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MattPetrulli

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About MattPetrulli

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KTYS
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Pigeon Forge, TN

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  1. MattPetrulli

    Severe Threat 8/12/19

    No significant changes with 20z outlook.
  2. MattPetrulli

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    00z GFS brings it close to FL, then stalls it off the coast for 2 days as a major hurricane, before drifting SW. 00z Legacy brings it into Miami as a TS/cat 1.
  3. MattPetrulli

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    12z euro doesn't do much with it and makes it stay weak for a while. 18z legacy GFS and regular GFS bring it further west however. Another thing, brings PR more into play as GFS brings a strong TS/cat 1 into PR.
  4. MattPetrulli

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    12z Euro brings it into the Eastern Gulf and mostly keeps it an open wave
  5. MattPetrulli

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    Very strong area of shear+land interference
  6. MattPetrulli

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    A number of 06z GEFS ensembles develop this wave in the Bahamas and recurve it.
  7. MattPetrulli

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

  8. MattPetrulli

    Tropical Depression 03L

    Dangerous and Explosive™
  9. MattPetrulli

    Tropical Depression 03L

    Reminds me of Tropical Storm Julia back in 2016 a little bit. Also looking at it from Miami radar, it already looks more organized than Barry.
  10. MattPetrulli

    Tropical Depression 03L

    Maybe it does develop into a TD or maybe even a low grade TS, but this isn't the "dangerous" and "explosive" development you were advertising.
  11. MattPetrulli

    Tropical Depression 03L

    Come on man, this isn't nearly a dangerous situation or a system within an environment for explosive development. This shouldn't be a thread.
  12. MattPetrulli

    7-19 Severe outbreak MN into upper MI

    I can certainly see it happening. Only 2 high risks have ever been issued on 01z outlook (April 30,2010 and May 22,2004) Also some higher population cities potentially in the path of the main complex include Wasau(39k) and Stevens Point (26K) in the next few hours
  13. MattPetrulli

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    Looks like most tropical activity is done for the month unless we get quick development close to home. Wave train should be in business towards August, however.
  14. MattPetrulli

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    Most if not all of the upwelling occurred in the central and NW GOM. The eastern GOM is still at or above normal. Air temps are running in the mid-to-upper 90s through the end of the month regardless. You are correct in that it won't take very long for the western half of the GOM to rebound for August. Even right now it's still warm enough for tropical systems
  15. MattPetrulli

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    Gulf should rebound rather quickly too, if it hasn't already. Gotta watch.
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