jbenedet
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Everything posted by jbenedet
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
jbenedet replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Just clowns -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
jbenedet replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Someone get this guy for loitering. -
The numbers on LI are too low. Nemo did 24-30” on central LI and that was with a sharp cutoff in NY. Basically advisory level event just west of NYC. No deform snows just outside of NYC. This system in much better location and antecedent airmass. Losing basically nothing to white rain, rain or slot with this. Need to see range 24 - 30”; locally 3 ft.
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Great map. I’m looking at this as a coastal storm in all respects.
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This thing will come up the coast off shore. It has the mid level ridging to do it. I’m expecting a more impactful event up here to PWM. The latitude gain won’t translate well to points west though. That sharp cut-off on the western side is legit
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Says the guy who eats squirrels and also is dumb enough to tell everyone that he does
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Awesome vis satellite view this morning with the back door push and block out of SE Canada. Beautiful morning here. Mostly sunny and a warm start. Snow melting in the sunny spots.Would never think a blizzard was brewing.
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Don’t want another under 10” snowfall. No thanks. Blizzard or gtfo
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Had those meso bands set up overnight and sit just to my south/east. Makes sense you ended up with a lot more. Careful shoveling
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I don’t know how people are measuring around here but it was a little less than 3” around 11:30 last night when I shoveled and despite the constant flurries and off-on light snow showers there’s nothing more than a coating. That said in terms of liquid weight the near 3” felt more like 8” of your average snow… This was the wettest snow we’ve had all season by far. Body is soar like I hit the gym hard…
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40/30 Still faint sun through overcast.
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37/27 and sky brightening through the overcast.
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Going long wet bulbing not the way to win a forecast with warm onset and easterly fetch. 12z NAM showing temp around 34 with td 32/33 tonight at least during first few hours. Not a recipe for stacking.
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Winter storm warning here?
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The best rates look at onset and some of the short term guidance is flagging a loss to rain or white rain before transition to accumulating snow. Another reason to hedge against the 5”+ amounts
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Radar looking like it starts around 1pm here Earlier than progged start times do happen with these but jeeze…
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I’m taking the under on this one. It’s evolved from the 6” type scenario with good coastal transfer, and mostly a SWFE with weak players all around - surface high, primary, secondary are all weak… It’s also a much more progressive scenario — short duration. Ratios look 10:1 at best also. I’m going 3” here and calling it a day.
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And yet didn’t come close to the all time records. To me we've just seen the new rock bottom in temps for this part of the world. The antecedent significant cold was one ingredient. The second being that this airmass had no mitigating factors on its way to NY. The only offset was that it originated over a much warmer 70N+…
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Agreed. Probably*
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Yea I was talking duration. I know they do -10’s. It’s a cold climate. Let’s see if it can -15.
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I’m aware. so it is as records go… Will need to look at this in terms of hours sub zero just to scale it.. No idea on the history for Binghamton.It just seems incredibly impressive for this part of the world..
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I’m seeing that Binghamton may not crack zero all day tomorrow either. Air temperature…. I don’t know what that means historically but that’s wild to me.
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We -NAO Need to be west for the serious cold.
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To our west? Yes. West of CT river is probably coldest in a few years. That’s relevant for here. But NY NJ and PA are challenging records.
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Somebody’s nervous… NYC is below 6F, by midnight tonight.
