Cary67

4.0" here

2.5" down here

Snowing moderately here with 3-5" possible

3K NAM

12Z 12K NAM

So this is replacing the current GFS? If so, wonder what sort of qualitative analysis has been done. Seems to fail the eye test so to speak.

Does it show that warm layer poking it's way up through Chicago yet.lol

DGEX's 1st cousin

You definitely had more ice than my area. Seems we had more sleet than zr. About .2 ice accretion

What do Lake and McHenry fall under? Sleet storm warning

Yeah my area is a mix and figure it will stay that way the rest of the night. Maybe .5"down and now comes the crust.Tonights forecast of 4-7" looks good if you live in Lake Geneva WI

Started as snow looks to have switched over already. Correction just stopped

I don't think Euro is seeing the slop fest the hi res models are seeing for extreme Northern IL. Euro has the 3-6" look whereas the NAM has a mix almost at onset with it just rain in the loop parts of the event. Going with more ice and mix than snow for most of northern tier counties .10-.25 ice accretion along with 2" snow.

0Z 3K NAM showing ice/sleet vs snow

Hope so but 18Z NAM looks to push more FZR up to the state line with a bit of a dry slot followed by a deformation axis just south of Chicago. Seems like were in a position of high bust potential at least snow wise