weatherwiz

this is the most bizarre exchange ever...some of the weirdest posts I've seen

These last 3-4 pages are extremely weird, strange, bizarre, and just wtf

what if some of us do this already?

Should see a few storms work into western sections tomorrow evening.

Unfortunately

My hair got wet walking to lunch, my car, and every time I had to step outside

Sunday, June 2nd Great point and post

well that would make sense...when you add in the idea of the 50/50 low aspect but just the below-normal SST's alone I don't think would prevent heat into the region

Perhaps for the coastline but typically we're dealing with a more westerly flow when talking about high heat so not sure that cold pool would have any impact on the entire region...plus it really won't take much for the temps to moderate.

we're right in the beginning of our climo...our season is probably from like mid-June to mid-July before the curve starts dropping. Usually though we've had some events by now. Anyways though...looking ahead the pattern does hint at some solid potential...could become favorable for MCS's at some point.

I am starting to get a little frustrated about the lack of severe. WHERE IS THE SEVERE????

The Northeast just seems to be in a favorable location for amplification of troughs for the foreseeable feature. The Euro and GFS continue to advertise 50-70 knots MLJ streaks developing rounding the base of the amplifying troughs...that's a bit impressive for what's going to be moving into July. I kinda find it hard-pressed to believe though we don't see at least one significant severe weather event. If we can somehow reconfigure the surface while maintain what's happening aloft...it's also inevitable to not have at least the set-up there. Anytime you see a strong W to WNW flow aloft you gotta watch. If that ridge builds into the northern Plains and upper-Midwest we'll be on MCS alert.

Sort of seems like the best lift/forcing is south of us. Sort of tough to gauge but there even appeared to be some hints at some weak subsidence

eh...I would even say like lower 90's with mid 60's dews for oppressive or mid 80's with lower 70's dews. Anyways... there is no signals screaming sustained "heat". Part of the issue with this trainwreck of a thread is terms are being used that don't have clear-cut definition. There have been no clear-cut signals suggesting sustained heat either...unless you're just rip and reading 180-hr 2M temperature forecasts. Sure...maybe in the medium-range we've seen some signals of ridging well north but once the models correct the idea is tossed away...all you have to do is understand the northern hemispheric circulation...as long as there is that low/trough signals to our north no sustained heat is coming. In terms of oppressive humidity...not happening. Maybe a day or two hear and there but that is nothing uncommon and does not defined the summer as "oppressive". mT airmasses into our region are common during the summer. We are supposed to have conditons which are more humid than not and periods of oppressive humidity. What is uncommon, however, if to have sustained periods of oppressive humidity...and let's define oppressive as dews > 73F (it seems like the common threshold is 70-73). Climo now across New England is probably upper 70's to lower 80's for highs and somewhere in the range of 50's for low (mid-to-upper?). In terms of temperatures we've seen nothing special. What has been "special" about this pattern is the frequent rainfall opportunities and anomalous blocking.