weatherwiz

God Satuday's forecast is going to be brutal

Thankfully I hold the copyright rights to this thread title so perhaps over time I will take this into consideration.

yeah sometimes those single day threats not only sort of sneak up but can produce quite well

A company called Periship in Branford, CT. I'll be provided weather forecasts in which they will pass along to their shippers across the country. This will include forecasts for ground transportation as well as aviation. It is part-time for now but once I finish school in the fall if everything goes well this could become full-time and a career job! I'm super excited for this opportunity.

Next year perhaps chasing can work out! If my job becomes full-time I will get one week of paid vacation next year along with a pretty decent pay bump. Fingers crossed!

Using the vorticity equation and thermal wind balance to explain the structure of the mid-latitude omega-block pattern, would the start of this response make sense? Still digging through some stuff trying to use the vorticity equation/thermal wind balance to explain why you get the ridging followed by the trough to complete the omega-block. The structure of the omega-block pattern across the mid-latitudes (will use the United States to illustrate) can be described via the vorticity equation and thermal wind balance as follows. Using the concept of conservation of potential vorticity which states a parcel will keep the same value of potential vorticity if it moves along an adiabat through the atmosphere. As air parcels rise up the windward side of the Rocky Mountains, the depth of the parcels decrease and this results in a decrease in absolute vorticity as well. With vorticity decreasing, this results in a positive value which indicates divergence aloft. This results in anticuclonic shear and curvature vorticity on the upstream side of the Rockies. As the air parcels descend down the leeward side of the Rockies, the depth of the parcels increases and absolute vorticity increases as well which yields negative divergence (or convergence) within the vorticity equation. This results in cyclonic shear and curvature downstream of the Rockies which yields the development of a trough downstream of the Rocky Mountains.

This is really heartbreaking to read. I will make a contribution and I hope they find and get the strength they need to make it through this difficult time.

Yes it’s time. I’ve had enough of winter and the cold. Let’s get severe weather in here

I made that myself lol

I am so glad they make 40’s. Actually they’re now 42’s

Crap...yeah that’s a great point. Didn’t even think of that

The LLJ is kinda crappy too which isn't helping drawing in stronger moisture. Even within the shield of precip in the radar posted above there are areas of drier air. Sort of looks like there is even drier air being ingested to the system from just off the mid-Atlantic coast.

What I am a bit shocked about is the lack of more rapid deepening of the sfc low. I think that is one reason which is sort of holding this back. While the mid-levels are strengthening (albeit slowly) the result isn't occurring at the surface. Unfortunately the models actually don't strengthen the low much more...perhaps going back to what I was looking at earleir with how they weaken this low and begin a transition process to a second low development well east of the Cape. Due to good ascent though, even with slowly strengthening mid-levels the radar will slowly fill in. If there is some plausible reason that could allow for the sfc low to strengthen a bit quicker I would think we see precip generation quite rapidly