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About jaxjagman

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  1. Tn Valley Severe Weather 2018

    Euro continues this pathetic severe season in the Valley,we can't even get a tropical system to produce..lol
  2. Tn Valley Severe Weather 2018

    Alberto got relocated further east today/tonight,so the storm is being shown further east on tonight's models,yeah that's how i feel..lol.The better winds are now being shown to the east of Middle Valley ,east of I-65 anyways,maybe more towards the plateau,but better potential flooding for us as it looks the system could go over Nashville right now,per GFS and NAM
  3. Tn Valley Severe Weather 2018

    Nice catch.I believe we are talking about the same system but i'm slower than what the models are showing or the models are fast,we shall see.Yesterday the the AO was being shown going negative and today it's being shown slightly positive with still a -PNA,less suppressed system
  4. Tn Valley Severe Weather 2018

    System going through Korea in the end of the month,PNA is going - while the NAO is up in the air and could go negative(not what we want,this would suppress the storm),if the NAO stays more neutral/positive we could see a decent system towards the end of the 1st week of June,we'll see
  5. Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.

    The cone just got expanded further east,typical no belief in the NAM..lol
  6. Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.

    Shift to the W on the Euro this afternoonThat's a large cone for our area, so there is alot of uncertainty for the Valley for the exact track.
  7. 16/10/5 June 2/1/0 July 3/1/0 August 3/3/2 September 5/3/2 October 3/2/1 November 0/0/0
  8. Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.

    IMME keeps the ENSO more neutral though summer and the Valley wet
  9. Tn Valley Severe Weather 2018

    The Valley looks fairly active through out the month of June, per the Dashboard.We should see a chance of thunderstorms pop back up Friday as the Upper ridge weakens and shifts east,then we'll see what or if the system in the GOM brings someone next week.
  10. ENSO 2018

    Been hanging out at the french quarters last week for a graduation (don't think i ever want to drink again) Jamstec did a reverse from it's last update.The IODI was closer to a +0.5 now hovering around +2 into Sept-Oct..What would have been more trough in the west with "AN" temps in the Valley this winter,is reversed with with more trough in the east and "BN" temps in the Valley.Stronger more modoki Nino look close if not a moderate one.No real signs of any let go with the wet pattern through fall,no signs of any drought anyways.
  11. Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.

    I took my contacts out last week because of the pollen then stuck them back in during the week-end.Wrong move,i now have an eye infection.This sucks also,nothing worse than something effecting your eyes,your whole body feels it.
  12. Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.

    Nashville is in danger of breaking the record high of 90 today set back in 2016
  13. ENSO 2018

  14. ENSO 2018

    The NMME latest update this month starts to develop a Nino Modoki in August.Then a full basinwide weak Nino by Dec
  15. Tn Valley Severe Weather 2018

    Some signs of a wet June in the Valley.NMME and RRWT is showing it