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jbenedet

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by jbenedet

  1. jbenedet
    And crab grass. The cold weather grasses don’t stand a chance on lawns around here. much of seacoast doesn’t know managing landscapes well and boy it shows in this warmer climate
  2. jbenedet
    not typical by climate standards but I do expect this now. Another 90+ degree day here
  3. jbenedet
    Not sure what it is this year but no light nig/thunder this year; just downpours and wind.
  4. jbenedet
  5. jbenedet
    Gardeners and farmers don’t forget the year ago pattern. It’s imprinted on us like a scar. A few of us here fit that mold.
  6. jbenedet
    If you want to make a cogent background warming argument it’s that we have BN persistence in the northeast but N to AN tendency.
  7. jbenedet
  8. jbenedet
    Nah. Tuesday/wed is part of the banner. Wall to wall sun is too much of a good thing. Need the rain to keep the landscape happy and the water bills in check.
  9. jbenedet
    Is this for Jersey or New England?
  10. jbenedet
    The pattern from the winter is still in place, with long wave troughiness continuing in the northeast and frequent Canadian airmasses. Completely different from last year. We sent all the torch the Western Europe. Persistence ftw. This breaks once the fall EL Nino forcing kicks into high gear.
  11. jbenedet
    The WPC qpf output is a lot more robust for seacoast NH than model guidance consensus. The storms developing near Rochester NY hold together and swing through this afternoon.
  12. jbenedet
    MCS type look down this way. They tend to hold on longer than guidance and are poorly modeled (trajectory, intensity) at very short lead times if they get going. Kind of a mind of its own type deal… Would expect a big fizzle here on the seacoast but with northerly flow, anticipating at least some hefty downpours, which would be nice—could use the rain.
  13. jbenedet
    Apples and oranges. Dews… We know this. Miami is +7 to that temp in terms of real feel, heat index, while Denver is -5. So it’s really like 85 Denver, 97 Miami. Yea that checks out….
  14. jbenedet
    I think a big missed effect of these much higher dews and in turn much higher night time temps is to increase SST’s a lot faster than one would expect… We get it though—without much thought— but only when this is observed in our back yard pool temp…
  15. jbenedet
    71 SST up here before the 4th is just not a thing. Pretty wild. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44098
  16. jbenedet
    I planted Texas grass seed in my full sun spots for a reason…
  17. jbenedet
    Not exactly— there’s definitely indication that the line bends southeast. Down to Boston in the mix for severe along the coast.
  18. jbenedet
    Beats the hell outta watering. Love this.
  19. jbenedet
    I’m taking the severe risk today legitimately; seems we have all the general players positioned very well. Pretty textbook. Just need to have a good sky clearing after this current round of downpours.
  20. jbenedet
    Here in the seacoast region of NH I’ve learned to take a negative bias for surface based forcing and a significant positive bias for mid level forcing. It didn’t come easy—many beatings—thanks to model guidance hoodwinking on days the sensible weather feels primed for severe…
  21. jbenedet
    985 mb near Montreal is pretty damn impressive for mid June climo
  22. jbenedet
    I will shoot rounds into the sky if this happens again here.
  23. jbenedet
    63F for SST’s off coast of NH https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44098 For the date that’s normal for south shore Long Island…
  24. jbenedet
    UNH buoy east of NH already up to 63 degrees…. That’s a month ahead of schedule… https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44098
  25. jbenedet
    This heat always surprises me in terms of how little is needed to make it happen.
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