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  2. It's still early in the season. It's not particularly common for events in the Plains or Ohio Valley through about mid-March, aside from outlier outbreaks. Limited moisture is a glaring issue, unless you get a string of anomalously strong surface lows diving north into the Upper Midwest. The early signs have been encouraging at the least. While we may quiet down a bit upon finishing up February, I am looking ahead in a cautiously optimistic manner. About two months into the year, we've seen the most early season tornadoes since 2008. Even if we flatline for the next two weeks, we'll still be above climo, year-to-date.
  3. Funny how that works......this is such an ***hole winter......maybe in time I can find it in me to be more mellow and measured like our sage wise folks like yourself with many more years under their belt.....also maybe in time I can lose this weenie tag......****
  4. Ben Bailey showed radar rainfall estimates during the 11pm newscast and it showed a zone of 1-3" of rain fell from between DTW-ARB to between DET-MTC. And that sounds about right, given it roughly aligns with the track of the initial round of storms.
  5. Some real good storms in there, strengthening band.
  6. A little bit more active up north than 3/13/06, but given the generally sporadic nature of severe reports, I'd argue the ENH risk didn't/won't verify. As mentioned earlier, the lack of a well-defined prefrontal trough markedly lowered the warm sector supercell tornado potential. It was simply too early in the season (think moisture) for a notable warm front threat. The only thing that could have offset the calendar would have been a much stronger than forecast surface low. Veering winds coupled with a contaminated warm sector didn't help either, but SPC did a fair job in the short-term, opting for a severe thunderstorm watch over a tornado watch.
  7. Honestly, we probably would have done OK even with the +AO/NAO if we didn't have to deal with a flow that's moving faster than the speed of light. It's very hard to get anything of significance if everything is unable to amplify and instead keeps getting shred to pieces.
  8. No disagreement with you there. 2014 played a not-so insignificant role in zapping my overall interest in weather as well, especially for winter. Hell, the only severe weather event of interest was Detroit's historic flood (and flash flooding technically isn't severe weather). You know that year was bad when even awful years like 2013 and 2015 seemed good in comparison. And yes, the lack of severe weather in 2016 is quite frankly the only complaint I have with regards to last Summer. It was easily the most boring seasons I've ever lived through.
  9. Quite surprised about the amount of standing water in my neighborhood, we must have got crushed with one or both of the lines.
  10. Didn't expect us to remain in a +AO/NAO the entire time, that killed it for the winter. We had no cold source and when we did the PNA would go positive and we'd have no moisture source.
  11. How did I miss this gem?
  12. Creeping Red and blue grass mixed do well in shaded areas
  13. I guess too much of a good thing isn't always good.
  14. Just walked the dog in a t-shirt-1AM on a February night. Somehow it's possible to have temperatures 90 days ahead of schedule in February. In August these days-naso much.
  15. Today
  16. There's going to be some record cold temps. broken this March if the GFS 0z run is right. It's depicting colder than average January highs during the first half of March. People are going to be very surprised by the time this record torch is over. I always thought the point to this climate change is the extremes of it. It's only going to get worse in my opinion. This is why I had a feeling that March will be below average month and so is the first half of April! Plenty of snow chances according to the GFS with a +PNA!
