Powerball

While it was an impressive setup on paper, it's not surprising that it busted for Chicago at least. Aside from the convective nature of LES, it is much harder to get ststionary banding on the west side of the lake.

I miss the Snow Advisory and Heavy Snow Warning headlines too...

The latest LOT AFD is insane. Apparently, this has potential to make the history books. In our lifetime, I'm struggling to recall a similar type of setup, especially so early in the season. I hope you Chicago folks enjoy!

For sure it won't be anything like a Toronto winter. But it's also not like going to Miami either, where they get *NO* snow or cold threats what so ever.

Don't be so sure. It's snowed every single year I've been here since November 2020, including 2 events that were 2"+. Larry Cosgrove's even calling for banner winter with 6" this season (for what little it's worth), lol... What you're *NOT* going to see though is snowcover hanging around forever (unless there's another freak February 2021 disaster) and cloudy skies for 9 months out of the year. The sun actually comes out and stays out in between storm systems here

2025 will end up being the 4th warmest October record for DFW (2024 was the warmest). The last week or so really knocked down the average.

I think multiple things can be true. Yes, people might be ready for fall, but I highly doubt they were complaining about having a bunch of warm and sunny days in the mean time. EDIT: Now if it were truly hot/humid weather, then maybe a different story.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for North Texas (including DFW) until 10pm.

I did hear the east side of the city got a surprise strong storm (with flash flooding) yesterday though, which is something. Apparently, DET picked up nearly 2" of rain from it.

The models get far too aggressive with the mixing out of moisture through the column. In dry Summers such as 2022, 1980 and 2023, they're closer to right than wrong. But in years like this one, 2021 or 2015 where there aren't drought conditions ongoing, they tend to be way off.

DFW just recorded its 7th 100*F day of the season as of 3pm. Highs in the upper 90s are forecasted for tomorrow. And looking into the medium/long range, after another bout of below-normal temps this weekend, there's still plenty of Summer (90s) to come yet...

Nelson didn't say anything that others weren't thinking to themselves.

Seems Milwaukee (especially the south side) is really getting a shellacking.

We're even getting the smoke way down here. It will make for a nice sunset, at least.

DFW did finally hot 100*F for the first time this season yesterday. Should log 2 more today and tomorrow.