jbenedet

And crab grass. The cold weather grasses don’t stand a chance on lawns around here. much of seacoast doesn’t know managing landscapes well and boy it shows in this warmer climate

not typical by climate standards but I do expect this now. Another 90+ degree day here

Not sure what it is this year but no light nig/thunder this year; just downpours and wind.

Gardeners and farmers don’t forget the year ago pattern. It’s imprinted on us like a scar. A few of us here fit that mold.

If you want to make a cogent background warming argument it’s that we have BN persistence in the northeast but N to AN tendency.

Nah. Tuesday/wed is part of the banner. Wall to wall sun is too much of a good thing. Need the rain to keep the landscape happy and the water bills in check.

Is this for Jersey or New England?

The pattern from the winter is still in place, with long wave troughiness continuing in the northeast and frequent Canadian airmasses. Completely different from last year. We sent all the torch the Western Europe. Persistence ftw. This breaks once the fall EL Nino forcing kicks into high gear.

The WPC qpf output is a lot more robust for seacoast NH than model guidance consensus. The storms developing near Rochester NY hold together and swing through this afternoon.

MCS type look down this way. They tend to hold on longer than guidance and are poorly modeled (trajectory, intensity) at very short lead times if they get going. Kind of a mind of its own type deal… Would expect a big fizzle here on the seacoast but with northerly flow, anticipating at least some hefty downpours, which would be nice—could use the rain.

Apples and oranges. Dews… We know this. Miami is +7 to that temp in terms of real feel, heat index, while Denver is -5. So it’s really like 85 Denver, 97 Miami. Yea that checks out….

I think a big missed effect of these much higher dews and in turn much higher night time temps is to increase SST’s a lot faster than one would expect… We get it though—without much thought— but only when this is observed in our back yard pool temp…

71 SST up here before the 4th is just not a thing. Pretty wild. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44098