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About LakePaste25

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KERI
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Location:
Waterford, PA
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
OLR is solidly El Niño. Deepest convective anomalies are forecasted to be around 150-160W. Will need to keep an eye out for a N Pac low as we get into September. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
i expect below average snow in most of the Lake Erie climate sites this winter, as well as Lake America. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Locally I’d much rather have December 1997 over December 2015. But I have my expectations very low. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Would be nice to get one winter without an aleutian ridge, even if we’re dealing with an extended pac jet more often than not. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The plains drought forcing the pattern is Eric’s theory as well. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
+PDO tends to be more indicative that the Pacific was in more of a nino state during the past 5-10 years and vice versa so that makes sense. Weak ENSO is going to have high variability. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If this event doesn’t strongly couple then we need to start making PDO threads rather than ENSO threads. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I hope not. I prefer both hot and wet in the summer like during 2021 because it’s tropical-like. Had 90s and severe storms multiple times per week with lows in the 70s. That was an S tier summer. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Starting to think that maybe it’s the hyperactive pac basin that’s pushing all these high heights into the northern latitudes. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I would have 0 complaints if that happened, would be a needed reset of the W pacific warm pool that a few of us have been talking about here for awhile now -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes. For record keeping purposes I will use absolute ONI however since that is always consistent with the 30 year mean, and RONI is too inconsistent in how it’s calculated between agencies and organizations. For atmospheric coupling purposes I will use RONI. 23-24 and 26-27 will likely get adjusted downward anyway until they become centered on their 30 year climate period. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Climate dashboard is still going with a +3.3 RONI peak. This would be a daily peak and not trimonthly. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Mid latitudes in the northern hemisphere, that is. It is coupling fine in the southern hemisphere. -
super el nino banter thread
LakePaste25 replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
^ good place to grow Alfalfa while giving the farmers free water lmao
