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jaxjagman

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About jaxjagman

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KBNA
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  • Location:
    Brentwood,Tn.

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  1. No doubt,hardest i seen it rain this afternoon in quite some time,came down in sheets,just needed some convection
  2. Sorry to hear this,havent been on much lately.prayers to your wife for a full recovery
  3. If you start a thread you can moderate it and delete the whole thing,not sure that is what happened but seems possible.
  4. This is looking more and more like the 2010-212 resurgent NINA,just going back through the last 30 year cycle.We was really warm in the 2011-12 winter
  5. Chance for some strong storms tomorrow. National Weather Service Nashville TN 325 PM CDT Sat May 8 2021 .DISCUSSION... Consensus blended model forecast used through Monday afternoon. Broke out a late afternoon zone grouping dealing with continued area of showers streaming northwest to southeast across western and southwestern portions of mid state region, This area is expected to shift southeastward as late afternoon hours progress and eventually move out of mid state region before the evening hours begin. Otherwise, not much overall change from previous forecast reasoning. The surface front that is hanging around mid state region will push northward as a warm front into Kentucky overnight. This will cause the mid state to experience much warmer and humid conditions on Sunday. From afternoon through evening hours on Sunday some strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible with strong to damaging winds the main concern. Best chance for strongest convection will be for locations approaching TN River Valley and southwest portions of mid state approaching TN/AL Border region. During this time period also, strong surface pressure gradient influences could cause winds to gust to 25 to 35 MPH at times. Taking a closer look, by the afternoon hours on Sunday, mid state will begin to see some surface instability (>1000 J/kg) accompanied with decent shear and rather strong lapse rates. Instability does still appear to be a limiting factor, but it does look like mid state region will experience just enough instability to support development of some strong to severe thunderstorms. As mentioned above, damaging winds will be the primary concern, but large hail, and with model sounding PWAT`S approaching at or around 1.5 inches, heavy downpours causing localized flooding, especially across locations approaching TN River Valley and southwest portions of mid state region approaching TN/AL border could occur too. Isolated tornado formation certainly can not be ruled out either.
  6. PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 452 PM CDT WED MAY 5 2021 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR MAY 4, 2021 SEVERE WEATHER EVENT... .SUMMARY...AT LEAST 11 EF-0 TORNADOES TOUCHED DOWN ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE TUESDAY MORNING, MAY 4TH, CAUSING MOSTLY TREE AND POWERLINE DAMAGE, MINOR ROOF DAMAGE, AND SEVERAL DESTROYED OUTBUILDINGS. NWS NASHVILLE WILL CONTINUE PUTTING THE PIECES TOGETHER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS INCLUDING REFINING DETAILS ON PATH LENGTH AND WIDTH, START/END LOCATIONS, AND TIMES. ALL OF THIS INFORMATION IS VERY PRELIMINARY AND WILL BE CONTINUOUSLY UPDATED. AS OF RIGHT NOW, THIS MAKES 16 TORNADOES TOTAL IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE SO FAR THIS YEAR (INCLUDING ONE EF-0 IN COFFEE COUNTY ON MAY 3RD, ONE EF-0 TORNADO IN CUMBERLAND COUNTY ON APRIL 8, AND AN EF-2/EF-1/EF-0 ON MARCH 25 IN WAYNE, RUTHERFORD, AND WILSON COUNTIES RESPECTIVELY). https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OHX&product=LSR
  7. That town is a tornado magnet
  8. Maybe one fixing to pop around Rural Hill
  9. Could be a EF0 rain wrapped
  10. Miss tornado recycled,dont see a whole lot of rotation but it did a short while ago
  11. There is some weak rotation north of Aberdeen,starting up
  12. Crapped out as it got close to Alabama
  13. Looks like it might have just recycled and getting its act together again
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