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bluewave

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Everything posted by bluewave

  1. Looks like we’ll see a cool start to April.
  2. What a snow drought between 96-97 and 01-02. My only memorable snowstorms during that stretch were the March 99 surprise and the one near the end of December 2000.
  3. Yeah, we have had a warmer than normal April here on Long Island even with an average temperature under 50. Takes us time to really warm up with the ocean still so cool. 2002 was the year without a winter that had a head start on the heat. I set a record for winter LB boardwalk bike mileage with such a mild and dry weather. There were several winter days when the bikers and joggers were wearing shorts. Epic reversal to cold and snowy the following 2 winters. But I did see a jogger in only a lightweight track suit when it got near 0 in January 2004. ISP....+2.4....49.6 NYC..+2.9...53.9
  4. Tough to compete against 2002 since it’s the closest we came to hitting 100 in April. Newark warmest April high temperatures. 1 2002 97 0 2 1990 94 0 3 2009 93 0 - 1976 93 0 5 2010 92 0 - 1994 92 0 7 1974 91 0 - 1960 91 0 - 1942 91 0 - 1941 91 0 11 1977 90 0 - 1962 90 0
  5. First 80 of season for NYC and second at Newark. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=NYC&product=CLI&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=EWR&product=CLI&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
  6. 3rd highest number of 60 degree or warmer days for NYC from 04-01 to 04-18. 1 1969-04-18 15 0 - 1968-04-18 15 0 3 2010-04-18 14 0 - 1981-04-18 14 0 - 1945-04-18 14 0 6 2019-04-18 13 0 - 2017-04-18 13 0 - 2015-04-18 13 0 - 2012-04-18 13 0 - 2006-04-18 13 0 - 1980-04-18 13 0 - 1963-04-18 13 0
  7. November and March were the few times over the last year that we saw the WAR relax. It pretty much ran the table for the DJF resulting in near record low snowfall over that period. Notice how the influence of the Greenland blocking often gets muted under this regime.
  8. No let up in sight for this very strong WAR pattern. Warmer than normal temperatures with occasional shots of tropical moisture continues. Notice how the 500 mb pattern is perfectly mirroring the SST departures.This is how we end up with the same pattern for months and months.
  9. Can you guess where the warm front is?
  10. That is the current Euro summer forecast. Could also mean another year with more close in hurricane and tropical storm activity from the GOM to East Coast. https://mobile.twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1118514451827843072
  11. Areas to our SW look to make a run on 80 today.
  12. bluewave

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    9 tornadoes now confirmed in PA with the recent severe event. https://www.pennlive.com/news/2019/04/9-tornadoes-confirmed-across-pa-during-weekend-storms.html
  13. bluewave

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    The general pattern has been decreasing tornadoes in the Plains with an increase to the east. The last few years may just be an extreme version superimposed on this general trend. https://www.apnews.com/9ddb3deeec9a49d6a1349b78f1ca0f03
  14. bluewave

    Spring 2019 Banter Thread

    Good question. This SST animation says it all. https://mobile.twitter.com/Climatologist49/status/1117829120316981249
  15. bluewave

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    They updated the count to 6 tornadoes so far in 2019 for PA after 5 the other day. https://www.post-gazette.com/news/environment/2019/04/16/Five-tornadoes-confirmed-in-Pennsylvania/stories/201904160094 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/states.php?month=00&year=2019&state=PA PA Total Reports = 85 Tornadoes = 6 Hail Reports = 16 Wind Reports = 63
  16. bluewave

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    PA continues to run ahead of OK in the tornado count. The 3 tornadoes in PA with this storm plus the one in January gives them 4 on the year so far. https://www.mcall.com/news/pennsylvania/mc-nws-pa-tornadoes-20190415-waleasja2zfntjsdg56pxnmrpq-story.html https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/newm.html Annual tornado numbers 2019....PA...4....OK....0....so far 2018....PA...31..OK....24 2017....PA...26..OK....62 2016....PA....9...OK....55 2015....PA...12..OK....111
  17. This April is continuing the 2010’s temperature departure reversal theme from March. NYC is on track for 7 out of the last 10 Aprils finishing with a positive temperature departure. March was the complete opposite with 7 out of 10 colder years. NYC Apr 2019....+3.1 so far 2018....-3.5 2017...+4.2 2016...+0.3 2015...+1.3 2014...-0.7 2013....0.0 2012...+1.8 2011...+1.3 2010..+4.9 Mar 2019...-0.8 2018...-2.4 2017....-3.3 2016...+6.4 2015...-4.4 2014...-4.8 2013...-2.4 2012...+8.4 2011....-0.2 2010...+5.7
  18. bluewave

    Spring 2019 Banter Thread

    Notice how the 500 mb height anomalies aligned almost perfectly with the SST departures. The WAR/SE ridge has become our new default pattern.
  19. Looks like our next subtropical moisture connection with the storm Friday into Saturday.
  20. bluewave

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    70 mph gust at Sandy Hook. https://mobile.twitter.com/iembot_phi/status/1117742861468852225 At 4:42 AM EDT, Sandy Hook [Monmouth Co, NJ] BUOY reports MARINE TSTM WIND of M58 MPH. PEAK WIND GUST OF 70 MPH.
  21. 2nd day in a row for record warm minimums across the area. Very impressive subtropical moisture feed into our area for April . This lead to the intense convection this morning. It was my most frequent and intense display of CG lightning here on Long Island for the month of April. https://mobile.twitter.com/iembot_okx/status/1117675844107939841 OKX issues Record Event Report (RER) at Apr 15, 2:26 AM EDT ...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT CENTRAL PARK NY...
  22. bluewave

    Spring 2019 Banter Thread

    https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSChicago/status/1117611205160570886?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet As of 9 pm, today's official snow total for Chicago (O'hare) was up to 5.3" making it the 2nd snowiest calendar day on record for so late in the season. This missed the record snowiest day for so late in the season by only 1 tenth of an inch! The record is 5.4" back on 4/16/1961
  23. bluewave

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    My most frequent and intense display of CG lightning here on Long Island for the month of April.
  24. The new Euro seasonal locks in the SE Ridge/WAR through early next fall. https://climate.copernicus.eu/charts/c3s_seasonal/c3s_seasonal_spatial_ecmf_2mtm_3m?facets=undefined&time=2019040100,2184,2019070100&type=ensm&area=area06
  25. Gap in the marine layer. https://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/columbuscircle/?cam=columbus_circle
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