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janetjanet998

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Everything posted by janetjanet998

  1. For some reason the developing convection in MO that the meso was issued for turned into a moderate rain blob what a waste of a 60kt 500mb speed max so far sometimes mini discrete storms can develop within this but so far nothing
  2. you can see that black smoke coming from Rockton chemical plant fire on the visible
  3. ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1049 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2021 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... OKMULGEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 345 PM CDT. * AT 1049 AM CDT, EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLOODING IS ONGOING ACROSS OKMULGEE COUNTY WITH NUMEROUS FLOODED ROADWAYS. BETWEEN 3 AND 7 INCHES WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN SINCE THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. FLASH FLOODING IS ONGOING. HAZARD...LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING IS ONGOING. SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. IMPACT...LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS, URBAN AREAS, HIGHWAYS, STREETS AND UNDERPASSES.
  4. another wet day in this area and another MCS over DFW pattern looks drier after this however but models hinting at tropical system 8-10 days out in the western gulf “This is the highest all of the lakes have been all year,” said Greg Waller, a service coordination hydrologist at the Weather Service. “We’re in a persistent rain pattern, and we’re to a point that a thunderstorm that produces an inch of rain is producing flooding.” He said he has been referring to the recent rainfall as “May 2015-lite.’” During the 2015 storms, the rainfall was greater and the affected areas were larger. “We’re getting enough breaks for some of the water to drain downstream,” he said. https://www.dallasnews.com/news/weather/2021/06/02/persistent-tstorms-showers-across-north-texas-prompt-flood-warnings-lake-closures/
  5. After the wettest May on record for some areas, parts of Texas and Louisiana prepare for more Between May 16-22, a weather reporting station south of Lake Charles, Louisiana, tallied over 21 inches of precipitation, while Baton Rouge saw a staggering 15 inches during the same period. Victoria, Texas, received 20.28 inches of rain during the month of May, eclipsing the previous record of 14.66 inches in 1993. With even more rain in the forecast for these hard-hit areas, the same locations will once again face the threat of flooding. https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2021/06/03/weather/texas-flooding-louisiana-weekend-rainfall/index.html
  6. Slow moving MCS with a WAA arm soaking NW DFW metro * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... CENTRAL PARKER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... NORTHWESTERN TARRANT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 800 PM CDT. * AT 454 PM CDT, TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN IN THE PAST HOUR NEAR WEATHERFORD. THESE RAIN TOTALS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING THAT IS EITHER ONGOING OR EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.
  7. nothing extreme the past 10 days or so ..but above normal precip continued in east TX up into KS/MO soil moisture wet no death ridges more flash flood watches up today Lakes in DFW area running high and some in flood and parts of the areas closed any slow tropical systems this summer moving around the SE ridge into the area could be trouble
  8. More heavy rain over eastern Texas and LA Rivers and bayous high tropical disturbance over Gulf should move into TX with high PW values on its NE flank moving into the area pattern has has been looked in all spring soil very wet any summer tropical systems could mean major flooding' updated Soil Moisture \
  9. at least the Lakes are dropping Water levels drop in Great Lakes after record-breaking highs in 2020, years of steady increases New data from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers' Detroit office show that all of the lakes have lower levels, with Lake Michigan and Lake Huron showing a drop of 14 inches from the same time last year, while Lake Superior is down about six inches. Lake Ontario experienced the largest drop of 28 inches, while Lake Erie fell 17 inches. But those numbers don't mean that things have returned to normal, said Deanna Apps, a physical scientist with the Corps. Lake Michigan is still 22 inches above its average level, while Lake Superior is eight inches above average. https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/local/wisconsin/2021/05/17/great-lakes-water-levels-drop-after-record-breaking-highs-2020/5061171001/
