uofmiami

44.9 this morning.

43 for the low in Syosset.

12/20

Yeah with the exception of July’s heat that has been the case. The high DPs and I’m sure very warm overnight lows allowed us to have AN temps. We didn’t have much record high heat this summer. Feeling good with my 0 90-degree days call for Central Park this month.

I don’t think NYC hits 90, thanks to vegetation. LGA & EWR numbers are possible.

Of course clouds are burning off after they finally amended point & click to party sunny here. Looks like they may have to update forecast again back to mostly sunny.

OKX at 7:30 talked about the cloud cover upstream. Not sure why they didn’t go partly cloudy though. NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... For this update just tweaked clouds for the next several hours based on satellite trends, otherwise forecast is on track. The biggest change to Sunday`s forecast has been to increase cloud cover from previous forecasts. The modeled sky cover has not lined up with what has been going on upstream across PA and the Eastern Great Lakes. Therefore have taken a compromise approach with respect to clouds for today as skies should average out partly sunny overall, with more in the way of mostly sunny skies further east across the region. Intervals of varying cloud cover with mainly scattered to broken cloud cover is anticipated further west, especially later in the day. Temperatures will average near normal with upper 70s in the metropolitan areas, with lower and middle 70s closer to the coast. The winds should average between 5 and 10 mph across much of the region, with an afternoon sea breeze more likely along the immediate south shore of western Long Island, Queens, and Brooklyn.

Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 1022 PM EDT Mon Sep 2 2019 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 09/02/19 TORNADO EVENT... .Preliminary survey results for Suffolk County, NY... Start Location...Manorville in Suffolk County, NY End Location...Manorville in Suffolk County, NY Date...September 2 2019 Estimated Time...4:33 to 4:38 pm EDT Maximum EF-Scale Rating...EF0 Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...85 mph Maximum Path Width...50 yards Path Length...1.6 miles Beginning Lat/Lon...40.8417/-72.8313 Ending Lat/Lon...40.8646/-72.8235 * Fatalities...0 * Injuries...0 ...Summary... A severe thunderstorm moving northeast over Mastic/Shirley and then into Manorville in southeast Suffolk County produced an EF0 tornado. The tornado first touched down on Dayton Street, about 400 yards south of the intersection of South Street and Dayton Avenue in Manorville. It sheared large tree limbs and the tops off of dozens of oak, maple and pine trees, as well as uprooting at least a dozen shallow rooted large trees. Several electric poles were downed by falling trees on this block, with collateral tree damage noted to a few houses in the neighborhood. The tornado continued northeast through the south end of neighboring Rosewood Street and then across its intersecting cross street of South Street. Several more trees were uprooted, large limbs broken, or tree tops sheared on this leg of its path. Facing houses on the north and south side of South Street had widespread tree damage and uprooting. A shed was destroyed in this location as well, with damage to residences in the form of sporadic blown off shingles and siding, missing storm screens, and a couple of broken windows. The tornado then continued northeast through a wooded area, where more tree damage was noted, before crossing the Long Island Expressway near Exit 69 while lifting. The path of tree damage and debris ended on the service road on the north side of the LIE near the intersection with Wading River Road. Many thanks to Suffolk County Fire, Rescue and Emergency Services, Brookhaven Highway Department, and local residents for their assistance in conducting this storm survey. EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories: EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph EF5...Violent...>200 mph * The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS Storm Data. $$

This should hopefully help the models: The National Weather Service has begun 6-hourly upper-air soundings across portions of the mid-Atlantic and southeastern United States. Six-hourly balloons are also being launched in Bermuda and Nassau in the Bahamas. A NOAA G-IV synoptic surveillance mission is ongoing, and the data from this flight will be assimilated into the 0000 UTC model cycle.

1.89" in Syosset & 1.39" in Muttontown.

54 for the low in Syosset.

I've been bottoming out at 59 of late these mornings. Feels refreshing outside in the morning.

OKX says no! NOUS41 KOKX 231405 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 231815- Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 1005 AM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019 ...STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE ACROSS LONG ISLAND... A line of severe thunderstorms move across Long Island last night. These storms produced tree damage and power outages to portions of the south shores of Eastern Nassau and the western half of Suffolk County. Doppler radar and observational analysis support the damage being consistent with straight line winds and downbursts. There was no evidence of rotation with the storms and no damage surveys are planned. $$

59.8 this morning. Fall like feel outside.

Coworker in Sayville says things picking up. Think she gets lucky and worst winds just pass to her N.