Powerball

Really surprised at how well the dewpoints held up despite the NW flow and deep subsidence.

Yes to downsloping.

On the plus side, that might be enough to hold temps down on Thursday...

Oof...

That might also explain why the models have backed off on what was nascent potential for cap busters along the front Wednesday...

100*F+ seems fairly likely for Detroit tomorrow. About as perfect as a setup as you can get...

Funny thing is, while humidity will be lower, there's likely a better shot at 100s with this round compared to the last one, with the peak currently projected to be Tuesday/Wednesday. Duration is a lot more questionable though (especially with NE extent).

The bolded is certainly impressive, and surprising.

There were also several reports I've seen of a full-blown dust storm preceeding the rain....

https://x.com/i/status/2073156007291699252

95*F still did manage to happen after all at the last possible moment (5pm obs). So that's 3 total for Detroit this heatwave..

There's also a SPC Enhanced Risk area now for Southern MI, all the way from Lake Michigan to Detroit, for daamging winds. Funny enough, there are areas in the Enhanced Risk now that weren't even in the Slight Risk earlier. SPC mesoanalysis does indicate the atmosphere's finally recovering across Metro Detroit from this morning's outflow bubble as well...

That is (unironically) a very good analogy, lol...

So multiple things can be true, and your post is also misleading on several points... 1. Yes, Detroit did see its most consecutive number of 95*F+ temps (2) in this stretch since 2011. Yes, it's currently 92*F and the heating cycle for today is technically not over, but as dewpoints begin to pool upward for the remainder of the day after mixing down to the mid/upper 60s ahead of the MCV over Lake Michigan, DTW will likely fall short of 95*F today. 2. Coverage-wise, it is/was certainly the most expansive heatwave since 2012. *HOWEVER* 2. Your claim that it's the warmest stretch since 2011 is debatable at best. Definitely true in terms of overnight lows, but terms of duration for 90*F+ highs (6 days) and warmest daytme high (99*F), that distinction goes to 6/27 - 7/2 in 2012. 3. Relative to the aggressive highs in the model outputs, the forecast highs in the NWS grids as well as the duration of this heatwave that was originally projected (which was at least through the weekend versus ending today), this event was a bust. There's no getting around that.

Flash Flood situation setting up for parts of Chicagoland...