jbenedet

This looks like complete poop on the mesos. Baroclincity ain't there. The surface players are also weak, surface high and low. Temps to our north and west are in the 40's... I don't see the driver for a strong CCB into CNE/NNE. At all. The mid level low occludes over VA and starts spinning itself out... I think we see scattered decaying precip shield as this moves north of the CT coast. Dynamics are absent. 1024 mb high in northeastern NB; 1008 mb low 100 miles SE BM. Synoptic pressure gradient on par with Zzzzzzz sensible weather....

37/23 full sun and calm wind. Basically tracking normal after the radiation low.

lol GFS clown maps…. yea the precip is real but add 5F to the BL temps. Lots of white rain where the profiles support. Snow confined to the coldest spots, with high elevation.

Will be a nice afternoon today. 50’s. Outside of SE MA and islands, the weekend is also trending drier. It’s not done. A lot deamplifying factors for this thing, after it starts spinning out over the mid Atlantic.

Nice little pop this hour. 46/14

I know all of southern NH is in cahoots according to desk chair critics.

The only thing noteworthy yesterday was the wind. That unequivocally sucked. Otherwise, white rain and mid to upper 30’s is persistence for our early Aprils, lately. Today will top out in upper 40’s in full sun with calm wind. Decent. Sweatshirt, shorts, boots, beer and a beard weather.

After Wednesday, next 7 days. It’s okay here, given the averages for where most of us live are in the mid 50’s

Seems like we get a reprieve this afternoon and then in the shitter again through Wednesday. After Wednesday we break to N to slightly AN which means spring is here and the greening up kicks into high gear.

Still looking out for that warm sector that @CoastalWxpromised. Currently in ACY and heading south….

62/36 Perfecto.

I know you keep saying this while the guidance just keeps getting drier and drier. A real soaker, apparently. Some of us knew.

Okay - tell the mid Atlantic that.

lol because we are well north of the boundary. It's down to the mid atlantic now...

Saturday has evolved to much drier, as expected... Classic... No precip through 21z imby and 2/3 SNE/CNE. I'll take it...

Whatever you say...

Saturday locked as worst day of the three but trending drier here which is all I can ask for… lucky to hit 40. Still much better than last Saturday… Sunday will be around normal and dry. We take.

Behind the door; life ain’t so bad. AWT. Bike is out.

No. Saturday was really that bad here..low 30’s mix precip whole first half of the day. Sunday touched 40. Overcast. You guys had much better weather.

Friday Saturday and Sunday will all be be markedly better than last weekend. Very low bar…but I’ll take it

Somehow managed 50 today; normal.

Expect Saturday turns better than Sunday imby. Both will be crap sensible weather days given the calendar, but it's crap vs total poop.. For Saturday, it's such a weak disturbance on guidance already, any further deamplification would result in confining precip to points well north and west. And that seems more likely than not given regional climo with in-situ CAD and -NAO/surface high to our east...Most of the storminess consolidates in the wave over the southeast and traverses our region Sunday.... As for warm sectoring Sunday - I don't buy it at all. Not gonna happen down to LI. The NAM a much better take.

The back door makes it to NC/Virginia border on Friday; much further south than this past weekend. Friday looks beautiful as a result. I’m hoping we can get it to stick south on Saturday…Will need confluence to strengthen and dampen the incoming weak disturbance to a fizzle but bigger changes still needed on guidance. That would then leave the worst weather to Sunday with the much deeper wave…BN and wet.

No one’s gonna warm sector this weekend. The back door getting sent to the mid Atlantic. Trick is well north/east of the boundary it should be decent weather for early April.

I'm optimistic up here - I think this window can really suck for central Jersey south, relative to norms... MJO phase 8 isn't a big BN signal this time of year - slight bias, but largely neutral in eastern NE... We need the operationals to digest the latest teleconnection forecasts before it will send the boundary of shit to our south...