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About weathafella

- Currently Viewing Topic: December 2019 Discussion
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Old Man Winter
- Birthday 12/01/1946
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KOWD
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I had a trainee from Denver once and when I asked him about rain events in winter he looked at my quizzically. Basically it’s either snow or no and no can include spectacular warmth but no rain.
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Oh you’ll be cooking Monday and Tuesday. No way to escape
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I’m surprised you lost so much Monday during the day. I left for work with decent cover which was intact when I returned around 6pm. The worst part of the storm was the Monday night dry slot.
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Epo can dump cold air into the midsection and give a Chicago blizzard while we have sweaty southerly winds and rain. NAO/EPO combined is money.
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Sometimes it’s good to not worry too much about what’s coming. I look outside and see beautiful snow cover still with lots in trees. Cardinals in the bird feeder against the white back drop. Long....live...winter!!!
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Correct The 2003 system had a more southern track progged to nearly whiff us. The facet that was poorly forecasted was the deformation band sitting over us well west of the progged system.
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11 inches at Logan when 1-3 was forecasted.
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Dews never posts ensemble products in the long range.
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2019 ENSO
weathafella replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Good luck. It will have to be a pretty quiet rest of the month to be that low but it certainly can happen. Obviously I hope you’re wrong but I respect the methodology. -
2019 ENSO
weathafella replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Raindance, regarding the Boston correlation, seasonal total now 7.1 on 12/3. -
There will likely be some cutters but with all the cold available and the propensity of at least transient blocking, we’ll have plenty of chances. Pattern is active.
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Dec 2003 had 16.9 at Logan and most think that was 6-8 low given pns. That was the storm I got stuck in Dallas for....finally when I could come home I was routed through LGA which reported about the same snow as BOS. No comparison to ground truth of snow otg-BOS much more.
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I’m calling it final. Total 9.6. 3.9 round 1 5.7 round 2
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Heavy snow
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Well it was prior run. I still take 1-3...not jaded yet...wait till next month.