USCAPEWEATHERAF

I believe the second Atlantic Hurricane on the models is a threat but maybe heads out to sea as well.

I don't either, I gained a different perspective on destruction after the EF-1 tornado that lasted five minutes here in Harwich. The day without power. It was long enough without technology. I just hate that. I want to watch the Patriots.

The models this morning have been on point with that turn to the east right as he got off the Cape Hatteras area. He has swung way right recently but is gaining convective organization.

Scott, you want the destructive power of a hurricane? i am so happy he isn't coming close enough for hurricane-force wind gusts. I will take the heavy downpours and a few gusts to 45mph and call it a night. Less of a power outage threat.

Good luck changing the jet stream, it is more likely to get a winter storm west 75 miles than a hurricane 75 miles west. Tropics are more fragile atmospherically speaking.

haha

I have gained a new perspective on life. I am never wishing for disaster after the 200-yard wide five-mile touchdown of the EF-1 tornado we witnessed on July 23rd, 2019. I saw our outside furniture fly around in the backyard and our tall trees bend all the way over in the wind that had to be at least 110mph. It was an amazingly horrifying experience. I can't imagine what a 934mb hurricane would do to our area for a few hours. Dorian appears to be tightening up once again. He is developing very cold cloud tops in the eyewall.

HAHA

No they won't move the game, the storm is on Saturday morning, the game is Sunday night, I am talking about losing power, that is not something I want.

Not with the wind field like the models are showing, the strongest winds are near his center, indicative of a tropical cyclone.

Dorian stays fully tropical at that time he is down to 934mb

Keep him away, a monster with Dorian's track record is not a storm I want to mess with or take any chances with, I would take on Bob any day of the week, not a storm with Dorian's history, sorry, go away the big storm. We don't want you, I want to watch the Patriots win.

Let's keep him way the f east, no impacts.

The configuration of the gulf stream is weird as it juts northeast from the Outer Banks of North Carolina. It makes sense Dorian would intensify in that pocket was southeast of the benchmark, but closer to the benchmark it would weaken as the SSTs are cooler closer to ACK.

Dorian isn't going to impact us too badly, most of the models are way southeast, the exception is the NAM.