  10. After 3/4 of an inch yesterday 1.5 inches so far at PIA today month 5.30 +2.54 since Mar 1 13.26 +3.82 with 8.53 of that since 4-28 3 weeks ago a far cry form ORDs totals just 160 miles NE
  11. southern LA has been extremely wet so far this year Lake Charles had over a foot yesterday 12.49 New Orleans has been insane this spring May 11.96 +8.81 Since March 1 34.59 +21.86
  12. updated total precip map NW sections got the most rains apst 24 hours MCS moving into the area
  13. it has been raining nonstop , mostly light to semi-moderate at times , non stop since around 3am here 15 hours straight About 8/10ths at PIA airport
  14. Chicago Metro once again has it's precip shields up with respectable amounts southwest and heavy rains of 1-3 inches downstate models say this should continue about 1/3 of an inch here so far but more south
  15. new 7 day ...10 inch pixel again in the short term a small MCS is SE of Dallas and south of the heavy rain yesterday DFW getting moderate rains maybe 1/3 to /12 inch this morning but will likely have to wait under tonight for next round of heavy rain based on trends
  16. New 7 day...10 inch pixel over TX keep in mind this doesn't start until after 00z so it doesn't include the rain falling now
  17. DFW airport has gotten the gaps so far this spring More north and much more southeast metro have .86 so far today and the band set up SE a few miles
  18. Not off to the best start in the multi day event ..Upper Trinity river basin getting hit hard.. Lake lewisville basin also got a good soaking (1-2 inches) THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... WESTERN DALLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 430 PM CDT. * AT 122 PM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN NEAR I-30 AND LOOP 12. SOME ROADS ARE ALREADY EXPERIENCING MINOR FLOODING AND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO WORSEN.
  19. MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0181 NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1216 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2021 AREAS AFFECTED...EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THROUGH NORTH TEXAS CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE VALID 161615Z - 162115Z SUMMARY...POTENTIAL FOR FLASH-FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDING FROM NORTH TEXAS INTO EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. DISCUSSION...A MID-LEVEL IMPULSE IS LIFTING NORTHEAST THROUGH CENTRAL OK WITH AN AXIS OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY EXTENDING NORTH FROM SOUTH TX AHEAD OF THIS WAVE. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN THIS AXIS OVER NORTH TEXAS WITH RECENT MAX ONE HOUR RAINFALL ESTIMATES FROM KFWS OF 1.5 TO LOCALLY 2" OVER THE I-35 CORRIDOR INCLUDING THE DALLAS METRO. PWS OF 1.6" TO 1.7" WILL CONTINUE TO BE REINFORCED BY 25KT SOUTHERLY 850MB FLOW WITH SBCAPE OF 500 TO 1000 J/KG. 1HR FFG IS LOWER THROUGH THE DALLAS METRO/ALONG I-35E (BETWEEN 2.0" AND 2.5"/HR) WHERE THE GREATER MOISTURE IS PRESENT. FARTHER NORTH IN EAST-CENTRAL OK ARE PWS AROUND 1.5" AND 1HR FFG IS GENERALLY JUST ABOVE 2.5"/HR. HOWEVER, THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOULD CONTINUE TO ALLOW SOME LONGER RESIDENCE TIME FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN, MAKING FOR A SIMILAR ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD IN PARTS OF CENTRAL OK TO NORTH TX THIS AFTERNOON. JACKSON
  20. started a new thread about heavy rain/flooding so this thread can focus on tornadoes, hail, wind, etc
  21. Tropical fire house into eastern/central TX then and north Flash Flood watches up for the next 3 days in places including DFW Most of the drought is west of this area and some places have already been wet this spring Soil Moisture neutral/slightly above average but well above NE Texas 7 day precip
  22. will depend on meso features of course and luck with overlapping events but it Looks like a mini train is setting up for Dallas county and SE Metro for round 1
  23. How about 3 day Flash Flood watch Dallas .FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... This might need it's own thread more rainfall after the 3 day map you posted 2015 redux? Lake Lewisville Dam problems if Denton County gets hit bad??
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