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Typhoon Tip

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  1. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    And just to be clear ... that's sardonic by a goodly measure - I just find the general "everything is awesome!" tonality to be a bit weighty at times.
  2. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Heh ...eastern MA and SE NH... RI and eastern ME got screwed period... We go from this piece of utter shit whirling cool pool to a cold front over night and bona fide chilly feel tomorrow, having been effectively robbed entirely for now four days soon to be five with April proving why it is a space and time that is the sin of god himself
  3. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    mm.. replace the mid and high deck cyclonic whirl with sun-destructive pancake as well tho... But yeah, it looks like come early afternoon the sky will be improving(ed) considerably...
  4. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    just in the last 1.5 hours worth of loop there is suggestion of western arc/rim advancing east.. . Seems it'd have to with the Lakes stuff moving into western NY and PA to kick this into motion perhaps -
  5. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  6. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    classic 20 or even 30 F heat sink between HFD and Logan...
  7. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    It's always interesting to me how that atmosphere seems to mirror the Labrador Current so often - ... as illustrated by Steve's repost of the NAM 3-KM 2-m temperatures. It's seen often enough to suggest in the on-going planetary physical machinery of all, a tendency for both fluid environments to move back SW around these ~ latitudes and longitudes. Not all the time or at every time do they happen concurrently ... But as a kind of rest state, the LC flows back SW along the Maritime waters of eastern Canada ...terminating beneath the Gulf interface E of the Del Marva at all times; whereas, the atmosphere finds any way at least excuse imaginable to do the same thing... but often enough to be an indigenous trait of this region. Both pile cold. Whether by sea, up against land. By air over the eastern New England dumpster. It just seems to be a topographic circumstance of our location that is a negative node for fluid systems - like being born with a learning disabillity and having to work extra hard to ever be as warm as the other kids... heh.
  8. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    That satellite presentation and loop cannot more elaborately illustrate New England sore-butt season...
  9. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    This spring is a gem compared to a lot of springs, period. In fact strike that - most springs. Of course it all depends ( subjectively ) on what one considers 'bad' vs 'good' . But going by the leading sane consensus ... bad = cold and wet. You guys have a charmed existence this year. Not bad ...hahaha Some of y'all need to suffer reality about as badly as it has not been. Perhaps then you'll appreciate how good it's actually been ... so far. There are years when it's 80 early and often and those are like 1 :: 20 year seasons... 70s early and often perhaps 1 :: 7 or 1 :: 10 The rest of those years divvy up between 40s, 50s, with cold water. Placing this one in that rank it's probably a 1 :: 5 year as far as crippling persistent in sucktitudes as to challenge the very endurance of man ... Part of the problem about New England sore-butt season is that it's ever nice at all? I mean, if it was low tide cool and clammy all the time and never deviated... we'd probably actually grow so accustomed to it that we're fine. But we'll pop 74 ... 77 ... 82 ... BD and get ass wrecked for 10 straight days... and the set up makes the latter prospect utterly terrifying.
  10. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Well... we've gone and done it again .. Despite this, "Globally, this was the second warmest March in the 140-year record, with a temperature departure from average at +1.06°C (+1.91°F). Only March 2016 was warmer at +1.24°C (+2.23°F). March 2019 also marks the third time (2016, 2017, and 2019) that the March global land and ocean surface temperature departure from average surpasses 1.0°C (1.8°F). The March 2019 global land and ocean temperature tied with January 2016 as the fifth highest monthly temperature departure from average for any month on record (1671 months). The 20 highest monthly temperature departures from average have all occurred since 2015, with March 2016 having the highest monthly temperature departure in the 1671-month record at +1.24°C (+2.23°F)." If you focus on the middle latitude regions of U.S./southern Canada ... there is a relative cool offset result/heat sink: Some 2/3rds of the monthly results stemming back almost 20 years worth have demonstrated a relative negative in the vicinity ... This has at times been more sensible/meaningful...other times, less so. But, 2/3rds is a substantial majority... It seems that in this GW era ... there is an emergent tendency to make N/A a kind of dumping ground. There have been offset hot periods, too... 2/3rds is not 1/1 ... But for some reason... over the last couple of decades of this apparent acceleration of the GW observation, this has not been evenly distributing; less expression of warm departures compared to other areas of the worlds locally. If March seemed chillier than a Globally Warmed world, there might be some at least minimal empirical data to support that. Here's the thing ... March could have been + at all major climo sites and still been "blue" relative to the whole. That's the rub here in how this "missing out" aspect has been playing - we really are not missing out much ( or may not be ); still, I wonder when we'll get a crimson paint month if ever from the GL to NE...
  11. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    we hope... heh. yeah, some thinning... It's about the best hope for getting real sun 'cause this axis of holiday COC shaft is in no hurry to stop pumping into the area with this stagnant slow scenario -
  12. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Oy man... this satellite cannot be more annoying for those that have/ ... perhaps "had," lawn plans surrounding Easter. Which, is a gamble at this time of year anyway - but... New Jersey is the big winner! Their in that dry-slotting with little real CAA and tall mid Auggie equivalent sun sear baking away... Meanwhile, cross about a 2-mile margin of sky-time and it's 50s and drizzly murk with that conveyor now running over top the primary frontal zone that slipped off shore overnight. That puts SNE on the rail-tracks for that moisture freight. I suppose it's really no different than the typical reason(s) to hate-on April's in general... This variation of it, however, is one where a gyre's death flops happen to be centered southwest of New England rather than over Nantucket. So consider ourselves lucky as spring enthusiasts, that we were at least 70-ish the last two days ... could have been worse.
  13. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Seeing as you asked me and covet my unique perspective on the cosmos... eh hm You're weather-related entertainment spectrum down there goes like: convection in spring into early warm season --> heat with a side of heat --> soul crushing boredom --> ice storms ( though a rarefied snow cannot be ruled out...), ...start over again... with obvious and occasional exceptions to every rule... Basically, take our weather, add 10 F to all climo points, boom - which concomitantly does offer more convection dystopia, but unfortunately ... less snow cocaine to feed neurosis-evident poster mania
  14. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Upon seeing this kind of photographic art that's either meant to hint and inspire winter's eternally alive and strong, or does so by accident I cannot help but think ... if it were not for a mere 1,500' -worth of ambient geological elevations, it's that close to not being serviceable as an impression at all. And it strikes how nature is really like that.. You could be abutted right up against the proverbial fire, and not know it. Tornadoes sweep through neighborhoods blowing houses clean off their foundations, while the next door neighbor's window sill flower pot is left unscathed. It really seems any system being observed holds out in it's characteristic nature, ...never yielding or giving in to the adjacent realm, however near. Until the 'boundaries' are crossed ... and then the new paradigm bares little or no resemblance ... Vanquished by time and space, the former only to return by fleeting familiarity. Kind of like that... Yet, we draft up boundaries that demarcate and define the world around us. The difference between tropical and extra-tropical cyclones ... say. When the truth is... those differences are only defined by the separation along a spectrum. You have hybrids... hybrids of hybrids... and on and so forth. Maybe the reality is, nature's boundaries are absolute; the boundaries that man contrive are imperfect - I like that.
  15. Typhoon Tip

