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janetjanet998

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About janetjanet998

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    Central and Western Forum: East Coast Weenie Free Zone

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    Peoria IL
  1. as of 5-19 706 inflation adjusted prelim reports... we fell off the record pace because of a rather blah start of MAY but still over the 75% percentile...(595 to date) this is all with 4 underperforming high risk days looks slow til maybe next weekend....
  2. cell mergers helped keep this is check but 8 TOR warnings and 1 SVR... per SPC storm reports page......meanwhile nice little compact severe outbreak on the 17th over IA/IL/MN/WI
  3. the northern complex of small storms is now a big blob maybe forming a large storm..but my be elevated..maybe wind the southern cell now has new convection to its south....likely messing up inflow and weakening no active warnings
  4. still on ground EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 842 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017 INC023-067-210100- /O.CON.KIND.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170521T0100Z/ CLINTON IN-HOWARD IN- 842 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN CLINTON AND SOUTHWESTERN HOWARD COUNTIES... AT 841 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF FRANKFORT, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
  5. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 834 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN CLINTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTHWESTERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 900 PM EDT * AT 834 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF FRANKFORT, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
  6. a bunch of convention has developed SE of the north storm and it helped weaken it....lets see if any of these new storms will start to rotate the south storm also has weakened and looks more linear...no active warnings but 6 TOR and 1 SVR so far
  7. southern storm NW of IND I think.... ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 739 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN CLINTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHWESTERN BOONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 800 PM EDT * AT 739 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF LEBANON, OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF CRAWFORDSVILLE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED FUNNEL CLOU
  8. ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 729 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN WHITE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN INDIANA... * UNTIL 800 PM EDT * AT 728 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR REMINGTON, OR 7 MILES EAST OF LOCHIEL, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
  9. need TOR watch right now.... we all remember 4-20-2004 over Northern IL and that WF....
  10. more cells maturing and with some rotation NW of IND and new one developing over western IND now
  11. a meso...but very conservative...I think its a mistake MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0804 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0607 PM CDT SAT MAY 20 2017 AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH-CENTRAL INDIANA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 202307Z - 210130Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL INDIANA. STRONG WIND GUSTS, HAIL AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE. DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE THREAT, WEATHER WATCH ISSUANCE IS NOT EXPECTED. DISCUSSION...THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN ILLINOIS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL INDIANA. A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S F. THIS IS CONTRIBUTING TO A POCKET OF MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE ESTIMATED TO BE BETWEEN 500 AND 1500 J/KG. IN ADDITION, THE INDIANAPOLIS WSR-88D VWP SHOWS 0-6 KM SHEAR AROUND 45 KT WITH SOME GRADUAL VEERING OF THE WINDS WITH HEIGHT IN THE LOWEST 2 KM AGL. THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR STORM ROTATION AND HAIL WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WARM FRONT, A BRIEF TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED DUE TO THE RELATIVELY STABLE AIRMASS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT. ..BROYLES/HART.. 05/20/2017
  12. second storm NC007-073-202345- /O.NEW.KLOT.TO.W.0012.170520T2313Z-170520T2345Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 613 PM CDT SAT MAY 20 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN INDIANA... SOUTH CENTRAL JASPER COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN INDIANA... * UNTIL 645 PM CDT/745 PM EDT/ * AT 613 PM CDT/713 PM EDT/, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER BARCE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO.
  13. This is the most Northern storm of the weaker sheared blob/mess over KY..it may be on the glancing blow of the mid level jet max up north...decent couplet BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 709 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 730 PM EDT * AT 709 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MADISON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
  14. That clearing over S IL I mentioned this morning did indeed move Into IND with temps in the mid-upper 70's and dews 68-70 winds backed along front' VAD out of IND showing good turning with height cells developing on IL/IND border on a wind shift line (SW winds hitting SE) 60 kt mid level jet max jet max moving into region deep layer shear 50-60 kts these warm front sets up can be surprises sometimes
  15. dews around 70 over southern IL and clouds breaking UP this should push north and east ......intersting