bluewave

The summer of 1996 was actually one of my favorites. All the cooler rainy days kept the beaches quiet. Since even a cool summer is plenty warm for the beach and swimming. Plus it came after the best winter I ever experienced. Gone are the days when nearly the whole area gets under 10 days a year reaching 90°. Data for January 1, 1996 through December 31, 1996 days reaching 90° Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 13 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 11 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 10 NJ CRANFORD COOP 9 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 9 NJ HARRISON COOP 8 CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 8 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 6 NY MINEOLA COOP 6 NY NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 5 NJ ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 5 NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 5 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 5 NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 5 NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 4 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 4 NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 4 NY WEST POINT COOP 4 NY OCEANSIDE COOP 4 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 4 CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 4 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 4 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 3 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 3 NJ WAYNE COOP 3 NY SUFFERN COOP 3 NY WEST NYACK COOP 3 NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 3 NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 2 NY MIDDLETOWN 2 NW COOP 2 NY WANTAGH CEDAR CREEK COOP 2 CT DANBURY COOP 2 NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 2 NY SEA CLIFF COOP 2 CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 2 CT COCKAPONSET RANGER STA COOP 2 NY PATCHOGUE 2 N COOP 2 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 2 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 2 NY WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 1 CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 1 NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 1

Harrison and Newark are both in the westerly downslope zone today. Harrison NJ 2025-07-09 15:16 APRSWXNET-CWOP 94

It’s sounds like you would really enjoy living is a desert environment. If you can deal with the heat, it’s actually a very beautiful ecosystem. I tend to enjoy cooler climates and was fine with all the cooler summers that I used to get growing up back in Long Beach.

No surprise given the record marine heatwave east of Japan.

Newark was tied with Corona for the highest temperature yesterday at 100°. Back on 6-24 Newark was only 3rd warmest. But now that NY State and Con Edison installed the Micronet, we can get an accurate assessment of what kind of heat the urban dwellers have to deal with. Since our airports are all right on the water and get cooling sea breezes. People living in these interior urban centers away from the water experience higher temperatures. 7-8-25 highest temperatures across the region Corona, Queens…..100° Newark, NJ…………100° 6-24-25 highest temperatures across the region Ozone Park South, Queens….105° Corona, Queens ………………..104° Harrison, NJ………………………103° Newark, NJ……………………….103° JFK…………………………………..102° LGA………………………………….101° ISP…………………………….……..101°

It’s impressive how competitive Eastern Long Island has been on 90° days so far. New York 90° Day Data for January 1, 2025 through July 9, 2025 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 12 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 12 BAITING HOLLOW COOP 10 POUGHKEEPSIE/HUDSON VALLEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 10 Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 10 PORT JERVIS COOP 9 JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 9 New York-Kennedy Airport Area ThreadEx 9 SARA NEW YORK RAWS 9 ST. JAMES COOP 9 DANSVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 8 SARATOGA SPRINGS 4 SW COOP 8 VICTOR 2NW COOP 8 LANSING MANOR COOP 8 WEBSTER 2 NE COOP 8 STONYKILL NEW YORK RAWS 8 ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 7 DANSVILLE COOP 7 SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT WBAN 7 Islip Area ThreadEx 7 GANG MILLS NEW YORK RAWS 7 SHERBURNE NEW YORK RAWS 7 New Jersey 90° Day Data for January 1, 2025 through July 9, 2025 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 17 Newark Area ThreadEx 17 OCEAN COUNTY AIRPORT WBAN 16 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 15 CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 15 TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 14 HARRISON COOP 14 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 13 Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 13

