mob1

https://x.com/CharlesPeekWX/status/1783989583933251809

Looks like it hit Minden head on, velocities were crazy as it passed over them.

Tornado emergency now for west part of Elkhorn.

PDS warned now.

Is that a satellite tornado south of the main one? It's been showing up on many scans now.

Beast of a supercell. Surprised it doesn't have a PDS warning.

First confirmed tornado of the day

That cell near Sonora TX might have a TDS, it's a bit hard to tell but it also had a nice hook echo before ingesting some showers from the south.

6.3" here, definitely a nice surprise.

Ended with 5" on the nose, not bad at all.

By the time in bombs out the best dynamics quickly collapse eastward. You want the storm to slow a little once it passes our latitude and maybe have a bit more of a northerly heading as the CCB matures. I guess beggars can't be choosers, but this is not ideal for optimal dynamics.

We're also losing dynamics with each successive run. A deamplified storm may be good for our location in terms of snow in general, but you're losing good rates and dynamic cooling in an already questionable airmass. You're essentially trading a formidable snowstorm for northern areas for a slop fest in our backyards.

I'd kill for that. Given the temperatures to start, dry midlevels at the storms closest approach (that aspect is always undermodeled)- then it'll take some time to moisten the columns again and by then the storm is moving east quickly and it'll be daytime anyways so it'll likely be white rain. If NYC records an inch, I'll consider it a win.