wncsnow

Raysweather released their winter forecast for the mountains and immediate area today. Very sound reasoning and good read. http://booneweather.com/public/FearlessForecast.pdf?fbclid=IwAR0PmkqO3m-09XUduhc2kHBHJ8d6Jt5fMboahcNbDQfXnKiM4AZPuVMYzxQ

Robert is my personal favorite forecaster. He is incredibly talented and knows the micro-climates of NC/SC/GA very well. Yes he misses badly sometimes but his forecasts put people like Brad Panovich to shame.

Euro shows a legit gulf low with a strong wedging high in place on days 9/10, too bad its late October!

The HRRR was amazingly good here in Danville, consistently showing 6+ inches of rain and strong gusts when other models showed less than 1/2 of that. Euro failed miserably with the track up here, had it WAY too far south. It was super bad with QPF as well. GFS FV# was much much better.

Two more fatalities in Danville, Virginia from the storm. 3 total from my area alone.. Could be more as the day goes on...

2 more fatalities in Danville.. 3 total from the storm.

5 people have died in Virginia from Michael.. It may go up too..

I'm hearing reports of at least 2 people missing, presumably swept away in flood waters in Danville area...Nothing confirmed yet.

I work for the city, we had 6.75 in 2 hours according to a gauge we have at Public Works. Anywhere from 6 to 8 across the city and winds from 50 to 60 in the worst band. The city has struggled and is trying to get on its feet with a nice river district area that is under a lot of water now..

Dan River is now 28.59 feet. Just a few inches from breaking the 22 year record from 1996 from Fran. If it gets over 30 feet it will be one of the worst floods here in the last 50 years.

I'm trying to post some pictures and video but having trouble. It was a wild day here in Danville. Major river flooding continues and power is out to over 10,000 people in the city. Trees on houses, cars washed away, swift water rescues, etc.

A gauge at Public Works in Danville reported 6.75 of rain in less than 2 hours.. Terrible flash flooding.. The Sandy River has crested at its all time level surpassing Fran in 96. The Dan River went from 8 feet to 23.5 in 3 hours and is forecasted to crest at a record 29 feet..

Flash flood emergency here in Danville. Pretty much whole city is without power and multiple swiftwater rescues are ongoing.

Scary bad in Danville.. gusting over 55 easy. Transformers blowing

Extremely heavy rain here in Danville that is blowing sideways.. Visibility dropping