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About forkyfork

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the original forky
- Birthday 03/18/1986
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KEWR
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moisture from the gulf and tropical atlantic
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more elevated heavy convection wednesday night
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SQLN severe risk 6P-10P, then wind advisory CAA G40KT early Monday
forkyfork replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
they should technically be severe convection warnings -
if tomorrow's setup happened slightly later in the season we'd get crushed
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the march sun isn't strong enough for these dewpoints
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it's about to run into weaker convection to its southeast
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this is on track to be ewr's first 1" or greater precip event since the big snowstorm
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this is a slam dunk for 50kt gusts
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how is this not going to result in convection everywhere
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on that second sounding peters posted the juicy cape doesn't start until around 700mb
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i just went through random towns on google maps located in tomorrow's moderate risk area and tbh most of these places could use an ef5
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there isn't much low level cape even on the hrrr