BuffaloWeather

Saturday night, a potent and compact mid-level short wave will zip through the Great Lakes region. This wave is modeled across the board to feature very strong system relative isentropic ascent, and an impressive trowal within a strengthening deformation zone. The current forecast surface low track, just south of the New York State border will allow for a developing northerly flow component which will be key in lowering surface dewpoints. Given forecast thermodynamics and timing, suspect that a move more toward rain/snow or even all snow at least for higher elevations might be needed. If this is in indeed the case, the general model liquid precipitation consensus of near a half inch or more is a bit concerning. Probably will need some finer adjustment as we move closer to the event with some mesoscale modeling. For now, will hedge the higher elevations a bit higher on snowfall amounts in the 2-3" range, but this might need to be nudged even further. Stay Tuned.

Day 3

May 7/8th is only 6 weeks from the suns peak angle in the sky on June 21st. It's extremely rare to get accumulating snow at this latitude in almost the middle of May. While we do not have the most consistent cold climate, we basically have a chance of snow in 8 out of 12 months.

But technically speaking May 7/8th has a warmer average then October 12/13 does. An interesting discussion for sure.

May 7th 1988-89 year Buffalo saw a storm bring 7.9" of snow. Rochester received 10". What's bigger of an anomaly that storm or October 2006 in terms of climatology not impact? Average high/low: May 7th/8th: 64/44 Oct 12/13: 60/44

Episode 3 of game of thrones Sunday with snow falling outside is going to be some epic stuff. The battle of winterfell takes place in a snowstorm. I’m all for it haha

We got an incredible deal at a hotel we're going for 8 nights and its $1900 total for 2 people with flight and hotel. We usually do Air bnbs/Hostels.

We leave Toronto at 7 am and land on the big island at 2 Pm, there is an hour layover in San Fran. Going to hike up mount Mauna Kea, we are renting a 4*4 jeep to get to the top, might still have some snow up there? Almost 14000 feet. Going to swim with Manta Rays, do the space observatory, whale watch, hike through the rainforest, and possibly helicopter ride over the active volcano.

Just booked a trip to Hawaii, leave next Saturday. Time to explore the big island! ☀️☀️

yay more 40s and rain.

Yep, Aprils in WNY has some of the worst weather possible. 30s/40s and wet is my least favorite weather. As I mentioned earlier it seems the summers start later and later. Last year we went from Winter to Summer, spring is becoming less and less of a "season" and more of a 2-3 week switch. It should break pretty soon though. Looks like 70s on Thursday.

Had a game of thones party last night and we all sat on my deck to watch the storms roll through before the show started. Was a fantastic evening. Wet snow falling all morning, welcome back to Buffalo.

80-85 and sunny all week here in se Florida. A few sprinkles yesterday. Saturday looks chilly when we come back. Swimming at night overlooking the ocean and not feeling any chill when you get out is one of my favorite things to do.

The Nino didn't act like a Nino at all this winter. It was anti Nino in its "typical" fashion.

I'm really going to come back Saturday afternoon around noon to a snowstorm? Looks 80-85 and sunny most days down there for the next week. I'll bring back some sunshine.