jbenedet
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Everything posted by jbenedet
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Trading today for a much better Friday. Possibly Saturday too as I’ll be in Portland
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It’s a significant -NAO in late April which will yield AN in a chunk of our subforum. The guidance is still catching on to the phase shift. You can see it coming into focus on the ECAIFS. Pull it forward. MJO Phase 1 has highest correlation and significance for AN this time of year.
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Friday evening’s door will suck for SNE to northern mid Atlantic. Better than equal chances of effin up a good Saturday. NAM is sniffin’ it out. Wagons north.
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Just as I say that the sun starting to pop
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People gonna think I’m full of it but I actually ain’t minding the bright overcast and dewy 60. Good weather to get shit done in comfort. Too early for 80’s and dews.
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77/56
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MJO phase 8 to 1 in late April is a -NAO vibe but with AN tendency in NNE especially as you move east and north. “Best in Maine”. You can see that happening with the development of a weak coastal in gulf of Maine late Friday into early Saturday. That will send the boundary down to the mid Atlantic around Long Island with nasty easterly fetch. Guidance still catching on.
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Beautiful morning.
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Guidance just keeps cookin’ up. Wolfie having nightmares about CC
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Use the quote function. I know you know how. Deranged.
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Gonna downslope to normal high today.
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Wolfie has a derangement syndrome that every warm post is about CC. Sad to see.
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Shift that depiction 500 miles southwest
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No. MJO 8 and 1 are warm phases in New England in April. The warm anoms in Maine and Southeast Canada will continue to shift south on guidance as it catches on. The cold anoms over the central US SE and Mid Atlantic.
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Man what a gorgeous stretch coming up. Love this. Windows open with a beautiful breeze tonight. Gonna easily +5 April
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That will bust with the MJO to phase 8 to 1, with 1 being the warmest for this time of year in New England. You’ll probably see the cold anoms in the mid Atlantic, Long Island to del Marva.
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We 70 Had an afternoon bite at Dovah’s new rivah front. Noice.
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For a late evening gone by late morning? Who cares.
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Very weak signals outside of Maine and the cape.
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Definitively have not seen a week stretch like this in mid April any time I can recall. Awesome.
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I dunno Tip. These doors happen with such regularity because without them our spring climo in the seacoast region would be like Philly otherwise….it really is just that. We have a three day BN interlude and then it’s back to solidly AN. March finished +4 If April matches—which looks doable given the persistence and latest ensemble guidance— this early spring will much better than last, or any of recent memory…
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If you go into an area slightly shield by the occasional ocean breeze and in full sun it’s easy +20 to the thermometer. My backyard is one such spot. Beautiful day if you know where to setup. San Francisco vibes.
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56/39 partly cloudy
