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    Hamburg, New York

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  1. Not sure but every model gives about a foot here by weds morning at 1:10 ratios. Canadian and RGEM are farther north
  2. Snow in the band here is very wet, temps not cold enough yet.
  3. NAM keeps the heaviest stuff just south of Buffalo 3 KM brings it close
  4. It all rides on whether Mahomes plays or not. Even if he plays he will not be 100%. I like our chances.
  5. It's made its way here ...AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS... SOUTHERN ERIE AND NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES... At 856 PM EST, an area of heavy lake effect snow was centered along a line extending from near Lake Erie Beach to Holland. This band of lake effect snow will remain nearly stationary for the next few hours. Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inch per hour will be possible at times within this band of lake effect snow. The northern edge of this band of snow will be located along a line from Athol Springs to Wales Center, and the southern edge of the lake band will be along a line from near Dunkirk to Springville.
  6. Lake temps might be enough to bump that a few miles north. Looks good for a foot or so here. The most intense band should be on Tuesday.
  7. Still too early. Pretty close to being a good synoptic storm for us...
  8. Going to be a battle between that high and that low pressure next weekend.
  9. ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 16 inches in the most persistent lake snows. The greatest snow accumulations in Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties will occur north of a line from Mayville to Cattaraugus to Machias. * WHERE...Wyoming, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, and Southern Erie counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Tuesday.
  10. Euro brings quite a bit of snow just south of here. still gives me a foot.
  11. GEFS would bring snow here as the ridge wins out. OP GEFS
  12. I wouldn't use Operational runs beyond day 4-5. Stick with ensembles.
  13. From a adk 46er trail page I follow on facebook. Looks fantastic