weatherwiz

Probably passed out at the cpu waiting for the radar to fill in

I’m pretty happy overall. Off on a few things in terms of some of the processes involved.

Got around 2” (maybe 2.5” at most it looked). Roads were horrible until I got onto 91

Coming down quite decently outside

NAM actually seems to have pegged the positioning of the banding very well (I was certainly wrong about that going back to a previous post), though we’ll see if it’s as hefty as advertised. It’s bit your typical band of heavy snow...looks like some heavier echos within. Looks like S CT sucks on subsidence this go around

Solid coating out there. Nice flake size too. Off to bed...WAY past bed time. Better only be like 2'' here...any more and pulling out of the driveway won't be fun and I don't want to shovel at 4:30 in the morning

Sounds about right. I started to check like every 5 minutes and in between checks is when it started. Coming down a little heavier now...probably like Patriots Super Bowl confetti type intensity

I hope it's not bad when I have to drive to Branford at 5. Last Tuesday I stayed at a Motel 6 like a minute from work. I don't typically hit traffic when I leave, but once I get closer to New Haven on 91 traffic picks up a bit. Do alot of people get work off for the holiday tomorrow?

when did it start there?

Just started to lightly snow in WeHa. Very tiny tiny flakes

Any ground reports of snow across CT at all yet?

I may be wrong here, but there really isn't a ton of upper-level support going on...not much in the way of ulvl divergence. Seeing how the mlvl and ulvl jet are strengthening placing us on the nose of the jet the divergence isn't there. I wonder if the confluence (and strengthening confluence given the increasing jet to our SW) is yielding too much subsidence. I wonder if we'll ever see a consolidated precip field? Seems like it will be more spotty heavier echos and then crap outside of it

I guess we'll see.

I think the NAM has the right idea about a band developing, however, I think it's handing of it is rather poor. The confluence and subsidence isn't really going to change much moving forward. I think this is something that ends up "suppressing" the precipitation and sort of eats away at the northern fringe of it. The NAM also seems a bit off with how far north it develops the best fronto.

I'm just not sure how much to buy into that. The HRRR nearly isn't as impressive and actually seems to indicate a bit more in the way of subsidence. Still have a pretty strongly confluent flow over the region too with a bit of dry air...I guess we saturate but there is a chance the northern fringe of the precip gets eaten away. I could see the heavier banding like southern CT or over Long Island if it were to happen