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janetjanet998

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  1. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 304 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2022 DAY 1 VALID 1745Z SAT JUL 23 2022 - 12Z SUN JUL 24 2022 ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL NEAR THE ILLINOIS/INDIANA BORDER... ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHEAST IL AND NORTHWEST IN WHICH HAS DROPPED A GROWING FOOTPRINT OF 3-6" OF RAINFALL LED TO A TARGETED MODERATE RISK NEAR THE IL/IN BORDER, WHERE ONGOING RAINFALL AND RAINFALL LATER TODAY COULD EXACERBATE ISSUES. THE GAP BETWEEN THE BACKBUILDING ACTIVITY IN IL/IN AND WHAT'S INCOMING ACROSS SOUTHERN MN/NORTHWEST IA IS NARROWING -- THERE'S INCREASING CONCERN THAT ANY GAP IN THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE MINIMAL, IF AT ALL. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED TRAINING IN EITHER A GENERALLY WEST TO EAST OR WEST-NORTHWEST TO EAST-SOUTHEAST DIRECTION THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE VICINITY OF AT LEAST THREE CONVECTIVE ROUNDS --
  2. IF the current storms over NE IL become the WAA wing of that MN complex ..get your boats ready you can perhaps see weak signs of this starting on the visible (connecting clouds back into MN)
  3. MOD risk coming today edit: Chicago lucked out the other day, really thought that storm was going to drop a strong tornado as it moved SE along that front
  4. I still don't get where they determine the official total is from for years(decades) it was the spotter just SW of the airport if you type in the coordinates in the LSR 40.76N 89.60W it says Donavon Park this time but other times it has been the Health department and once even Peoria Heights Tower Park among others they seem to jump around
  5. got to be 2 inch per hour rates here in that last intense band..huge flakes won't last long though
  6. For some reason I foresee an overachieving sleet storm for us
  7. LOT talks about the fire causing more snow downwind and plane exhaust from O'Hare doing the same thing also there seems to be a band of weak returns downwind of the Gary IND plant into eastern will county all day SOME OF THESE SHOWERS IN MAINLY DUPAGE COUNTY HAVE APPEARED TO BE SPAWNED FROM AIRCRAFT EXHAUST WITH THE ADDED NUCLEI SUPPORTING SNOW CRYSTAL FORMATION. WE SEE THIS AT TIMES WHEN CLOUDS ARE AT THE COLD END OF THE SUPERCOOLED LIQUID ZONE (-7 TO -11C) AND THAT'S WHAT AMDAR SOUNDINGS ARE INDICATING RIGHT NOW. THESE SNOW SHOWERS HAVE PRODUCED BRIEF MODEST RATES PER SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS, BUT LAST FOR A VERY QUICK DURATION DUE TO THE RAPID ADVECTION OF THE SHOWERS IN THE NORTH-NORTHEAST FLOW. CANNOT RULE OUT A DUSTING UNDER THESE THOUGH. ALSO OF NOTE, IF LOOKING AT OUR RADAR ONE WILL NOTICE A PLUME EMANATING FROM NORTHWEST DUPAGE COUNTY, AND THAT IS CONCENTRATED SMOKE FROM A FIRE AT A LARGE RECORDS STORAGE FACILITY NEAR BARTLETT, PER REPORTS FROM EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. ANALYZING THE RADAR REFLECTIVITY AND CORRELATION COEFFICIENT, IT IS POSSIBLE SOME OF THIS IS ALSO CREATING NUCLEI FAVORABLE FOR SNOW SHOWERS AS IT RISES INTO THE CLOUD LAYER. THIS LOOKS TO BE OVER SOUTHERN KANE AND NORTHERN KENDALL COUNTIES.
  8. Shan, PharmD @shanpharmd · 14m Replying to @PogiPR and @ABC7Chicago Wow I wonder what happened? We heard 3 explosions all of which shook the house.
  9. interesting this was from 5 hours ago...i wonder why it started to really show up on the radar only recently Northern Illinois Scanner Incidents @nisi_alerts · 5h Bartlett, DuPage County 1200 Humbracht Cir, Access Records Storage 2 Alarm Commercial Structure Fire Defensive Operations in progress
  10. was going to check on the LES (wimpy) and I saw that searched twitter for explosion or fire but nothing came here to check and i see others noticed it
  11. On a related note Peoria City schools on remote learning today and tomorrow Kids can't even have a snow day when school is cancelled anymore thanks to the aftermath of COVID times That would suck from their point of view
  12. as I was typing URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 903 PM CST WED FEB 2 2022 ILZ027>030-036-031115- /O.CAN.KILX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220204T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KILX.WW.Y.0004.220203T0303Z-220204T0000Z/ KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GALESBURG, TOULON, PEORIA, LACON, AND CANTON 903 PM CST WED FEB 2 2022 ..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY ..WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED * WHAT...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UNDER ONE INCH. * WHERE...KNOX, STARK, PEORIA, MARSHALL AND FULTON COUNTIES. * WHEN...UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY.
