Instructive storm for Tampa area.
The angle of approach and landfall north of Clearwater (Eta will come ashore around Crystal River or Cedar Key) somewhat echos the worst case scenario Hurricane Phoenix simulation. That of course would be a massive Cat 4/5, and would bring a 30+ foot surge through downtown. So obviously not apples to apples.
But Eta is a 65 mph TS and is bringing an impressive degree of flooding thus far. This is not a typical angle of approach for systems here, with the wind and surge stacking and funneling up the Bay and rivers. It’s easy to see how a major+ would be epically bad and likely catastrophic.