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About radarman

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    Belchertown, MA

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  1. We have several trees totally defoliated. In one case we have a fully defoliated Oak with a fully defoliated Ironwood tree underneath... And right next to it an ironwood they didn't touch. It's like they fell off the oak and were like, "sure why not", but it wasn't worth the effort of climbing the neighboring tree. It's horrendous. They cannot die soon enough. Don't think the fungus has made its way up here yet, they're still munching, it's still raining in the woods.
  2. Full page article in the Hampshire Gazette highlighting the damage near Quabbin. It's awful.
  3. Interesting point. I'd assume the greater relative contribution of synoptic scale precipitation toward the seasonal averages in the east reduces variability associated with surface moisture somewhat, but the mesoscale contribution could definitely be affected. Later Spring/early Summer diurnally driven convection would seem to be particularly prone to manmade disturbance, though we saw plenty of complaints from chasers in the 2012-2014 period about not being able to get a half decent updraft W of I-35 even in April and May. And when your upstream areas are hotter and dryer, you'd be more prone to EML advection and associated CIN, on top of whatever direct, local impacts that Ag water management practices were having.
  4. NASA/DOE identified cloud cover and moisture response to GW as a source of significant uncertainty in modeling. For the last 10+ years there have been numerous field campaigns with these types of observations in mind, usually administered through the ARM program. A lot of it is cool multisensor work, (radars, lidars, and radiometers) to get a sense of the full evapotranspiration cycle. 10 years ago back in the summer of 07 we participated in an experiment called CLASIC analyzing cloud formations as a function of surface moisture in SW OK with all sorts of aircraft mounted lidars... it was a great period for our radars with crazy amounts of precip in the S Plains but standing water in the fields made the analysis difficult... not exactly representative at any rate of normal conditions. Suffice to say however that in our short sample it appeared that ponding at the surface begets clouds
  5. If only we could put this NAM run on layaway for 6 mos
  6. FWD just tweeted out that Arlington Municipal Airport picked up .85" in 8 minutes. Good to see the metroplex cashing in here in the first couple days of June after a relatively dry May and before the ridging takes hold. I would say that the DFW airport totals for the month (4th dryest May) is a bit fluky and are not totally representative of conditions around the metro as a whole, but no doubt it was dry, particularly on the western side. Areas further east did a little better... also north up by Denton.
  7. it's disgusting. Sounds like rain in the woods here.
  8. Seriously heavy rain over N Ft Worth and Denton and may move over Dallas in a bit. approaching 4" in the last hour in places.
  9. For lower power radars, high spectral width is often problematic, especially for tornadoes, because quite often an SQI filter is applied to the data. Tornadoes often are occurring in an area of relative lower power return at least compared with the FFD region. Wide spectrum + weak returns is very often filtered out altogether as noise... I have advocated for abandoning SQI filters altogether for that reason actually. It's especially bad in small tornadoes when the entire rotation might fall into one or two radials, or in the dead center of a larger tornado. Even strong rotating updrafts can be problematic, though in that case your SNR is usually higher at least which partially compensates for the wide spectral width.
  10. Some gung ho predictions in here June 1/0/0 July 2/1/1 Aug 3/1/0 Sept 3/2/1 Oct 2/1/0 Nov/Dec 0/0/0 12/5/2
  11. A little bit of sun in the CT valley now... we'll take it regardless of its implication on CAPE.
  12. Poor NH peeps... I blame these threads and of course the wx most misspelled words by state 2016 2017... everything changes, except in NH
  13. Just curiously, why did you pick NH when you're already so close to the HV from Danbury?
  14. The 6/6/10 tornado watch probs were something you'd see in a high risk too. And we know how that went This couple day stretch on the calendar does seem to produce though, and then a lag before it seems to ramp up again. Hard to say if it's just low sample size or if there is a climatological reason... My guess is probably the former, but who knows?
  15. getting noticeably brighter here in the valley after heavy drizzle to start the morning. SPC mentioned some mid level drying and we could sure use it... not just to build CAPE but to build morale. At any rate, the date alone makes me bullish today.