jbenedet

This storm is a pretty good case study though, to be honest. The surface reflection stayed true and kept almost all on the cold side…yet…warmer and warmer with time.

Dews never cracked below 40 here…

120 hrs of weenie shrinkage. And all that while your surface track stayed favorable; over the cape and into the GOM.

I’m trying to do a solid mix of hardy shrubs/small trees with a carpet of grass in the front. Grass is overrated for many reasons but I also think the fact you lose the green in winter is another big negative. I really enjoy maintaining color in the darkest and coldest periods of winter which is why I’m looking for various shrubs/coniferous small trees to take up a lot of the grass area. Year round Color/hardiness (very low maintenance)/water absorption; has been my ongoing project in the front. You guys have any good recommendations? I’m in an urban setting so deer and varmint threats are non-existent.

61/32. What east winds?

Eh man, I have to say that NAO/-NAO tendencies still seems to stick well through early spring. I’m not sure why…

Deck is stacking up that we are very warm during that timeframe. We’ll see. Still the chaos to work through…

Yes. That window 26-29 aligns with the MJO progression quickly through 6. That dip is likely real but very short lived. I was referencing to the period right after which looks like ++AN. 30th through first week of April.

The GEFS guidance teleconnections continues to reflect +NAO/+AO towards ends of the month. Developing -PNA as well... MJO to phase 7. End of the month to first week in april would end up very warm should this verify.. The ensemble guidance isn't on board yet but something will have to start caving very soon...

49/29 already

Yea, that's my senses as well. You connect other dots related to population flows/migration and it's pretty damning

That's worse than higher error. That's "we don't know" data.

Memories are short. Unless the arctic is open and pointed in our general direction, the significant bias relative to norms should be AN. You're just facing terrible odds otherwise...

Holy error bars.... Really lose skill after 7 days on this. Wouldn't be using this as a predictor for the end of the month. Not enough skill. Best to just monitor...

Kind of an irony that a "bad pacific pattern" can actually yield N to BN temperatures in our spring, with the pacific reaching its minimum SST's at this time, and our daily temp averages exceeding this by April. This is all thanks to the ISR which leads the ocean by a few months. In Dec, Jan, Feb a bad pacific is a torch, but that affect disappears by late march. I'm more focused on the NAO/AO phases for that reason...

The teleconnections aren't flagging cold. +AO, and even the NAO tendency is to a positive phase phase state over next 7 days. GEFS also looks warm.... For 95% of us, start planning for plants and seeding; not your next prospect of accumulating snow.

Depressing stats for the east. All of the big gains out west. Basically flat for 40 years in the east. 1983, there was 100 million less people in the US...let that sink in.. There's some bias for booming industry here. "it's packed" Yea it is, but because there's also a lot less competition (supply).

One of you guys should tell the resort—“but at least you guys had a pack in January and February!” and promptly get punched in the face

Funny talking about a good ski season past tense on March 17… I mean, not to mention it also started very late— the Christmas break skiing was non-existent throughout northern New England. There is nothing good about operating a seasonal business and losing 2 months of potential revenue.

I’m convinced you forgot what this region’s actual climate is.

What’s yet. Goddamn are you in politics or what?

The pack wipe will be ahead of 2024 by tomorrow if we’re not there already…season to date, that is… Another really tough year for the skiiing locations, outside of a maybe a handful of spots north of the wall.

Sun is fighting to break out. 61/55 here even with overcast.

The atmosphere is beyond cooked but the clouds keeping most of us this potential capped in the 50’s. No clouds 65+ easily for the region…

“It was a long winter” Pack wiper 10 days ago. Pile wiper today.