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August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
NewYorkweatherfan replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
I still think we can squeeze a heat wave here but it won’t likely be as humid. That Bermuda high is very stubborn the last 8 months. If it persists into this winter we could benefit from it with heavy snows. It won’t be too cold but it’ll snow. The bad news would be this heat wouldn’t go without a fight. It would most likely persist into early October. Do I think it’ll happen, no I think we get a breakdown of the overall pattern within 2 weeks and get some rain into Cali with shots of rain around here. Definitely a colder pattern for all! -
Summer Banter, Observation and General Discussion 2018
dendrite replied to MetHerb's topic in New England
love me some CFS fantasy this time if year. Straight out of James' next novel. -
2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread
snowlover2 replied to tornadohunter's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Tornado warning for Urbana OH which is northeast of Dayton. Funnel cloud was spotted. -
Usually I figure at sunset storms will fade and die with loss of heating. This year it gets darkand I'm expecting storms at any minute.
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August dawgs are barking ... but it looks like the month may split
Typhoon Tip replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Euro's had a BD for three or four straight runs... It's getting late in the year... not too late for heat per se, but, it's like the 'frequency' of BD type idiosyncrasies re-enters the ball game by the end of Augie. Already, you can see subtle (at times more obvious) deeper heights and trough translations through central Canada and that's usually a stage setter - Just be leery of that as these models continue to try and offer a one last heat wave before the back of summer truly really is broke...and that we may not get to be a part of it while the rest of the Nation roasts... not impossible. we'll see - -
Saw a tweet about this month being the first time that August opened with 19 straight days of 80+ at Chicago. Looks like that streak is going to end at 19.
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Summer Banter, Observation and General Discussion 2018
Ginx snewx replied to MetHerb's topic in New England
Be there Sat - Today
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Summer Banter, Observation and General Discussion 2018
TheBudMan replied to MetHerb's topic in New England
Looks great Friday night for No Shoes Nation !!! -
CAE above 90 again today, has not been below 70 at anytime since 7/22. The furnace of the SE!
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2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread
Hoosier replied to tornadohunter's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Tornado in eastern Iowa. -
August dawgs are barking ... but it looks like the month may split
Damage In Tolland replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Why am I a d? -
Hello,
Please read my comment that I posted to your 'stock market' related thread!
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August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
Rtd208 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
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Summer Banter, Observation and General Discussion 2018
J.Spin replied to MetHerb's topic in New England
Tamarack is right, ideally you want to report a precipitation number every day, 0.00” or otherwise. With that said, I often don’t report immediately on obvious zero precipitation days if I’m busy (it’s a 365 day a year job, so I don’t mind skipping some zero days and filling them back in later on the monthly zeroes chart). I’ve never been contacted by the auditors, so presumably they know what’s going on. I assume that’s what the monthly zeroes chart is for anyway, and I typically update that the next time I’m reporting precipitation. -
2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread
Indystorm replied to tornadohunter's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
We actually had a nice, noisy garden variety t storm about 3 p.m. this afternoon. I had forgotten what they looked like. We'll see if enough instability mounts behind the warm front for anything else to fire later this evening. -
Yup. So much clearing the past few years the whole mountain has become a massive glade. Hopefully this year the November-December invert doesn't push back opening too much.
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Nice one. Magic?
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let's get a ring of fire derecho next week
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It's true everywhere. It is just way more amplified in spots affected by UHI. But rural coop temps have seen a rise in min temps faster than max temps. Some of the rural areas have barely seen max temps rise while min temps have climbed steadily. You see a lot of this especially at coops out in the plains.
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August dawgs are barking ... but it looks like the month may split
Ginx snewx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
didn't take it that way, just was posting the weekend ahead, had nothing to do with the duck -
August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
NJwx85 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
True dat -
Not a fan of LLJ split to north and south. If anything maybe more surface based stuff in warm sector during aftn.
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August dawgs are barking ... but it looks like the month may split
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Back and forth between you and Kevin. I think it’s funny. Wasn’t meant as an insult. -
See my above post dealing with some of what you and chubbs mentioned. There are plenty of additional datasets that I have seen which call into question various temperature profiles, but I feel like that is a separate topic of debate. I think there is sufficient evidence and theories out there showing natural cycles that explain most of, if not all, the current warming we've seen both now and in past warming cycles hundreds and thousands of years ago. The theories abound from solar irradiance to ocean currents (as Dr Bill Gray points out) to various other possible factors or combination of them. We have much to learn and I have no doubt science will uncover additional data that sheds light on natural variables influencing the warming. Do I think CO2 has contributed some to the warming? Yes, I would agree with this. My belief based on all the data I've read from both sides is that CO2 has added to a natural warming cycle that we are in the process of trying to better understand and study. I certainly respect those who would disagree with my conclusion but I feel there is ample evidence out there to cast doubt on AGW as the only source or primary source of the warming.
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This system's deformation band has dumped 8-10 inches of rain near the Missouri river in the Omaha area over the last thirty hours. Scattered cells around here are dumping pretty heavy rain, but they've been too brief. I got a quick half inch first thing this morning, but reaching an inch has been more of a struggle than I expected.
