jbenedet

I should complain more. Nice bump north on the 6z euro and 12z NAM. We take.

I’m not sympathetic to the sod scapes with grasses that aren’t drought/heat resistant. But when you’re torching even the Texas species—yea, that’s a legit problem. That’s what I’m saying. I don’t want to go off into a big tangent here but water run off is also a city problem and lawns promote risk mitigation when too much rain is a problem. All I’m saying is the cities can’t have all of this without some balance and support when things are persistently dry.

It does look like we have quite the baroclincity for Thurs to work with for the calendar—> surface to mid level frontogenesis. So I could buy something like the 6z Rgem, at the same time I do believe that area will be narrow and cold front esque in distribution on the north side. All about where this sets up bc you’ll have sig subsidence just to the north of that boundary, and not much just to the south of it either. West and south into upstate NY and PA look best setup for the broad 0.75” + amounts. Don’t think that changes. They also need the rain much less than we do…

Yea it’s been brutal for those who care about their property. A lot of up keep, expensive water bills. And still dog shit aesthetic results because, you’re fighting too much in mid summer through a chunk of august. and the conservation of water initiatives rolled out by local cities are counter to green scaping to reduce UHI/global warming affects.They have to figure something out on this.

Moderate+ Drought is again a real problem for a chunk of us. Really hoping Thursday drying trend on guidance flips today. Could really use an 1”+ from that here

Hoping this fog sticks for a chunk of the day. Pleasant surprise this morning. Anything to eliminate another potential HHH weekday.

I don’t understand that at all. This is where we live; we’re not on vacation. Rain keeps everything looking good and the water bills and effort way down.

Really tired of the summer drought persistence around here. still not a drop. drove into wells ME yesterday noticed tons of scorched vegetation along the way.

I agree. Covid did a lot to muddy the underlying climate driven trend —appeal to move to warmer regions with shorter cold/flu season and less restrictions —but it’s becoming more apparent with that shock behind us.

Regarding the poll — Short term 2-4C increase is worse because most of the world’s population already lives in areas that are very warm and on the coast. This will ultimately cause population flows from these areas and tremendous economic costs. Long term 2-4C is better because it opens up more of the earth’s resources to mining and agriculture.

You can tell that the expected range of outcomes is -4C to 4C…. I find it interesting that the counter- mainstream thought on this subject is that it’s not happening or it’s benign, but never that the warming will be much greater than consensus (2-4C). Moreover, this is the outcome with best odds based on the present trajectory.

Just hoping for a great drink here. No rain through at least Friday

Shocker. Siggy -NAO on the teles.

Don’t like running +AN droughts in the summer up here for multiple reasons. One is it indicates the pattern is conducive to restore balance via the tropics. Just like the southeast.

Good tip. Thanks. I’ll def look into this as a medium to long term solution. I’m very much about the micro ecosystem and sustainability but when I see 500 beetles on my 3’ willow tree the beetle bazooka comes out.

68.2 SST for UNH buoy. That is toasty for the date. Wow.

Good luck. Japanese beetles will leave only to return with higher numbers at some point in the day when you’re not aware. Only answer is to nuke em.

That cell training over lake George area….

We don’t get enough of this. It’s the best summer weather if the low overcast doesn’t stick.

Beautiful out. Wonderful cool breeze off the gulf of Maine. I want days and days of this.

Satellite and radar trends - Tonight’s rain looks like it will be first big over-performer here in a very long time. good thing, could really use the rain…

Japanese Beetles. Everywhere.

95/67 Eff this.

Yea that’s a TS by looks on IR and vis satellite. Should get a name imminently.

Surprising lack of interest on this. I guess that’s what we get when everyone becomes a model junkie… As if very close proximity to CONUS wasn’t enough, I’m seeing the bulk of ensemble members on GEFS/EPS with a landfall within 84 hrs (assuming it gets named) on the east coast.