    April 2019 Discussion II

    We'll have to see if this has legs but ... the 00z Euro continued where the 12z left off in evolving more eastern ridge along and beneath the 45th parallel. Not for not ... the GFS does so too, however ... appears to wait a couple days to get it done - don't look at the lower tropospheric synoptics, though ... this model does this. It runs out, finds some exo-planets are Eridon Indy that has butterfly life...and then uses their wing flaps to engineer offsetting cold here on Earth. It is thus dubious and uber infuriating... I think part of the issue with the GFS is that it has too much torsional production and when anticyclonic fields are set into motion nearing 90 W it over assesses the backward curl near 70W ... I mean, it's real...but maybe it's too aggressive. The longer version is what tends to bring us BD events among other reasons to retard warm arrival. But it in general arms too much ridging underneath the polarward rims of these continental r-wave warm signals so warm fronts like never get east of the Hudson with this f model... Now that I've glossed over eyes my goal is complete... Anyway, excluding details beneath the 500 mb tapestry for a seconds... Both the Euro and the GFS eventually... are both doing a continental 'tuck' pattern down stream of a pretty significant -EPO burst. What's interesting ... the 00z version of the GFS doesn't have a very defined -EPO ...but aligns the ambient westerlies similarly nonetheless... I mean, we don't have to necessarily have a -EPO to get a robust ridge over the eastern U.S.... but it certainly helps by basic wave spacing arguments to anchor that look. The GEFs -based teleconnectors so-so in support but haven't seen last night's numbers. Previously, the tele was more -PNA tho
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