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WxWatcher007

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  1. All my foolishness aside, it does look like a legitimate possibility to see some measurable here in the lowlands, especially if it’s timed overnight Fri/Sat. That said—let’s see where this is Friday.
  2. ACATT slowly capitulating by Saturday’s rainer?
  3. Speaking of floods, the benchmark flood.
  4. At least it gives us another wiping option. 1-ply Euro AI if you want to be bold 2-ply GFS if you want an economical option 3-ply Euro Classic if you want a luxury wiping experience
  5. Usually the deluge doesn’t come until Christmas so maybe it knows something we don’t
  6. I’m totally screwing around. Can you imagine?
  7. Of course Skynet waits until it’s a winter weenie wasteland in New England. Palm trees and parakeets in coastal CT and bodies being revealed as the permafrost up north is blasted by Morch. Fortunately, unlike the non-sentient models this one’ll learn from it’s epic winter pattern forecasting mistakes.
  8. Rainfall rate briefly peaked at 2.62”/hr here
  9. High end activity will probably be hard given climo but the last decade suggests we see some pre/early season activity. Warm waters are an important factor, though often oversimplified. If the trend continues we’re looking at off the charts warmth in the Atlantic basin—it’s not just absolute SSTs but the extent of warm anomalies and depth across the MDR. It’s historic in its own right. Here are OHC values from two eventual historic seasons—2017, 2020…and today. The AMO configuration looks big time. That can feedback into weaker trades. The Nina is huge obviously for reducing shear across the MDR. We have to watch SAL activity in June/July. Our big seasons tend to have activity at least trying further east during the summer. Obviously let’s get to later in the spring to say it’s all systems go but I think we’re looking at a top ten season at least. The factors suggesting activity heading into the 2024 season are unlike what we’ve seen for recent active years. Grain of salt for these but anything close to this speaks for itself.
  10. Congratulations on an all timer of a chase. There’s no price too high for a true once in a lifetime experience. That’s incredible. Horrifying and incredible.
  11. Wheeeee Congrats to the thriving moss imby.
  12. Could moss just get replaced by adding a shade wildflower/grass?
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