janetjanet998

I could tell it was a tad north without even looking just by the dozens of new replies since I checked a couple of hours ago LOL A few more ticks north, me and the heart of Chicago will be in the middle of the insane model output band instead of the northern edge

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE, IL 1032 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2022 UPDATE ISSUED AT 517 AM CST FRI JAN 28 2022 A WINTER STORM WARNING AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAIN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS. CURRENT RADAR TRENDS CONTINUE TO SHOW A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IMPACTING PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN CHICAGO METRO WITH OBSERVATIONS AND WEBCAMS SHOWING DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITHIN THE SNOW BAND DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. THIS BAND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND POSSIBLY DRIFT SOUTH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE WINDS SHIFT TOWARDS THE WEST AND HELP CONFINE THE BAND TO LAKE MICHIGAN. BECAUSE OF THIS RISK THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL COOK COUNTY AND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DUPAGE, NORTHERN WILL, AND SOUTHERN COOK COUNTIES HAVE BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FOR LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR LAKE COUNTY, IL HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY GIVEN THAT RADAR TRENDS SHOW THAT THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY WITH NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY. SIMILARLY, THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAKE COUNTY, IN HAS BEEN CANCELED DUE TO CURRENT WEBCAMS SHOWING THE MAJOR HIGHWAYS ARE CLEAR. AN ADDITIONAL POCKET OF SNOW SHOWERS HAS ALSO BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS PORTIONS OF DE KALB, GRUNDY, KANE, KENDALL, AND LA SALLE COUNTIES WHICH HAS CAUSED SOME TRAVEL IMPACTS DUE SNOW COVERED ROADS. THIS POCKET OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA DUE TO THE OBSERVED IMPACTS TO TRAVEL.

0800 AM SNOW 1 W WILMETTE 42.08N 87.74W 01/28/2022 M7.5 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC REPORT OF 7.5 INCHES RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

cloud tops are even cool on the infrared 12z HRRR seems too weak inland for the 13z time stamp and likely beyond need to watch out for any meso lows later that may keep the band going on its west flank

18z GFS has NE wind off of lake for 36 hours with lake enhancement then pure lake effect with delta T's falling from about 6 to almost 20 towards the end

NWS Storm Prediction Center @NWSSPC Today (12/15) has set the record for the most number of hurricane force (75+ mph) thunderstorm wind gusts in a day (55, and counting) since 2004. The previous record was from August 10, 2020 with 53.

Mike Seidel @mikeseidel · 9m DSM gusted to 74 MPH, higher than with the squall line. @NWSDesMoines says that's the highest non-thunderstorm #wind gust in 51 years!

wind advisory for me upgraded to high wind warning for gusts up to 65MPH so will they issue a severe thunderstorm warning later for a line of light showers that may mix down the highest winds???? should that be thunderstorm wind damage or non thunderstorm wind damage?? let the debate begin

I actually had a similar long comment earlier but lost it and didn't fell like retying it with all the IA stuff going on short version: What percent of homes are "well built" it can't be that many. We had a couple $300,000 homes reduced to clean slabs here in the Washington IL Tornado...high end F4 so not only does a tornado have to have winds of 200+MPH it has to magically hit the small percent of structures that are "well built" to get an EF5 rating in that respect no way many of the F5s in the 1970's in a different era would be EF5's today

NWS Twin Cities @NWSTwinCities There's 10 of us here working. No one has seen a tornado watch for Minnesota or Wisconsin during December.... Until now....

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN CASS...SOUTHWESTERN GUTHRIE...AUDUBON AND NORTHWESTERN ADAIR COUNTIES... AT 502 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF ATLANTIC, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 75 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO CROSSING INTERSTATE 80 NORTH OF ATLANTIC.

The part of the line in NE KS into Nw MO better stop trying to break up into discrete cells

Just noticed this ....a Tornado warning is South Dakota....in December....I didn't have that on my Bingo card SOUTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA it's just the "finger" of the state but still,,,,,

several currently on the ground, also storms in NE kansas look better then expected tornado potential wise HURSTON NE- 358 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST FOR THURSTON COUNTY... AT 358 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER PENDER, OR 29 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SIOUX CITY, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

Valley , radar site, in the path SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 349 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021 NEC055-155-152230- /O.CON.KOAX.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-211215T2230Z/ DOUGLAS NE-SAUNDERS NE- 349 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST FOR WESTERN DOUGLAS AND EASTERN SAUNDERS COUNTIES... AT 348 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF MEAD, OR 25 MILES WEST OF OMAHA, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 75 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... VALLEY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 342 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021 NEC025-053-055-067-097-109-131-133-153-155-177-152215- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-211215T2215Z/ SARPY NE-WASHINGTON NE-LANCASTER NE-DODGE NE-JOHNSON NE-OTOE NE- DOUGLAS NE-PAWNEE NE-SAUNDERS NE-GAGE NE-CASS NE- 342 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CST FOR WESTERN SARPY...SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...LANCASTER... SOUTHEASTERN DODGE...WESTERN JOHNSON...WESTERN OTOE...WESTERN DOUGLAS...WESTERN PAWNEE...SAUNDERS...GAGE AND WESTERN CASS COUNTIES... AT 341 PM CST, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CEDAR BLUFFS TO 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF BLUE SPRINGS, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH. THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS. HAZARD...90 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

19z DES MOINES CLOUDY 74 CEDAR RAPIDS PTSUNNY 72

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CST FOR WEST CENTRAL CLAY AND SOUTHEASTERN ADAMS COUNTIES... AT 147 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR AYR, OR 14 MILES SOUTH OF HASTINGS, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 75 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

couplet heading for Hastings

Last event it was the opposite for me for the first watch I was inside the Box but Peoria county wasn't included as a county

first of the day THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA... NORTHWESTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA... SOUTHWESTERN ADAMS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 145 PM CST. * AT 130 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CAMPBELL, OR 32 MILES SOUTHWEST O

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 563 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 120 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL IOWA NORTHEASTERN KANSAS SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI EASTERM NEBRASKA EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL 800 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 90 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...A DEVELOPING SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD FROM NORTHERN KANSAS AND NEBRASKA ACROSS IOWA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF MINNESOTA AND MISSOURI THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED, WITH PEAK GUSTS NEAR 90 MPH POSSIBLE. A MIX OF EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND SMALLER-SCALE CIRCULATIONS IN THE LINE WILL ALSO POSE A THREAT FOR TORNADOES, WITH A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE.

TOR warning Memphis

still BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1251 AM EST SAT DEC 11 2021 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN MEADE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY... NORTHERN HARDIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY... SOUTHEASTERN BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY... * UNTIL 130 AM EST/1230 AM CST/. * AT 1250 AM EST/1150 PM CST/, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF HARDINSBURG, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.