PrinceFrederickWx

We’re gonna torch- editing mine up a bit: BWI: 103 DCA: 101 IAD: 99 RIC: 102 Tiebreaker HGR: 98

Ten days left. 13 people signed up so far. Not alerting George BM cause I wanna see him forget about his troll forecast again.

Yikes look at that blowtorch in my 7-day... and here I said that double digit monthly rains were on the table- nope, now its back to Stephen’s City again!

There was a study done by Arizona State back in 1998 that showed a statistically significant correlation between weekends and rainfall (including tropical systems) on the east coast. At the time, air pollution was blamed- would be interesting to have an updated look, twenty years later: https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1998/08/980814070429.htm

I can tell already that yet another double-digit May is probably gonna be in play by the end of the month.

My two-year-old likes tornado videos and always asks to watch them now (he can't say tornado though- he calls them "tomatoes" ). I never said anything about tornadoes to him, he just happened to see one on a video randomly and is now amazed- weenieness has to be genetic.

Forecast the hottest temperature that will be recorded at the four airports (BWI, DCA, IAD, RIC) at any time between the start of met summer (June 1) and the end of astronomical summer (September 23). For the tiebreaker, choose only one of the following three locations: Charlottesville (CHO), Salisbury (SBY), or Hagerstown (HGR). As of right now, this will be a one-time contest, but if it goes over well I may make this an annual summer event. Thanks to @Roger Smith for the idea! Winner will be the person with the lowest absolute value departure and will be announced on September 24 (or sometime around then). Good luck! I'll start this off with mine: BWI: 102 DCA: 100 IAD: 99 RIC: 101 Tiebreaker HGR: 98

Finally getting into the good stuff now.

Look at that fringejob dammit...can it nudge south like about 1,000 feet lol

Hopefully it doesn’t get burned as bad as you in the snowfall contest. Ooooo

My house has gone from 90” last year to borderline Stephen’s City this year (reseeding the lawn pretty much guaranteed this though).

If there's enough interest, I'm thinking of doing a summer contest- forecast the highest temperature recorded at the usual four airports (BWI, DCA, IAD, RIC) with a tiebreaker being to forecast the highest temperature from one of the following: Charlottesville (CHO), Hagerstown (HGR) or Salisbury (SBY). Let me know your thoughts!

Coach @showmethesnow gets a first round draft pick next year.

Baby #3 is on the way in May so I don’t know how much time I’ll have. Max temp at each airport during the summer would be an interesting contest though- could add quite a few locations where NWS tracks temps but not snowfall.

There are only two events that have occurred at RIC after this date: 0.2" on 4/21/1953 and 2.0" on 4/28/1898. There have been no changes from LWX or AKQ since my last update. Given that it's 4/16 and there's no indication of anything remotely close to snow on any model for RIC, I think we're safe to call it. So, congratulations to our champion @olafminesaw - attached is your trophy made of snow! Thanks to everyone who played- this was the closest seasonal contest I've ever held! Also thanks to @RodneyS and @Roger Smith for running a lot of the numbers too! I'll be back in November with another contest!