bluewave

Long Island has done better in March than December with snowfall over the last 4 years. The bar is set very low this March since ISP only had a trace in December. Dec...18.....T.........Mar.....19......? Dec....17....6.0......Mar.....18....31.9 Dec.....16....3.7.....Mar.....17....7.4 Dec.....15.....T.......Mar.....16.....3.2 Dec.....14.....0.4....Mar.....15.....19.7

The last 10 days January was up there for some of the most wasted cold of all time around here. At least the single digit cold at the beginning of Jan 2018 produced with the 950 mb benchmark blizzard.

There hasn’t been much middle ground with Marches during the 2010’s. While most have been cold, the few warm ones were record warm. NYC March 2018....-2-4 2017....-3.3 2016....+6.4 2015.....-4.4 2014....-4.8 2013.....-2.4 2012....+8.4 2011....-0.2 2010...+5.7

The SOI finally got the memo that this is an El Niño year. 17 Feb 2019 1009.02 1010.50 -29.88 -4.72 1.12 16 Feb 2019 1010.66 1011.10 -24.88 -3.35 1.37 15 Feb 2019 1012.06 1010.15 -13.59 -2.47 1.44 14 Feb 2019 1010.95 1010.30 -19.64 -2.26 1.32 13 Feb 2019 1010.29 1010.80 -25.22 -1.77 1.38 12 Feb 2019 1010.38 1010.50 -23.34 -1.07 1.64 11 Feb 2019 1011.48 1010.70 -19.02 -0.59 1.89 10 Feb 2019 1012.02 1009.00 -8.26 -0.15 2.13 9 Feb 2019 1011.34 1007.10 -2.40 0.20 2.22 8 Feb 2019 1010.44 1007.85 -10.33 0.04 2.37 7 Feb 2019 1010.46 1007.30 -7.59 0.30

Let’s hope the EPS showing a relaxation of the SE Ridge works out in about 10 days. Maybe we get a window near the beginning of March for a more significant snow event than we have seen recently.

Yeah, it’s all a matter of how close to the jackpots of the individual storms your area got. I missed the best jackpots in 09-10, 12-13, 13-14, and 14-15.

My favorite snowstorms winters this decade were 10-11, 15-16, and 17-18.

The last time we had a real -NAO during the winter was around the January 2016 blizzard. The KB block building back across Greenland saved that winter. We also got lucky with the -NAO In March 2018.

This was the most hostile Pacific for snowfall here in years. That big ridge north of Hawaii was something out of the most unfavorable La Nina’s. It’s a shame since we actually had pretty decent Greenland blocking in the means.

This is our first El Niño February with such a strong Southeast Ridge. Almost looks like a lingering influence from the La Niña last February. It’s odd events like this during the 2010’s that make seasonal forecasting such a challenge.

Cooler along the shores with the southerly flow and 41 degree ocean temperatures.

63 now at Newark.

Another day that the highs beat guidance. 60 degrees at Newark now. 3rd 60 degree day this February. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Kewr

ISP picked up 15.8 with the 950 mb benchmark blizzard. They were also in a prime location for the heaviest late season snows. ISP 17-18 Dec....6.0 Jan.....22.0 Feb.....1.4 Mar.....31.9 Apr.......4.6

Yeah, I recently mentioned the lack of 20-30” snowfall seasons this decade. ISP is yet to have a single season in this range for the 2010’s. Most of the years this decade were 40” and above. ISP snowfall 1 2019-04-30 7.2 75 2 2018-04-30 65.9 0 3 2017-04-30 39.3 0 4 2016-04-30 41.4 0 5 2015-04-30 63.7 0 - 2014-04-30 63.7 0 7 2013-04-30 46.9 0 8 2012-04-30 4.7 0 9 2011-04-30 55.3 0 10 2010-04-30 53.8 0