  13. it's over here , not sure why ILX still has me under a winter storm warning thru tomorrow had about 10-12 inches in the city isolated spots up to 13 in the metro I suspect ILX will downgrade soon to a WAA for blowing snow and maybe another inch it stopped snowing here about 5 hours ago and may not snow again Lots schools and other places closing again tomorrow partly because of the winter storm warning for up to 6 more inches a complete joke it was evident 24 hours ago the 2nd system was trending south and I even mentioned if ILX would downgrade the 2nd half of the almost 48 hour winter storm warning in the other thread but to keep it going in the new zones this afternoon is just pathetic and will be a another example of "the weatherman always gets it wrong"
  14. 10-12 inches over the city about done tomorrow a miss south
  15. 1200 PM HEAVY SNOW 3.0 SW MIDWAY AIRPORT 41.74N 87.78W 02/02/2022 M9.5 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER STORM TOTAL 9.5 INCHES, 5.3 IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. 1200 PM HEAVY SNOW NWS CHICAGO-ROMEOVILLE 41.60N 88.08W 02/02/2022 M8.9 INCH WILL IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS STORM TOTAL 8.9 INCHES, 4.5 INCHES IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. 1200 PM HEAVY SNOW OHARE AIRPORT 41.98N 87.90W 02/02/2022 M5.0 INCH COOK IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS STORM TOTAL 5.0 INCHES, 3.5 IN THE PAST 6 HOURS.
  16. I use this for roads..local traffic cams click the camera icon in the map box upper left https://www.travelmidwest.com/lmiga/map.jsp?mapname=peoria
  17. Good start for LOT ..REMARKS.. 1200 AM SNOW NWS CHICAGO-ROMEOVILLE 41.60N 88.08W 02/02/2022 M1.4 INCH WILL IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS ACCUMULATION BEGAN AROUND 1030PM. 1200 AM SNOW OHARE AIRPORT 41.98N 87.90W 02/02/2022 M0.2 INCH COOK IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS
  18. OOZ is seems to throw back more precip a little more NW with 2nd wave although the overall system may even be a hair SE
  19. OOZ HRRR is a baby step more NW then the 18z run with 2nd system
  20. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0102 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0720 PM CST TUE FEB 01 2022 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI INTO WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 020120Z - 020515Z SUMMARY...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW APPEARS LIKELY TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING. THIS MAY INCLUDE A DEVELOPING BAND WITH PEAK HOURLY RATES ON THE ORDER OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT. DISCUSSION...AS THE CENTER OF A FAIRLY BROAD AND DEEP SURFACE CYCLONE MIGRATES INTO AND ACROSS THE JAMES BAY VICINITY THIS EVENING, COLD SURFACE RIDGING IS IN THE PROCESS OF NOSING SOUTHWARD TO THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES, AND EASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER INTO MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE DEEPENING LEADING EDGE OF SUB-FREEZING SURFACE-BASED AIR (INCLUDING THE SURFACE THROUGH AROUND 850 MB) IS IN THE PROCESS OF ADVANCING SOUTHWARD INTO PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS, LIKELY INCLUDING THE CARROLLTON/BRUNSWICK/MOBERLY MO AND QUINCY IL AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LATEST RAPID REFRESH INDICATES THAT THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH STRENGTHENING LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC FRONTOGENETIC FORCING, INCLUDING THROUGH THE 700-500 MB LAYER, WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE CONDUCIVE TO LARGE DENDRITIC ICE CRYSTAL GROWTH. AIDED BY FORCING FOR ASCENT BENEATH AT LEAST BROADLY DIVERGENT UPPER FLOW, FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT LIFT MAY BECOME MAXIMIZED WITHIN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI BY 02-03Z, BEFORE DEVELOPING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH 06-07Z. IT APPEARS THAT THIS WILL BECOME FOCUSED ALONG THE GRADIENT OF A PLUME OF MOISTURE EMANATING FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO, WHERE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGE FROM AROUND .5-.75 INCHES. AS THE SURFACE-BASED SUB-FREEZING LAYER DEEPENS, A PERIOD OF SLEET MAY PRECEDE THE PRECIPITATION TRANSITION TO SNOW, BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM RECENT RUNS OF THE RAPID REFRESH, SUPPORTED BY OUTPUT FROM THE 21Z NCEP SREF, SUGGEST THAT AT LEAST A NARROW CORRIDOR WITH 1-2 INCH PER HOUR SNOW RATES COULD DEVELOP THROUGH 03-06Z.
  21. Light snow mixing in now on the NW side of Peoria city as of 0040Z
  22. snowing now in Princeville NW part of Peoria county as of 030Z
  23. Looks like Galesburg now at freezing KGBG 012315Z AUTO 34011KT 10SM SCT042 BKN048 OVC055 00/M02 A3005 RMK AO2 T00001019 what is the deal with all the missing obs?
  24. Galesburg had a light snow symbol on the cod surface map at 22z for some reason most of the obs are missing at 23z
  25. 34 and snow mixing in at Galesburg as of 22z
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