  17. It will snow in March. Hopefully a warning criteria event or two. I've been getting a fair amount of thunder and lighting for almost the last two hours. From what I've gathered, here is the extensive record list from Friday from Ohio and immediately surrounding areas...Wow! The high temperature at Cleveland Hopkins reached 77 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 69 degrees set in 1961. This also breaks the previous all-time February record high of 74 set on February 26, 2000. This also ties December 3, 1982 as the highest temperature recorded in meteorological winter (the months of December, January, and February). The high temperature at Akron-Canton reached 76 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 68 degrees set in 1961. This also breaks the previous all-time February record high of 72 degrees set on February 26, 2000. This also ties December 3, 1982 as the highest temperature recorded in meteorological winter. The temperature at Mansfield reached 74 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 67 degrees set in 1961. This also breaks the previous all-time February record high of 71 degrees set on February 26, 2000. This also breaks the previous warmest temperature record in meteorologist winter of 73 degrees set on December 3, 1982. The temperature at Toledo reached 71 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 61 set in 2000. This also ties the previous all-time February record of 71 set on February 11, 1999 and on February 26, 2000. This also ties the highest temperature recorded in meteorological winter of 71 degrees which has been previously hit four times. The temperature at Youngstown reached 75 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 67 degrees set in 1967. This also breaks the previous all-time February record of 73 degrees set on February 26, 2000. This also breaks the previous warmest temperature recorded in meteorological winter of 73 degrees set on February 26, 2000. The temperature at Erie, PA reached 77 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 67 set in 1906. This also breaks the previous all-time February record of 75 set on February 26, 2000. This also breaks the previous warmest temperature recorded in meteorological winter of 75 degrees set on December 3, 1982 and on February 26, 2000. The temperature at New Philadelphia reached 77 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 66 degrees set in 1985. The temperature at Zainesville reached 76 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 70 set in 1961. The temperature at Columbus reached 78 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 72 set in 1961. This also breaks the previous all-time February record of 75 degrees set on February 26, 2000. This also breaks the previous warmest temperature recorded in meteorological winter of 76 degrees set on December 3, 1982. The temperature at Dayton reached 76 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 67 degrees last set in 1961. This also breaks the previous all-time February record of 73 degrees set on February 11, 1999 and February 25, 2000. This also breaks the previous warmest temperature recorded in meteorological winter of 75 degrees set on January 21, 1906. The temperature at Cincinnati reached 78 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 72 degrees set in 1930. This also breaks the previous all-time February record of 76 set on February 10, 1932. This also breaks the previous warmest temperature recorded in meteorological winter of 77 set on January 24, 1943. The temperature at Parkersburg, WV reached 79 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 73 degrees set in 1961. This also breaks the previous all-time February record of 77 set four times…on February 8, 1900, February 11, 1932, February 25, 2000, and February 26, 2000. This also ties the previous warmest temperature recorded in meteorological winter of 79 degrees set on December 10, 1971. The temperature at Huntington, WV reached 80 degrees. This breaks the old daily record of 73 degrees set in 1930. This ties the all-time February record of 80 degrees set on February 25, 1930. This also ties the previous warmest temperature recorded in meteorological winter previously reached 2 times…on December 3, 1982, December 31, 1981, and February 25, 1930.
  18. I actually think winter tree ID is easier in some respects. Nothing is easier than IDing White Oak at this time of year as they tend to retain their leaves and their distinctive light grey bark is a dead giveaway. The same can be said of Beech and some other oak species like Pin Oak. I wonder if I could grow a White Oak up in VT above 2K as they're my favorite species. They fade out at about 1K around here (up to ~1.4K on SW exposures), while Red Oak goes to about ~1.7K (up to a bit above 2K on SW exposures), so it would be a stretch, especially since my location faces ENE.
  19. Lol...this last page is funny! So true too! Jeb, you wouldn't like the crow. It is overboiled and soggy from all the warm rains of this winter. Perhaps you could try a magnolia and daffodil salad, as I have seen man posts of blooming gardens around the nation.
  20. To be fair, he was kind of right for *parts* of New England (although most of it was confined to 2 weeks in February)...
  21. I STILL INSIST Washington DC will see accumulating snow in March. THIS year. I NEVER, EVER give up on Winter.
  22. And that was *AFTER* starting off the day with temps around 40*F, mostly cloudy skies (aside from the 30-45 minutes of full sunshine) and even dense fog during the mid-morning hours. Ridiculous.
  23. I was extremely wrong, and I admit it. Can I have my crow hot and well seasoned? Please?
  24. pipe dream
  25. It def is... lets lock it in
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