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About Toronto4

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    Toronto, Ontario

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  1. There were flakes flying in the air this morning in the downtown core, though no accumulation.
  2. There has been on and off intense snow showers in downtown Toronto in the last few hours. One minute it’s sunny and the next minute there’s an intense squall. It looks like the downtown Toronto station at the U of T set a record low for May 9th. The old record is -1.7C (28.9F) set way back in 1850. The 6am temp was -1.8C (28.8F). And if the RDPS/HRDPS/GFS is correct, we could be seeing more snow on Monday morning on the backside of a clipper low. That low will drag more cold air and another night of below freezing weather is likely Tuesday morning.
  3. Around 5” fell in downtown Toronto. Looks like the lake effect band moves into Toronto tomorrow during the afternoon rush.
  4. The December 10-11, 1992 storm was pure wet, heavy snow with temperatures staying around freezing for the entire event.
  5. I’d guess close to 2” has accumulated on grassy areas here in downtown Toronto with the main roads just mainly wet. The latest 00z HRRR has an additional 6” of snow by tomorrow morning.
  6. The 00z UKMET increased snowfall for the GTA and the 03z RAP goes bonkers like the 00z HRRR. It’ll be interesting to see what transpires tomorrow.
  7. Looks like we’ll get an extra inch or so this morning from this surprise band that is moving through the GTA.
  8. Before I went to bed last night, I had a strong feeling this 1st wave was going to underperform from radar returns. This is reminding me of the event back on December 1-2. The first part was a bust as most of the precip fell as sleet and we only got an inch of snow (4-6” was forecast). However, the 2nd part of the event (snow coming from the east from the developing secondary low) later that evening into Monday morning over performed with 3-4”.
  9. Good call and actually I’m more intrigued to see if the follow up wave on Friday can deliver a surprise. That one has most of the heaviest snow in western NY, but the GTA is on the western edge.
  10. 18z GFS was an improvement over the 12z run and all of the 18z GEFS ensemble members show snowfall for the Golden Horseshoe. Some of them show significant snowfall, similar to the 12z UKMET (saw snowfall map posted in the Upstate NY subforum).
  11. This link from shows the total QPF from today’s 12z UKMET (today to Sunday).
  12. It would take a miracle for that scenario to happen. So many moving parts and everything would have to line up perfectly. Best case scenario would a modest event of 2-4” of wet snow.
  13. Reading the NE subforum, this upcoming event has similarities to the December 10-11, 1992 storm. That storm gave Toronto around 12” of heavy wet snow (more fell points east). Temperatures throughout the storm hovered around 32-33F.
  14. I’ll be interesting if there’ll be an extra nudge south with this as we get closer. Currently the GTA is on the southern edge of the steady snowfall.