beanskip
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About beanskip
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22 HRRR actually reverts back to a snowier solution for Southern NC piedmont.
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21z HRRR continues trend of switching I85 and US 74 corridor over to sleet sooner.
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Early in the 21z HRRR, the high pressure is a mb stronger and further southwest. As a result, western piedmont switches over to snow an hour earlier at 1z.
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18z GFS hopping on the I85 sleet express.
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Much “sleetier” look along I-85 corridor on this HRRR run than prior run.
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Did Euro Kuchera map ever get posted? Would be appreciated.
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Can’t see model name??
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Anybody have the Kuchera maps for Euro?
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Surprised given how good 850s looked at 24 hours.
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Upstate should be smiling from first frame of euro.
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Just at 6 hours, the 12z GFS 850s improved the entire length of York and Cherokee counties in SC.
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It seems to me the only way to forecast this storm is to start with QPF and move backward. So, if you are projecting, say, 2 inches is liquid and you are projecting 2 inches of snow, you’ve still got 1.8 of QPF to spend.
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It must be nice to speak so authoritatively on a subject so few have been able to fully grasp. I envy that. True clarity is much harder for me. By the way, you opened a parenthesis and didn’t close it.
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Evidence of the 12z shift to colder.
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But it trended better than 6z run. More snow before changeover to sleet/zr, at least per radar graphics.
