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    The Dawn Awakening
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  1. Winds in the NE Eye wall found by the AF HHs are approaching 190+ mph winds at 883 mb level. The lowest 150 meter average winds are now 150-knots, we are likely dealing with a category five hurricane
  2. Even if it isn't an artifact of the radar, this hurricane is showing no signs of weakening. So you cannot base this just off the radar presentation which does not tell the entire story ever. IR, recon obs, microwave imagery, and other observational tools are used in combination with the radar to paint the picture of the current intensity of a hurricane as intense as Laura. These all combined do not support the simple clarity that the radar data is missing or wrong. The eye wall is present.
  3. Yeah we did, even if it is due west, that portion of the eye wall is just as intense, it was not just the northern portion of the eye wall, it was also on the western side.
  4. Yeah and I am sure they misused the word weather in this situation
  5. that is not what we are discussing here, it is the appearance of the southern eye wall. Not the object inside the eye.
  6. Because it is likely you have the same problem with both radar sites. Each site you referenced is either from the NW or NNW or North. They are trying to dissect a very intense band of northern eye wall convection/precipitation being produced. The rain is falling so incredibly hard the beam cannot penetrate the band of convection enough to get a sample of the southern portion of the eye and eye wall.
  7. I think he meant the first landfall over LA, near Grand Isle, LA, it made landfall on SE LA and then a second over or near Gulfport, MS
  8. Ray you were on target. The central pressure of a hurricane does not reflect the same residual thought in every storm scenario. This is what I mean; in hurricane A, the pressure of 920mb equates to 175 mph sustained winds, but hurricane B a pressure of 935mb equates to 175 mph and hurricane C the pressure of 880mb equates to 175 mph winds. Each example as a different environmental pressure threshold. If the overall environment around the storm is higher compared to average, the center of the storm will behave accordingly and in tandem. The western Caribbean Sea had extremely low environmental pressure when Wilma was a category five hurricane at 882mb. Higher pressures in the environment around the storm, higher the pressures inside the eye of the hurricane. and then vice versa.
  9. Lol... I did a thing didn't I? You folks know what I meant. haha, had too, just pulling your chain.
  10. I see no shear or any implications on satellite imagery that shear has impacted or is impacting Laura right now. Water vapor, IR, visible imagery all suggests that the trough over central/eastern Texas is no longer impinging on the western side of the hurricane, but instead is getting shoved westward by the outer outflow of the hurricane. The western side of the CDO is improving and outflow is expanding outward. The eye has cleared out completely and become stadium effect. CDO is solid. I would expect we see a stronger storm once the NOAA hurricane hunters reach the hurricane for their first pass.
  11. AF 307 heading southward going in for a SW to NE pass soon
  12. Winds above the surface, just about 1000 plus feet high into the column of the eye wall suggests category five intensity is just a mere arbitrary number, winds near 145 knots
  13. A friend from the Air Force he discharged just before I did almost eight years ago now, and he lives in Lafayette, LA. He is prepared and said his city is evacuated!