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jbenedet

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by jbenedet

  1. I think a big missed effect of these much higher dews and in turn much higher night time temps is to increase SST’s a lot faster than one would expect… We get it though—without much thought— but only when this is observed in our back yard pool temp…
  2. 71 SST up here before the 4th is just not a thing. Pretty wild. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44098
  3. I planted Texas grass seed in my full sun spots for a reason…
  4. Not exactly— there’s definitely indication that the line bends southeast. Down to Boston in the mix for severe along the coast.
  5. I’m taking the severe risk today legitimately; seems we have all the general players positioned very well. Pretty textbook. Just need to have a good sky clearing after this current round of downpours.
  6. Here in the seacoast region of NH I’ve learned to take a negative bias for surface based forcing and a significant positive bias for mid level forcing. It didn’t come easy—many beatings—thanks to model guidance hoodwinking on days the sensible weather feels primed for severe…
  7. 985 mb near Montreal is pretty damn impressive for mid June climo
  8. I will shoot rounds into the sky if this happens again here.
  9. 63F for SST’s off coast of NH https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44098 For the date that’s normal for south shore Long Island…
  10. UNH buoy east of NH already up to 63 degrees…. That’s a month ahead of schedule… https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44098
  11. This heat always surprises me in terms of how little is needed to make it happen.
  12. Yea our June’s have been so incredibly warm recently that our collective bias is +5
  13. I’m expecting an overperform today. The mid level forcing tends to meet or exceed for June. Yesterday with the prevailing low level easterly fetch and overcast was a big sell for rain. Not a repeat. Two completely different setups. More early sun too. Fitting the persistence pattern today with the mid level low swinging through.
  14. Guidance way off on the timing of this. Much faster than progged. Gonna be raining here by 20z tonight and out by 10z tomorrow.
  15. Already feeling like shorts.
  16. Lost 1 day to the rain considering the late start yesterday. looking forward to 70 and sun. With 8pm sunset can maximize the opportunity.
  17. This spring has been excellent for young plants establishing and seed starting.
  18. 3/4 days are nice. 65-75 Monday will surprise to the upside. The one day with rain (Sunday) will treat the gardens so I can avoid watering. winning.
  19. Yea you’re good. Im thinking of the 4 days Fri-Monday I lose one to rain. Will lose either Sunday or Monday to rain—trending to Sunday but it’s in and out quickly. Expecting that trend to continue. On the days with sun it will be near 70. Nothing to complain about up here. It’s a shit setup though for the CT, RI, southeast MA.
  20. Nice four day weekend incoming.
  21. It’s not crappy everywhere. Not even close. It’s def not summer vibes but really comfortable for outdoor activities.
  22. Just give us a faint sw flow and it’s Florida. Gotta love how fossil fuel emissions all the focus meanwhile… All those data centers popping up
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