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About MattPetrulli
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KTYS
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Sevierville, TN
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What METAR placefile are you using?
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Despite the southern eyewall opening on radar, VDM says its closed. Also, velocities continue to intensify on radar, Helene is still intensifying.
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SE eyewall has new VHTs going up + eye warming rather rapidly.
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Looking ever increasingly better, imo think we can get to 120-125 knots at LF. Still several hours left over water.
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500 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 ...HELENE IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND LARGE MAJOR HURRICANE... ...DAMAGING HURRICANE WINDS AND CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND THIS EVENING... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.9N 84.6W ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES
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...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND HELENE A MAJOR HURRICANE... The Air Force Hurricane Hunters found that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h). This makes Helene a dangerous category 3 major hurricane. Additional strengthening is expected before Helene makes landfall in the Florida Big Bend this evening. SUMMARY OF 225 PM EDT...1825 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.7N 84.9W ABOUT 170 MI...280 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
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Disagree. We still got 8-ish hours until landfalls and it's already at 95-100 knots. I wouldn't call 115 knots unlikely.
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FL reduction would support a cat 3 upgrade.
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115 Knot FL last pass, 956.6 HPA
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958.3 extra
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Dual rotating VHTs on each side now
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