Typhoon Tip

It’s less likely Saturday will produce like that Late spring/early summer temp tomorrow and Wednesday on this NAM run

Oh yeah... and https://phys.org/news/2025-04-himalayan-year-threatening-billion-people.html

Those are wave clouds/undulatus ... they are typical along 40 N in the spring and early summer due to warm air riding over an antecedent cooler/denser air mass. It's going to 75 tomorrow in a warm sector diffusing into a dying cold frontal wash ... then WNW d-slope compression adds... hell, it may even be a warm bust 80.

I hopes so ... need the rain. Sunday looks really nice. It has to rain sometimes - tough shit, it's on the Saturday. But y'all just had an 11 on scale of 1-10 so deal.

I've been writing about this very Climate Change - related subject for a number of years. The biggest hurdle in moving society toward an existential urgency is that it lacks much of any sense in personal experience. It simply doesn't appeal to the native senses in real time. Anthropologically it is shown that people, particularly in groups, will be less likely to believe a new warning or directive when they cannot see the evidence of consequence, directly. This limitation enables denial in all forms... Whether it is divisive and immoral, or just hardened skepticism, notwithstanding. In the article below, published in The Conversation , Alexander Bentley discusses the matter. https://phys.org/news/2025-04-exposure-perceptible-temperature-climate-higher.html It behooves those in the know to learn and understand the audience limitation, in order to strategize a more affecting delivery. This is all a duh intuition. I've likened it in the past to an analogy. We are a quarrelsome species, standing upon the railway to doom as the iron beneath our feet has begun to vibrate; instead of moving off the tracks, all the distracting hysteria instead argues the color shoes being warn to the engagement. One aspect that is interesting ... the idea of younger generations perhaps 'not needing' as much direct evidence exposure to be convinced. There's a suggestion here that some of the persuasion toward accepting the objective reality may come by way of these older generations dying off... This is an aspect I had not personally thought of until reading the passage in the article, 'Young people are growing up with climate change' Momentum toward macro- acceptance and eventual ... better expediency in response, may emerge just by natural mortality of the "obsticularly" limitated population.

what a day ... 65 with much less wind and the clouds are eroding back allowing more sun than anticipated. tomorrow 70s...

I'm planning on the 20% reduction of amplitude that seems to always be a necessary correction in the mid range to pull us back just over the tolerability threshold. It looks like a fropa with the vorticity smearing out N of us. there's are also some reasoning related to GFS specific biases to erode warm heights too much out in time but... it's all negotiable.

Yeah Norway.

frost here sat says overcast which will retard recovery today ..but it won't be 33 tonight. tomorrow begins a period where cloud depending, the afternoons could be more consistently making a run at 70 for 3 or so days. i noticed the 80s on saturday really triggered our green up process. we were budding before, but now all sugar and red maples are flowered well out, and even the oaks are bud swelling. it'll be interesting to compare at the end of the week.

Wind's actually slacked a bit here as we're approaching mid day... Very hot sun, and temperatures tickling 60, it's not near as bad as the gradient pinched CAA impression of the charts would have one think. At a glance that looked like 48 - guess it helps to actually look at the sounding, huh. ha. D-slope for the the win... It's every bit as amazing as yesterday imo, just at the other end of the temperature range. Yesterday made 84 here... 2 more and it would have been too much. 62 here with dying wind, about the purest air available to the planet, under searing sun... man, take this weekend as an embarrassing win of April and call it a day. Holiday weekend no less.... Let's just hope we don't pay for it on the 4th of July like 2020

yup … thunderstorms dying as they move east … punchin the clock. season wasting no time bum pounding convection enthusiast right out of the gates

84

might yet do it down here with the sudden erosion. Temp just popped 80

it's weird... sky bust, then ..temperatures busting warm relative to the sky bust - it's busting in both directions. 77

yeah ...not impressed with this at all. i was afraid of this. we'll see how it plays out. sometimes these morning contamination looks erode back as the sun works, but seeing the guidance with waves of 700, 400, 300 mb > 60% doesn't looks like a scenario that exactly over achieves relative to what it could be. but we've suffered bottom dweller saturday's back to back recently so this is panacea by comparison. no complaints.