SnowenOutThere

Picture from my family in PA

Uptick in lightning surrounding the whole eyewall now too, adding evidence to the idea it may be strengthening

A 70 mph increase in 12 hours shows how conductive the gulf is for strong storms right now, can only hope the conditions responsible for such rapid intensification changes significantly enough to offset the extremely favorable ssts

Category 5 now after truly insane intensification

Special update to get it to a major hurricane with the hurricane hunter recon data

I bet that person has some insane music playing as he does it, lets hope they dont win a Darwin award though.

Hopefully we'll be tracking more real snow than digital snow but either way this CFS run officially marks the first instance of predicted snow in our subforum!

FYP, not only is the HRRR already pretty unreliable it is doubly so in tropical forecasts and instead its better to stick with hurricane models.

Oh the natural beauty there is unmatched, I went and hiked Raven Rocks this past weekend and it was wonderful (besides the yellowjacket sting), but the quality of life on the other hand is a little rough.

Well to be fair I'm not sure that makes up for the fact its in WV

I think that the storms this season may be sorted into two categories. Beryl and now Helene seem to be on the rapidly intensifying categories which haven't (or likely won't) be plagued with dry air and shear and instead fully take advantage of the prime environment, with the other category consisting of storms unable to fully take advantage of the environment due to dry air and shear.

Huge precipitation jump upwards area wide on the Canadian model, most areas around DC are over an inch on 12z vs barely anything on 0z. If this were winter it would make a lot of people very happy.

It's ok, I'm sure the dastardly underwater volcanoes causing that will calm down soon.

Guys its not too late to use the second thread rule! We can bring this back

I mean you had a pretty impressive lead time with the original cape storm but this just seems cocky! Actually though, that's a very intriguing possibility and you will get full naming rights when (not if) this happens.