jbenedet
-
Posts
6,554 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by jbenedet
-
Since according to the snow weenie forum, the wundergound numbers I'm posting are specious: per 12:50 obs at NWS. ASH: 37 CON:35 DAW: 37 GFY clowns https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/nh/portsmouth
-
+5 We take. Cheers.
-
Just in case you didn't know; blogspot is the medium you use when you're still in highschool. Embarrassing.
-
November - wrong. December - wrong. January - wrong. @40/70 Benchmark But read my free $hit at blogspot. Can't forecast for $hit but don't worry he'll be sure to tell you he's wrong. You can count on that. What a service.
-
What is it a week before you tell us all how you effed up January too? Just quit guy. It's pathetic.
-
Next week looks like has mid atlantic written all over it. Only thing better than a toaster is watching mid atlantic take SNE weenie's snow.
-
Man what a beautiful day out today. Shorts and sweatshirt, NH style.
-
PSM: 33 Nice.
-
Wunderground updates every 10/15min. NWS temps will follow if they coincide with station location. https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/nh/portsmouth
-
You guys are amazing. Hmmm - let's read what our machine is saying today. It's wrong today in a stable atmosphere; 6 hours out - BUT it should be very accurate tomorrow and even more accurate when there's a storm. VERY reliable.
-
I'm talking about today. Like right now. Read the damn timestamp.
-
Even the cold-biased GFS is warmer than the NAM. PSM current: 30F Good luck
-
Okay. Do 15z. PSM 27. It's about 5 degrees too cold. Has a high here of 33. PSM will push 40 today.
-
NAM is tracking way too cold. Shocker. HRRR even worse. PSM is already 26.
-
Eh. Yeaaa. We know how this works for your turf. All caveats apply. Different world.
-
Thurs/Friday. Take em up
-
This has been rain for SNE for days; if you take off the weenie glasses. Focus on another period. This is just punishment and embarrassing already.
-
Sunday has a shot at being nice for late Jan at least. I mean, the reason for any cold anoms at that point is the eroding stale arctic airmass...Atmosphere aloft is warming nicely by Sunday afternoon...
-
This weather sucks. Cold and dry is the worst. Awful for the dog. Awful for just doing things, generally, outside of snowboarding/skiing.
-
The Tuesday/Wed illusory snow threat is about to disappear on the operationals. UL ridging builds highest over our heads—troughiness in SE Canada/NB, vanishing. Notice the ridge axis progression eastward over time… SNE:
-
Eh, north of the wall is where warm fronts go to die - that's around Winne's latitude. That line is very well established climatologically. Yes there are patterns that prove exceptions but that area is rock solid winter; and that's where I'm referencing. Being Dry is their #1 enemy to big snowfall seasons.
-
I think the better argument is if the MJO and forecasted teles are wrong.... If they're right and you bake this into the op runs with that general longwave pattern, it's ugly. Very much like that 6z EPS evolution.
-
Our "Canadian High" "Eff you Cya"
-
Lewiston Maine. Sure. But the op runs with the -NAO look, with snow potential into coastal SNE are just evil. The ops notoriously lag the teleconnection shifts, but this lag is likely especially pronounced given the unusual spike we're seeing in both the NAO and AO indexes. It's a shit pattern that will produce shit, except north of the wall. The GEFS and EPS are much more reliable here, even at 5 days.
-
We're moving towards a PAC northwest oriented Jet. Maritime tropical --> Maritime Polar Therefore, the modest increase in the PNA is not a cold-ish look for the CONUS, it's still heavily influenced by the pacific... On balance, it is broadly an AN factor.
