USCAPEWEATHERAF

WxWatcher the lightning is a clear sign that Barry is intensifying.

I agree, I see that on the NOAA radar site from SE LA. I need the long-range radar site though to see the actual center, it is about 100 plus miles off the coast.

I believe the dominant low-level circulation has found the dominant mid-level circulation center underneath the hot towers developing and beginning to fan out in all directions, wind shear has dropped off significantly from the center, while the outer areas of the circulation have dropped off some, but not entirely.

Also, an important thing to note on the satellite imagery is that the northwest shear on the northern side of the circulation is showing that it has begun to have less of an impact, and is moving away from the circulation. The storm system is moving into a better environment shear wise and also the water temps are unbelievably warm.

I just checked the local radar from SE LA and it shows a rain band finally developing in the northern circulation which means the dry air is finally leaving the region. Also, I think the center is now organizing way south of Grand Isle, LA and in the deeper convection, look at that convergence band on the west side of the storm.

The forward speed has slowed down further.

Recon has found close to 70-knot flight level winds on the north side of the circulation.

Honestly, it looks like that meso vortex has become the dominant one as it tracks southward and gets pulled into the mid-level circulation and deep convection.

Barry looks like a dominant center is finally taking shape much further south of the LA coastline then earlier this afternoon. That center looks to have been pulled southwestward into the deeper convection and thunderstorms produced by the mid-level to upper-level circulation center. Barry could still become a hurricane before landfall tomorrow late morning.

It looks like morning convection looks to impact the immediate SE MA coastline with strong to severe convection with damaging winds and maybe a waterspout or tornado potential exists is non zero.

It really looks like a developing tropical cyclone right now, the broad low is becoming a tightening center southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.

He was talking about the hires NAM model. I think it shows an 899mb hurricane.

Anyone think there is something to see in the area of activity just east of Barbados, like a couple of hundred miles, there is some semblance of a partial low-level circulation present.

Bristol is looking to get hit quite hard.

There is a system developing deep convection over the NW Bahamas, any chance this becomes a storm?