There was no manipulation of the data. Our coldest winters in the CONUS have been warming at a slightly faster rate than the warmest winters have. You have to put away the notion that temperatures are going to warm evenly everywhere and across different seasons. The US and the world were in more of a stable climate from the 1890s to 1970s. There was only a very gently incline in temperatures over this period. The early stages of the warming acceleration didn’t begin until the 1980s. This rate of warming has rapidly increased over the last decade. You originally posted the maps from the 1978-1979 winter. The reason we could still get very cold winters as recently as the 1970s was that the temperatures weren’t all that different from the 1890s. It was a bit more than a degree cooler than experienced in the 1890s and 1930s. So it was in the same ballpark as the very cold winters from the earlier eras. 2024-2025 and 2020-2021 were essentially tied for the coldest winters of the 2020s so far. This level of cold is significantly warmer than the 1970s were. It’s no coincidence that the coldest winter was right before the steep increase in our winter warming began. Sometimes we get very cold months or seasons just before temperatures begin a steep rise. So this is why things have warmed so much relative to the 1970s. Coldest U.S. winters by decade since 1890s 1890s…27.95° 1900s…28.69° 1910s….29.11° 1920s...28.73° 1930s…27.78° 1940s….30.14° 1950s….31.44° 1960s….30.40° 1970s….26.62° 1980s….30.56° 1990s….31.12° 2000s….31.26° 2010s…..30.70° 2020s…..33.64°

Great Lakes snowbelts can do very well again like last winter with the record lake temperatures continuing. Record-breaking lake effect snow arrives as winter starts BY NICOLE COLLINS PUBLISHED DECEMBER 11, 2024 Not only were these totals impressive, but some were record breaking! Erie, Pennsylvania broke its snowiest day record with 22.6 inches falling on November 29 since records began in 1893. Gaylord, Michigan had 24.8 inches on November 29, making it the snowiest day on record since the site began recording in 1998 and Perrysburg, New York saw 30.6 inches on November 30, making it the snowiest day on record since the site began recording in 2003. This impressive lake effect snow event may be attributed to the warming water temperatures of the Great Lakes. By the end of November, both Lake Erie and Lake Ontario had year to date record high water surface temperatures. This is partly due to both an above-average 2024 fall season temperatures as well as a warm 2023-2024 winter season. This continues the average warming trend in the lake temperatures over the past 30 years. Warmer lakes increase the temperature difference between the water and air, encouraging more lake effect snow when conditions are right. https://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/record-breaking-lake-effect-snow-arrives-winter-starts

Most of the models had mid to upper 90s. Plus you can’t use convective outlooks as an IMBY forecast. It’s a general forecast for the outlook region. Some areas got very little rain and others had flooding.

1978-1979 was the coldest winter on record for the CONUS going back to 1895. The average DJF temperature was 26.62°. The 2013-2014 winter was the 33rd coldest at 31.25°. This past winter was the #106 coldest at 34.31°. So in just under than 50 years our coldest winters have warmed by 7.69°F. This winter had one of the smallest cold pools on record for the Northern Hemisphere.

What models have been you been looking at? They all had 90s today with very high dewpoints. Followed by afternoon thunderstorms. Florida weather means thunderstorms one minute and the sun coming out soon after. Not some kind of washout. Very heavy rain in a short amount of time. We need organized tropical systems for a complete washout this time of year.

Florida Keys weather here along the CT Shoreline. New Haven MOSUNNY 88 78 72 SW12G17 29.96F HX 101 KEY WEST MOSUNNY 89 78 70 NE12G20 30.16F HX 103

The semi-permanent subtropical ridge between 30°-60° N circling the Northern Hemisphere warming the SSTs below. As to why that mid-latitude band is the focus is anyone’s guess. While the climate models forecast the ridge axis and SST warming to be located more north, It’s verifying further south. Probably just an incomplete model based on our current understanding of the climate. But at least the model got the idea of stronger ridging warming the SSTs below correct even if it’s located further south.

Yeah, this has been the dominant pattern of the 2020s.

Active convective pattern next few weeks. So it doesn’t look like the late June heat will be able to be matched through the reliable forecast period. But a generally warmer pattern with plenty of convection opportunities. Through July 14th July 14-21