jbenedet
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Everything posted by jbenedet
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Had a massive 6’ pile of snow at end of driveway at beginning of this week. It’s been reduced to about 18”.
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As expected no warm sector here but 37/36 for 12 hours does a lot of damage. Overnight dews just a little above freezing with duration is a pack eater. Snow only remains in the piles and the heavily shaded areas. Any areas still hanging on are eliminated Sunday into Monday with another furnace.
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Not bad weather at all given the calendar. was expecting mid 30’s and overcast.. Mid 40’s and sun… Another AN day.
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“Socked in” with average daily high temp at 7:45 am and mostly sunny skies. Never was this good…
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Friday is pretty cool to monitor in the sense that it is the persistence scenario but with the jet a few hundred miles further north due to the seasonal tide, it’s not even close to a wintry event for most.
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GFS for Friday continues to be way too cold vs everything including the GEFS. I’m expecting a decent day with warm sector out ahead. Widespread, highs near 50.
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We lose the furnace tomorrow but dews staying up near 40 through tomorrow night is gonna really obliterate the pack
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Yesterday was very warm but dewless. Today we have both. KO coming for the pack.
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52/35
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No clouds in southern half of sky ensures the sun’s path will yield unobstructed sunshine today.
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Fastest pack wipe incoming, since I’ve been here. What a stretch to prep for spring.
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Sun is out. We torch. Everyone is out.
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Already feels too warm for a coat and the sun didn’t break yet.
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I do wonder though, how much of a positive offset —this time of year— is the absence of tree foliage, from our latitude to all points upwind in the northern mid Atlantic.
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The side streets took an absolute beating. I’m seeing streets that were paved within last three years look like they haven’t been in over 10.
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Looks like much warmer version of this past Thursday/friday. If you didn’t snow with that…well…
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Of course. Easy to say. Staying up here is a terrible bet. Not sustainable. That said, I think mid level troughiness on EPS and GEFS at that window is more bark than bite. Looks like a move from ++AN to AN to N (behind fronts).
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Good luck. Warm sector EPS and GEFS are signaling very warm during that period. especially along the coastal plain.
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We did not have a stretch of significant warmth like this in March through early April that I can recall. 1-2 days sure, but not a 3 + day torch with continued AN after. Really nice. Local tree company agrees. Called to verify schedule cutting down a tree growing too close to my garage foundation on Tuesday….
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Looking at guidance today, seeing I do have a chance to get some sun. Would be a big win after this shit stretch, especially on a Saturday… Expectations low given the climo fuckery…I’ll call it a win if I can eke out mostly cloudy by 2 pm.
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It’s incredible how many times the more densely populated areas in the coastal plain narrowly dodge this bullet. It’s like at least a few times a season. We’re gonna get nailed one of these years very soon.
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The teleconnection phase state NAO, PNA are completely different than this time last year. I know that’s with the caveat that the teles have less influence on the Synoptics this time of year but it’s an influence and a warm one for a change… Away from the immediate coast I still think we can see a really nice March and April relative to climo and especially relative to recent years past.
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That 0.7 makes all the difference. Walking Dog last night in downtown Dover that was basically the difference between business as usual and accidents all over the place. We had patches of black ice but largely very isolated, untraveled surfaces.
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ORH?
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We’ve skated by so many big ice storm opportunities over past 10 years; just goes to show how rare these events are…
