
DanLarsen34
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About DanLarsen34

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Madison, WI
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So, this looks interesting for this weekend.
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Severe Weather for 4/19-4/23
DanLarsen34 replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
Are the storms to the west elevated? They’re looking REALLY good on velocity and structure on reflectivity. -
Severe Weather for 4/19-4/23
DanLarsen34 replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
This is the most prolific long-tracking supercell I can recall in a LONG time. Closest analog I can think off the top of my head in the past couple of years was the Carbondale EF-4 supercell in 2017. I missed most of the action earlier because of work, so thanks for these threads everyone. This has been a crazy day. -
Severe Weather for 4/19-4/23
DanLarsen34 replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
They just said “large and extremely dangerous tornado” in the new warning. You think? Where was this warning 5-10 minutes ago? That’s bad. -
Severe Weather for 4/19-4/23
DanLarsen34 replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
Definite debris ball on this storm, both on reflectivity and on the CC. -
Doesn’t seem like anyone has been bullish on this set-up after the past few model runs. Too many failure modes evident to get very excited about this.
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This is fine gif.
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Dixie Alley is tornado alley at this point.
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This is a really strongly worded outlook for Day 3. Models really shifted in the past 24 hours towards a more dangerous set-up.
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Classic hook and developing debris ball. This is big trouble.
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Hate to nitpick here, but the discussion language mentions “an isolated strong tornado is possible” while the primary threat section says “a couple of intense tornadoes likely.” There shouldn’t be a discrepancy.
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From an SPC meteorologist.
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The sheer number of violent tornadoes is what sets those two apart from any other outbreak. This raises an interesting question: how many total tornadoes, and violent tornadoes, do you need for an outbreak to be considered a super outbreak? This would be a fun discussion topic. I’ve seen some discussion that 10+ violent tornadoes could qualify.