondary wave very well. Snow continues to come down at a decent rate here. Paved areas have whitened up in the last half hour or so. EDIT: Subzero temps for the first time this season in Iowa tonight. -2 at Estherville currently.

Yeah snowing again here as well. Didn't expect it to make it back this far north, but here it is lol.

You can definitely see how that fresh snow cover up in southwest MN and eastern SD is impacting the temperatures. Pretty notable difference to the snow free areas on either side.

Not sure exactly how much fell here since quite a bit of melting has taken place today. I'm guessing a little over an inch fell based on some reports from around the area. I keep having to remind myself that it's only mid November lol. Seems much later in the season than it is.

I'm with ya. Still have quite a few leaves left to deal with as well. Early sunset times means that doing anything during the workweek isn't possible. Might have some snow on the ground this weekend, so will hopefully be able to finish the yard next weekend when it's warmer.

Nice to see things trending in the right direction today. Looking pretty sweet for Cedar Rapids and points west. Hopefully the models are weakening it a little too quickly so we can get some of those better amounts further southeast. At this point an inch will seem like a win after how things looked the past few days.

Still a little early, but the trends are to move the best snows from southern MN through southern WI with Fri night's wave. Looks like a DAB for about the southern half of the DVN cwa. Looks like 0.5-1.5" for about the northern third of the cwa. For here I'm guessing a quick burst of precip that starts out as a mix and transitions to wet snow and drops a few tenths. 3km NAM showing some LES for Chicago Sat night that drifts into northwest IN by Sunday morning. Something to keep an eye on for you guys out that way.

The GFS and Euro have in fact trended towards the NAM on today's runs. Very impressive start to the season for the NAM. Not sure if it's been upgraded or not recently, or if it's just doing well with these particular patterns this season. Whatever the case it's gonna make for an interesting season. Will make it very interesting for tracking as we move from the 84+hr range to within 84hrs to see what the NAM has to say about things.

The 12/3km NAMs have been pretty consistent in showing a much further north track with the Fri night clipper compared to the Euro and GFS. Will the GFS/Euro get schooled again by the NAMs? The RGEM is pretty far north as well, and supports the NAM solutions.

Looks like the northwest edge of precip should stall about 20-30 miles east/southeast of here. Got way closer than I figured it would.

The new Euro gives Hawk 2-3 inches of post frontal snows Friday night. Looks like a potential 1-2" for much of the DVN cwa, especially the Iowa side.

lol. I always thought it'd be pretty interesting to see a big snow hit south FL. It's probably about a once in a few hundred year kind of thing but it's gotta be possible if the right setup came together.

Yeah it's pretty strange indeed. This will be the 2nd snow system to miss southeast and it's only mid November lol. BTW I can definitely see that thin defo band overachieve wherever it sets up later tonight/early tomorrow along the northwest edge.

Definitely got your money's worth with that.

Wow, almost tries to pull a 12/01/06.