Chinook

My area got slammed with hail for about 1/2 hour from 6:00 to 6:30. Thankfully, it was smaller hail. The hail depth was 2". There may have been 1.5" of precipitation.

We have had some dew points up above 50 today. this potentially severe storm is tracking N to NNW toward Loveland.

Columbus OH got dumped on yesterday, with up to 2.1" of rain near Worthington (CoCoRAHS report) and a couple of nearby severe hail reports.

Areas of NE Colorado got 0.3" to 4.5" of rain within the last week. Unfortunately, it is still pretty much a drought for the south and west portions of the state.

256 days since severe thunderstorm watch for IWX, DTX, GRR. That's a long time. Ususally some severe watches get issued in Fall and Spring.

NWS issued a flash flood warning for Boulder (including their own office), as 1.5" of rain has fallen in 1 hour. It could be headed toward me.

For a couple of hours, my area had 56-57 dew points, leading to this analyzed 4000 J/kg over Larimer County low mountains and Cheyenne. Even Reed Timmer impressed.

All models have quite a bit of convection and total rainfall in northeast Colorado and Nebraska coming up in the next 4 days. Things may get interesting around here. My place has already gotten a fair amount of rain this month.

Here's something a little off topic. I have noticed today that the 18z 3-km NAM products, as shown on PivotalWeather.com and College of Dupage, have taken from 18:00z till 23:00z, 5 hours, and they're not even completely done. This does not take so long for the 00z 3-km NAM products. Is NCEP just processing that much more computational stuff during the mid-day time?

90 degrees at Two Harbors, MN (near Lake Superior) is considerably above the average July high temperature for that area.

I saw this interesting tweet about radar detected tornadoes (tornado debris signature.)

The GFS shows a decent synoptic setup for severe weather on Saturday, with CAPE of 4000 J/kg in OK and KS. There is a cold front, warm front, and dryline. There could be 70-73 degree dew points in Oklahoma. 0-6km shear values increase from 18z to 00z.

Peak wind of 54 mph at Laguardia International. Kinda bad situation for landing a plane.

radar showing very good rotation with tornado warned storm at Wappingers Falls NY

For what it's worth - possible tornado in Pennsylvania, about 47 mi north of State College. I wonder if Joe Bastardi is chasing this one with his family minivan